Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - April 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   04/05/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO TOLERANCE Mar24 Mar09 Mar01 Feb21 Feb01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
ADIOS BOBBY Mar24         (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
IRIE ISLAND MAN Mar19 Mar05 Feb16 Jan04   (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
UNSPOKEN MEMORIES Mar18 Mar09 Feb21 Jan27 Jan12 (miller ariz)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
POMPEY'S RULE Mar24 Feb16 Jan22 Jan04   (brown glen)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 10.00 11% 8.40    
GRITO DE PABLITO Mar24 Mar09 Jan22 Jan04   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
OSMI SLEW Mar19 Mar07 Mar01 Feb21 Jan01 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00    
 
MVR-2   04/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMITE CLOUD Mar22 Mar08 Mar02 Feb01 Jan19 (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 126 5.00 11% 8.20    
SKYTOWN CAT Mar18 Feb22 Jan19 Jan04   (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
OHIO CAUSE Mar18 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11   (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
TRUST AND OBEY Mar22 Feb22 Jan24     (cline c)LEON SONNY 124 2.00    
FOREIGN Mar24 Mar08 Feb01 Jan11   (juarez lorenzo)DIAZ I 126 4.00    
 
MVR-3   04/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET EMPIRE Mar02 Feb14 Jan12     (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 126 10.00 14% 6.30    
LAYITONTHICK Mar05 Jan24 Jan08     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 16% 5.10    
COPPER BEECH Mar16 Mar02       (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 119 4.00    
DANZA MAGIC Mar23 Feb14 Jan24 Jan08   (schuster ro)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 8.00    
BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Mar16         (gorham ro)CORREA L 119 5.00    
STATE OF GRACE Mar16         (feebeck thom)ROSARIO L 119 6.00    
LADY FORTUNE Mar16 Mar02 Jan08     (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
MVR-4   04/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL FROCK Mar05         (acevedo i)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 3.50    
1A  GEORGIAN MONARCH         (acevedo isr)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.50    
STORMY PROSPECTOR Mar09         (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 126 20.00    
GRABBING THE MONEY Mar10 Feb18       (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  SCAT SHACK Mar25 Feb23 Jan07     (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
HABITUS (GB) Mar15 Mar05 Feb16     (shifflett cheryl)LEON SONNY 126 2.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  LUCKY DUDE Feb18         (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
FLYING GUILLOTINE Mar21 Mar10 Mar05 Feb26 Feb18 (bailey ricar)TAPARA BRANDON 119 10.00    
CAPTAIN BERNARDO Mar23         (poole c)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   04/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUNATE GINA Mar19 Mar09 Feb19 Jan25   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 3.50 24% 3.10    
BEST OF YOU Mar19 Mar05 Feb19 Feb01 Jan21 (murillo ro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 20.00 13% 6.50    
DYNA'S HOLIDAY Feb16 Jan24       (pappada j)CORREA L 124 6.00    
UCANTKEEPUP Mar19 Feb26 Feb01 Jan14   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  SWEET EVY GRACE Mar19 Mar05 Jan26     (murillo-rodrigue)LEON SONNY 126 1.20    
BEEBLEGEE Mar23 Mar08 Jan25 Jan08   (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   04/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO DONT NO         (johnson g)CORREA L 123 6.00    
1A  OVER ICCE Mar07 Feb14 Jan12     (johnson l)LEON SONNY 123 6.00 8% 10.90    
PRIVATE DRIVE Mar07 Jan22 Jan12     (brown glenr)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 8.00    
GALACTIC Mar16 Mar08 Feb14 Jan04   (mcdonald jam)HALDAR J 123 8.00    
MORESTRIDE         (rone penny)RIVERA R 123 3.00    
DIRECT DECEIT Mar24 Mar07       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY Mar24 Mar07 Feb14 Jan22   (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.50    
NICK CAN FIX         (meyers )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 65% 0.50    
 
MVR-7   04/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESCUE FIVE Jan14         (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
BE BE BOP Feb24 Jan27       (patterson k)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 1.20    
SCR  UNCLE EARL Mar10 Feb19       (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.50 6% 15.50    
SHADOW SURPRISE Mar22 Jan19       (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00    
STARSHIP TAXI Mar10 Feb21 Jan15     (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 5% 18.00    
ACT OF BOB Jan31         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
 
MVR-8   04/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR Mar24 Feb21 Jan19     (pappada a)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
GIO SAMMY Mar14 Feb21 Jan19     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
HALO'S DANCE Mar26 Mar18 Feb28 Feb16 Feb01 (smith osborne)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 7% 12.90    
ANOTHER BREEZE Mar14 Feb21 Jan19     (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
BORN TO BE KING Mar14 Mar07 Jan19     (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00    
COTTON JIM Mar18 Mar01 Feb14 Jan19 Jan11 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 8.00    
HIT THIS TOWN Mar14 Feb14 Jan15     (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-9   04/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OX TROT Mar02 Feb18 Jan26 Jan11   (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
JOHNNY U         (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
FOREST CHATTER Mar07 Feb01 Jan14     (johnson g)CORREA L 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
YO BERBS Mar16 Mar02 Feb15 Jan14   (brown t)VELEZ J 124 10.00    
SALT MINE Jan26         (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
LOCK ON Mar15 Feb28 Feb15 Feb01 Jan24 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 30% 2.30    
ROLLS ROYCE DEAL Mar16 Feb22 Jan26     (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 1.40 26% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.