Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - April 06, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   04/06/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAUGHTY PRAISE Mar15         (tumblin a)HOLLINGSWORTH L 126 20.00    
WAR MOON Mar05 Feb14       (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 2.00    
MISS CELESTE         (bennett c)DIAZ R 126 5.00 15% 5.80    
ANIMO STAR Feb21         (rone penny)RIVERA R 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
SHOSHA SHOSHA Mar23 Mar16 Mar05 Feb16 Jan11 (jones e)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00    
AUGMENTING ASSETS Mar23 Mar05 Jan12     (haehn terry )KEISER CHELSEY 126 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
MVR-2   04/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK BE FAST Mar16 Feb26 Feb15 Jan24 Jan05 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 1.60    
1A  GRAD BASH Mar24 Feb26 Feb15 Jan24 Jan12 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
CAPTAIN RILEY Mar16 Feb26 Feb15 Jan24 Jan12 (spiess m)LEON SONNY 124 4.00    
NAMBITI Mar24 Feb26 Jan24     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 3.50 14% 5.90    
INSPIRED TO ROCK Feb26 Feb15 Jan11     (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
WEST LEONARD Mar16 Mar09 Feb22 Jan26   (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.00 19% 4.40    
 
MVR-3   04/06/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUIMBY Mar21 Mar09 Feb18 Jan25   (evans ii)LEON SONNY 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
WINK DON'T THINK Mar05 Jan31 Jan22 Jan05   (schuster robin)RIVERA R 119 10.00    
TURBO POWER Mar19 Mar05 Feb16 Jan22   (tumblin a)CORREA L 119 6.00 10% 8.80    
YOU'RE OUT Feb18 Jan25 Jan11     (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
UNBRIDLED CAUSE Mar21         (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50    
GOING PRIMETIME Mar19         (gorham )PILARES P 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
CARSON'S ROCKET Mar05 Jan31 Jan15     (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 126 8.00    
 
MVR-4   04/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET BELEN Mar10 Mar02 Jan24     (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 6.00    
CURT'S ANGEL Mar10 Jan25       (erfle gerald)CCAMAQUE M 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
AVENIDA MANANA Mar03 Feb24 Feb12 Jan08   (estvanko ri)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.00    
ALL AMERICAN JEWEL Mar10 Feb23 Jan26     (bernardini p)LEON SONNY 126 2.00    
FRIDAY Mar22 Mar10 Mar02 Feb16 Jan05 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
FASHION FRAME         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00 12% 7.40    
 
MVR-5   04/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY AS YOU GO Mar14 Jan24       (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 3.50    
1A  BALLROOM BLITZ         (gorham )PILARES P 124 3.50 9% 10.50    
CATABOUT Mar26         (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00    
CACKI         (mcdonald jame)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SASSY JUSTICE         (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
ONE GLAMOROUS GAL Mar23 Mar14 Mar07 Jan24   (johnson l)LEON SONNY 126 2.50 64% 0.60    
ULTRA RAYS Feb19 Jan15       (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
CAUSE OF LOVE Mar14 Jan24       (haehn terry )KEISER CHELSEY 124 6.00    
TICKETY BOO Mar23 Mar10 Feb19 Jan15   (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
COMPANYS COMING Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 Jan15   (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
 
MVR-6   04/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIFT FROM MOM Mar10 Feb26 Feb19 Feb01 Jan14 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50    
CUT RATES Mar05 Feb01 Jan14     (trevino stephen )LEON SONNY 124 1.80 46% 1.20    
HEIDI'S BACK Mar26 Mar09 Feb26 Feb16 Feb01 (tumblin a)CORREA L 124 12.00    
CAT'S RHYTHM Mar31 Feb19       (bird danny)DIAZ I 124 1.40 12% 7.10    
SONGSTOPSHELF Mar05 Jan14       (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 11% 7.80    
 
MVR-7   04/06/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLEET RUN Mar15 Feb18 Jan25 Jan12   (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
WIND TWIST         (sandy stephen )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 71% 0.40    
SIN CITY SLICK Mar09         (reed r)LEON SONNY 126 3.00    
PLEA BARGAIN Mar26 Jan12       (alamo migu)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
RHETT THOMAS Mar18 Feb24 Feb10 Jan07   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
SWINGIN FRIAR Mar18 Feb11 Feb05 Jan19   (estvanko ri)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 1.60    
 
MVR-8   04/06/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTICUS Mar21         (gorham )PILARES P 119 2.50 60% 0.70    
1A  RUM CHASER         (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50    
NOT JUST GEORGE Mar21         (faulkner c)VELEZ J 126 20.00    
WEEKENDER Mar21         (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 119 3.50 17% 4.90    
SAMURAI WAY         (barton)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00    
ELLIOT THE DRAGON         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 119 4.50    
HOPPY GILMORE         (rone penny)RIVERA R 119 5.00    
LINO'S KID Mar09 Feb18       (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.