Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/08/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FADE AWAY Mar11 Feb12 Jan23 Jan08   (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
COUNTY COURT Mar16 Mar02 Jan09     (potts g)GARCIA A 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
MIGHTY GHOST Mar16 Mar02 Feb13 Feb02 Jan05 (arnett jon )QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
PICCADILLY BEAU Mar11 Feb13 Feb02 Jan23 Jan16 (gatis chris)SOSA LAUREANO 112 20.00 9% 10.20    
INTERNET OF THINGS Feb20 Jan23       (ferraro anth)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00    
SCR  BODIE CODY Mar16 Feb25 Feb06 Jan05   (avila carlos)LOPEZ E 122 5.00    
 
TAM-2   04/08/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYCAPOTE Mar02 Feb13 Feb02 Jan02   (granitz anthony)CENTENO E 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
RATTLESNAKE RIDGE Mar16 Mar09 Feb25 Feb02   (schistl rafael)FERRER C 119 3.50    
TAPSOLUTE Mar09 Feb18 Jan28 Jan09   (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 119 2.00 19% 4.20    
HARD TEN Mar26 Mar19       (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
PHARAOH FANCY PANT Mar16 Mar04 Feb09 Jan29   (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 121 8.00    
MACHO REAL Mar30 Mar16 Mar05 Jan28 Jan01 (avila c)BATISTA A 119 10.00    
 
TAM-3   04/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACHEL DREAM Mar23 Feb18 Feb06 Jan26 Jan05 (duncan christo)CAMACHO SAMY 113 20.00    
SCR  BUSTER Feb19 Jan16       (harney hea)ORDONEZ R 125 30.00    
BLACK LIMO Mar13         (hayford jennifer)DIAZ S 125 5.00    
PRAKRITI Mar23 Mar06 Feb25     (mejia i)CHAVES ELIONE 125 2.50 20% 4.00    
GRUNDER Feb06 Jan12       (stewart j)BISONO J 125 5.00    
BYRON'S GOLD Jan07         (duncan chr)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 30.00    
AND THE OSCAR GOES Mar06 Feb19 Feb02 Jan16   (lusk brian)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 6.00    
SUPER SHOES Mar23 Feb19 Feb02 Jan07   (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 1.20 56% 0.80    
 
TAM-4   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALIANT VIRTUE Mar19 Feb13       (arriagada )ROWLAND MADELINE 112 2.50 12% 7.10    
SLIPPY Feb25 Jan14 Jan02     (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
EXAMINER         (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
PREPARE FOR GLORY Mar11 Feb25 Feb06 Jan21 Jan01 (lecesse micha)HERNANDEZ K 121 6.00    
CANDY COVE         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.50    
BLAME BISHOP Mar05 Feb05 Jan01     (rarick lynn)ARROYO MIGUEL 119 4.50    
 
TAM-5   04/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNEAKY CHEEKY Mar23         (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 118 3.00 16% 5.30    
JEFF'S ANGEL Feb18 Jan08       (exposito j)LOPEZ E 118 10.00    
STARSHIP PRECIOUS Mar23 Feb25 Feb02 Jan22   (ferraro anthon)FERRER C 118 20.00    
BRASS BAND Mar09 Feb23 Feb06 Jan16 Jan02 (dye steven)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00 5% 18.70    
LAP OF LUXURY Mar09 Jan19       (cruz jesus)BATISTA A 118 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCOOP THERE IT IS Feb11 Jan29 Jan02     (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 6.00 6% 14.70    
PERGOLA Feb11         (lopez bernardo)CHAVEZ DEIVY 118 15.00    
MURUMBI Feb11 Jan26       (bennett)DE CRUZ 118 4.00    
SCR  EISWEIN Mar09 Feb11       (danner kelsey)CENTENO E 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
10  XCARET Feb19 Jan22 Jan01     (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
11  MAARTY'S DILEMMA Mar23 Mar05 Feb23 Jan26 Jan02 (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 118 12.00    
 
TAM-6   04/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUGIE D ORO         (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 2.50 53% 0.90    
R MERCEDES BOY Mar05 Feb12 Feb05 Jan08   (raven kerri)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00    
ASTRONAUT OSCAR         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00 7% 13.50    
CONFESSOR Mar11         (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 6.00    
HIDE THE DEMON Mar05 Feb05 Jan08     (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00 12% 7.60    
WILLY BOI         (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 118 2.00    
HE'S SMOKIN NOW Mar12 Feb11       (bennett geral)ALVARADO JR 118 10.00    
 
TAM-7   04/08/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAYIN OR STRAYIN Mar19 Mar05 Feb02 Jan09   (poole jeffrey )CAMACHO SAMY 124 6.00 38% 1.60    
HERECOMESTHEHAMMER Mar19 Jan09       (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00    
GIVE ME TWO STEPS Feb16 Feb02 Jan16     (miller rory )BATISTA A 124 4.00    
ICY STORM Mar18 Feb24 Jan12     (lorito mar)ALONSO LUIS 118 4.50    
COMMANDER KEITH Mar05 Feb16 Jan29 Jan07   (lusk r)ALVARADO JR 124 30.00    
NIP OF BOURBON Mar16 Mar04 Feb25     (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
STARSHIP OREO Mar05 Feb16 Jan29 Jan15   (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 117 3.50 9% 10.20    
SUNNY SAINT Mar16 Feb25 Feb04     (minieri jos)GARCIA A 124 8.00    
HOLIDAY DANCER Mar26 Feb25 Feb13 Feb02   (march william)BUSH V 124 30.00    
 
TAM-8   04/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM ADRIANNA         (alvarado dian)ALVARADO JR 125 4.00 11% 8.00    
HELLO PRINCESS Feb16         (bordis robert )MENDEZ KEVIN 125 30.00    
MARYMOTHEROF JESUS Mar05 Feb05 Jan05     (es)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 125 30.00    
MISSPOKEN Mar23 Mar05 Feb18 Feb02   (arboritanza joseph)BISONO J 118 20.00    
FABIOLA PRINCESS Mar25 Mar05 Feb11     (tsirigotis ja)LOZADA CARLOS 125 10.00    
IT IS WHAT IT IS Apr02         (machado an)ORDONEZ R 120 6.00    
AWESOME WINNA Mar27 Mar16       (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 20.00    
WINNING MANDATE Mar27 Jan22       (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00    
FLOR DE PLATA Mar27 Mar06 Feb05 Jan08   (nunn dougl)ROWLAND MADELINE 111 2.50 55% 0.80    
10  OVERTHEBLUESKY Mar09 Feb13 Jan08     (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 120 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
TAM-9   04/08/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.95K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNMAN Mar23 Mar04       (manchan be)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 4.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  OUR STUIE Feb25 Jan05       (collins joh)GARCIA A 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  SWIFT KID Mar13 Feb06 Jan09     (machado)DE CRUZ 123 4.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  DOUBLE DAVID Feb09         (azpurua eduard)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MR. MAZZA Mar19 Mar02       (cruz jesus)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00    
SCR  SOAKING WET Mar19         (galvan baltazar)FERRER C 120 20.00    
POLITO Jan28         (rhone berne)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 10.00    
SCR  ROSE FOR A SAINT Feb25 Feb06 Jan09     (einhorn skip)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00    
TOUR THE WORLD Feb16 Jan09       (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 6.00    
10  TEDDY'S HONOR Mar18         (wasiluk peter )MORENO ANGEL 120 30.00    
SCR  RAMIRIN Mar30 Mar20 Mar04 Feb19 Feb02 (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 120 10.00    
12  MAKOTO Mar18         (saleem gor)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
SCR  HELLFIRE BOB Mar30         (negrete j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.