Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Thursday - April 07, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAVENEL Feb24 Feb03       (harting r)ACOSTA D 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Mar18 Feb27 Jan16     (howard c)AVILES YAN 119 4.00    
SIMMARD SHENANIGAN Mar18 Jan21 Jan02     (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 4.50    
MISS MORENO Feb25 Jan22 Jan02     (allen ferri)ALVELO C 118 6.00 8% 11.80    
CONGRESS HALL Mar18 Feb19 Feb06 Jan21   (simone michael)CEDENO CAROL 123 1.80 17% 4.90    
LETMESLIDEBYYOU         (plummer bobby)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 15.00 5% 18.10    
SCR  POSTINO'S SECRET Mar06 Jan27       (worton d)BUTTERFLY L 116 20.00    
 
LRL-2   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($23.1K) 35 M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL MILAGRA Mar10 Feb13 Feb06 Jan21   (allen ferri)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
BESTLA Mar20 Mar04 Jan27     (bourne william)BOYCE FOREST 126 5.00    
TIPSY TOURIST Feb27 Feb13 Jan21     (eubanks annette )CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 12% 7.00    
PEARLYVILLE Feb27 Feb13 Jan21     (gaudet lace)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
AMARETTO SOUR         (maldonado j)CARRASCO CARLOS 126 12.00    
SCR  DIXIELAND DANCER Mar20 Feb26 Jan20     (bennett dale)TREJOS JOSEPH 126 2.00 48% 1.10    
COLOROFACLOUD Mar20 Feb26 Jan20     (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 2.50    
BIG EYE JOY Feb23 Feb01 Jan19     (ovando mo)AVILES YAN 119 30.00    
 
LRL-3   04/07/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37.95K) 3 ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Mar18 Jan02       (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 10.00    
SIMPLY VALID Feb25 Feb04       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 4.00 21% 3.80    
RIDICULOUS Mar26 Feb21 Jan20     (gonzal)ENRIQUEZ JR 114 3.50 8% 11.40    
MUGSY MALONE Mar25 Feb23       (contessa )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
SCR  NOSTALGIC RUN Feb21 Jan18       (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 121 5.00    
FIVE STAR PHIL Mar06 Feb16       (sanchez-salomon )AVILES YAN 110 4.00 9% 10.10    
AUCTION KINGDOM Mar20 Feb27 Jan23     (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 116 6.00 30% 2.30    
AXXERATOR Mar26 Feb21 Jan23 Jan02   (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 121 6.00    
 
LRL-4   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($34.65K) 35 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLOMON'S CHOICE Feb25 Jan16 Jan01     (albert)ENRIQUEZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  OPEN THE BOOKS Feb25         (buckley rick)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
DOCTOR DOOM Jan18         (servis c)CEDENO CAROL 126 1.60 36% 1.80    
ORO GRIS Mar19 Feb25 Jan01     (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 126 20.00    
CONTENTED NOW Feb25         (magee kieron)ALVELO C 121 4.00    
MCQUEEN'S BULLITT Jan28         (trombetta mic)BRACHO A 126 6.00 12% 7.60    
SPRITZER Mar19 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23 Jan16 (kee j)ROSADO JOHAN 126 4.50    
STIMULUS MAKER         (mcmahon hug)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 6.00 26% 2.90    
 
LRL-5   04/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR HOISTED MAST         (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00 8% 11.80    
LOST IN MANHATTAN Mar10 Feb19 Jan08     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.00 14% 6.40    
HAIR OF THE DOG Feb04 Jan23       (eubanks ann)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 15.00    
W W SPRINGTIME Mar04 Jan21       (allen fer)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 3.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  SEANY P         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 10.00    
MUTAKAAMIL Mar11 Feb18 Feb04 Jan01   (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 112 12.00    
BIG TALL DAWG Mar19 Feb26 Jan27     (magee kieron)ALVELO C 118 8.00    
THE WALK Feb10         (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
LRL-6   04/07/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42.9K) 3 ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAISE A SPEIGHTS         (russell britt)BRACHO A 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
THAT'S RIGHT Mar23         (moore michael )RIVERA EDWIN 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
UNION FLEET         (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 124 4.50    
GLASTONBURY         (roadcap laur)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 15.00    
CARVELLIAN QUEST         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 124 6.00    
OUR FREEDOM Mar19         (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00    
BACKNTHEWOODS Mar19         (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00 10% 8.60    
VIOLENT ROCK Mar26 Mar11 Feb27 Jan23   (cash l)ACOSTA D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   04/07/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($52.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG VENEZUELA Mar19 Feb26 Jan15     (tessore bruno)GARCIA LUIS 123 5.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  BOONDOGGLE Mar18 Feb06 Jan21     (kee j)ROSADO JOHAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
WICKED MAD Mar18         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
SCR  ROYAL CRUSADER Mar11         (cole w)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
EXCELLORATOR         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
ELUSIVE KNIGHT         (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 123 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  SEA GHOST Mar11         (cole c)WHITACRE GRANT 123 15.00    
SPITBALL Mar05 Feb12 Jan20 Jan01   (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 5.00    
RUFFY Mar07 Feb15 Jan28     (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 6.00    
 
LRL-8   04/07/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($23.1K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL FLUSH GIRL Mar06 Feb18       (bailes robert)MONTERREY R 124 15.00    
SATISFIED         (allen ferri)ALVELO C 119 15.00    
HOLY PINK Mar06 Feb06 Jan20     (albert lind)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 11% 7.80    
KOBE'S GIRL Feb25 Feb06 Jan01     (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 117 4.50    
ALY DID IT         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 124 6.00    
MARKET OF STOCKS Feb18 Jan21       (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 1.40 26% 2.90    
SHE'S A TRIPP Mar18 Feb13       (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 124 10.00 8% 12.10    
SHE'S A REBEL         (salzman timothy)AVILES YAN 113 8.00 22% 3.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.