Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT-12:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUEGO CALIENTE Jan27         (delgado jor)CALLES FRANKLIN 113 1.50 49% 1.00    
SUPER EDGAR Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan07   (bagwandeen)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 3.50    
DOHKO Mar23 Mar04 Feb11 Jan07   (dye steven)ALVARADO JR 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
YOU'RE IN COREY Mar04 Feb05 Jan23     (tsirigotis )SPANABEL SKYLER 120 20.00    
CASTLE KING Mar23 Mar11 Feb25 Jan12   (bowersock mar)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
TIZ TRIUMPHANT Mar04 Feb16 Jan16 Jan05   (bennett)DE CRUZ 123 3.00    
 
TAM-2   04/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUDERDALE Mar26 Feb20 Feb02 Jan08   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 1.80    
HIGHLAND PARK HERO Mar19 Mar04 Feb05 Jan05   (nunn dougla)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 1.20 46% 1.20    
CANDY MY BOY Mar26 Feb16 Jan21     (guciardo kath)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
D'ROCK Mar20 Feb23 Jan06     (we)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 122 15.00    
WILSHIRE DIAMOND Mar23 Mar04 Feb05     (house gary)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
MESA SKYLINE Mar19 Jan09       (goberdhan )MITCHELL RICHARD 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
 
TAM-3   04/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG EAGLE Mar20 Feb26 Feb06 Jan19   (escobar alison)BISONO J 120 8.00    
SCR  WINTER'S GHOST Mar20 Jan21       (ali alnaz)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 6.00    
GHOST OF KHOZAN         (hayford jen)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 15.00    
SCR  TAX CODE Mar05         (harty eoin)FERRER C 120 4.50 12% 7.30    
MAPACHE G Mar20 Feb25       (machado)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
SCR  TAP THE CANDY Mar20 Feb16       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  SALADA         (banach darwin)CHAVES ELIONE 115 12.00    
COMMANDER BIZ Mar19 Feb06 Jan21     (palavecino no)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 10.00    
SCR  SOLAR SHIELD         (foley d)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
10  KARL CARES Mar20 Feb26 Feb06     (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  MEAN JOE BRO Mar25 Feb06 Jan14     (bordis robert )CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
SCR  ANGEL'S MAGIC Jan19         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00    
 
TAM-4   04/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ENCISO Feb27 Jan26       (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00 9% 10.80    
BALLYMENA (GB) Apr03 Mar20 Feb23 Feb09 Jan12 (negrete j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
MISS INEZ Mar20 Feb12       (marrero nestor)BISONO J 120 3.00    
HELENS SPIRIT Mar20 Mar02       (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 120 6.00    
IVY WAY         (rountree c)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
COFFEE ESSENCE         (machado)DE CRUZ 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
MAKIN IT LOOK EASY Feb12         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
PRINCESS OF SWORDS Mar16         (foley d)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 15% 5.50    
 
TAM-5   04/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.95K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC DREAMS Mar09 Mar02 Jan23     (mazza j)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
BUMBLELICIOUS Mar18 Mar05 Feb16     (hardesty leslielyn)BISONO J 120 15.00    
CIDSTAYINURLAINE Mar11         (axmaker cody)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Mar20 Mar02 Jan16     (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00    
FARCICAL Mar02 Feb04       (aguayo ramon)HENRY WESLEY 120 12.00    
BRAMBLE BUSH Mar09 Feb13 Jan14     (dini mike)CENTENO E 120 3.50 11% 8.50    
MAJESTIC QUEEN Mar18 Mar02       (harris keith )SANTOS ADEMAR 120 10.00 6% 17.10    
SCHATZI Mar20 Mar02 Jan23     (ryan derek)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00    
SCR  PROMISE ME         (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
10  ASTERS D'ORO Mar09 Feb09 Jan16 Jan02   (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  GOODBYE CAROLINA Mar20         (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  SHES A THREAT Mar20         (fennessy john)VALDES ALEXIS 120 15.00    
SCR  BARREL OF BLISS Mar06         (granitz ant)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  DOUBLE DOT Mar26 Mar11 Feb23 Feb03   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 15.00    
 
TAM-6   04/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONNET         (hamm timothy)FERRER C 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
KILLARGUE'S GIRL Mar27 Mar13 Feb02 Jan05   (dominguez luis)HENRY WESLEY 118 6.00    
SUMMER OF MISCHIEF Mar16 Feb12 Jan15     (o'conno)DE CRUZ 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
BLAZE AWAY N HIDE Feb23 Feb09 Jan21 Jan05   (arnett jon )GARCIA A 120 3.00    
DAZZLING SUNSHINE Mar23         (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 122 1.60 29% 2.50    
SHE'S PEACHY KEEN Apr02 Feb23 Feb02     (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 4.50    
 
TAM-7   04/09/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINJA DUST Mar05 Feb18       (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
MINNESOTA LUCKY Mar25 Mar05 Feb18 Jan23 Jan12 (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 8% 11.30    
CHIC N WILBUR Mar25 Feb12       (ferraro anthon)FERRER C 120 20.00    
WESTWARD LOOK Mar19 Feb25 Jan21 Jan02   (sanner daniel)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 8.00    
TOSS Feb12 Jan12       (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 10.00    
THOMOND PARK Mar25 Feb12 Jan22     (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
SCR  BROADWAY PETE Mar20 Feb27 Feb04 Jan05   (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00    
DREAM LINER (BRZ) Mar04 Feb12       (wilson tony)CENTENO E 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
THRU THE VINE Mar19 Feb25 Feb09 Jan15   (house gary)ALLEN M 123 4.00 14% 5.90    
10  CAN'T TRUMP KITTEN Mar05         (alvarado dian)ALVARADO JR 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
11  I SAY I PLAY Jan08         (carrascojr victor)BISONO J 120 12.00    
SCR  ZERO GRAVITY         (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
SCR  MARV'S MAGIC Mar26 Feb18 Feb05 Jan07   (granitz)DE CRUZ 120 4.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  CENTERFOLDPROSPECT Mar23 Feb18 Feb05 Jan12   (acker d)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00    
 
TAM-8   04/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARKLING PLENTY Mar19 Mar05 Feb16     (torres r)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50    
JUST LIKE INDY Mar06 Feb23 Jan23 Jan09   (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 123 10.00    
ESTILO DIFERENTE Mar18 Feb25 Jan29 Jan02   (bowersock mar)SOSA LAUREANO 108 6.00 11% 7.90    
FIRST GOLD (FR) Mar19 Feb05 Jan05     (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 123 3.00    
SCR  CROSS THE MERSEY         (hemingway i)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 8.00    
NAVAL WAVE         (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 123 5.00 12% 7.60    
JULIE'S GRACE Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 Jan22 Jan08 (guciardo k)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 4.00 46% 1.20    
DE PURA SANGRE Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 Jan12   (cahill f)BUSH V 123 20.00    
 
TAM-9   04/09/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
URBAN BEACH         (dini mike)FERRER C 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
BET Mar19 Feb11       (fishe)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00    
DELTA RIDGE Mar19 Feb11       (hayford jen)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00    
JIMMY THE BOOT Mar19 Feb11 Jan02     (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
MORE THAN A DANCE         (zwiesler tom)CENTENO E 120 10.00    
JOE IRISH         (azpurua edu)GARCIA A 120 15.00    
BRUCE BANNER Feb12 Jan14       (campbell mich)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
LIKESO         (banach darwin)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 12.00    
SON OF NEOLITHIC         (dye steven)BISONO J 120 15.00    
10  MAINTAINER Mar05 Feb12       (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 120 8.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT RAID Mar04         (mcgaughey re)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
SCR  KING OF CHAOS Mar12         (hemingway mi)BATISTA A 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  MOON HUNTER         (hemingway michelle)SPIETH S 120 8.00    
SCR  STAMKOS         (mcgaughey r)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.