Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Saturday - April 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   04/02/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B G ATTACK         (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00    
J J'S SOLUTION Jan15         (rednour jo)URDANETA J 124 5.00    
CINDY'S G MAN Jan22         (watkins m)FELIX E 118 3.50    
INSIDE THE CIRCLE         (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 124 1.80 51% 1.00    
DREAM ATTACK         (childers van)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.00    
GREAT PLAINES         (lynch e)ORM CORY 124 8.00 15% 5.50    
 
HAW-2   04/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLS OF JOY Mar02 Feb16 Jan11     (meraz anto)URDANETA J 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
CHICKADEE         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 14% 6.20    
RULER DAENERYS         (sanchez osca)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 10.00    
PIPPITY DO DA         (perez mann)VILLASANA CARLOS 124 30.00    
CHINA STAR Feb16 Jan01       (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 1.80 37% 1.70    
AMARI S. Mar19 Mar10 Feb17 Jan22   (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 124 5.00    
LEA'S DREAMER         (martin dawn)DIEGO JAVIER 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
IRINA'S HERO         (perez manny)REYES ANGEL 124 20.00    
 
HAW-3   04/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON K P Jan07         (rednour jo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.60 29% 2.40    
TOM'S LAST GENERAL Feb12 Jan16       (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00    
TOUGH AINT ENOUGH         (tracy tanner)FELIX E 115 8.00    
FROOME (IRE) Mar19 Feb17       (perez manny)BOWEN ROCCO 115 5.00 21% 3.70    
DYNABLUE         (poulos dee)MOJICA O 121 3.50    
WHERE'S LUCKY Mar19 Mar04 Jan09 Jan01   (perez manny)SANTIAGO VICTOR 115 4.50 19% 4.20    
 
HAW-4   04/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHECOTAH Mar23 Mar07 Feb16 Feb09 Jan12 (brooks gerald )RIVERA BRYAN 111 10.00 5% 19.00    
WAY TOO SMARTE Jan09         (hughes timothy)ORM CORY 121 8.00    
SCR  HEY HEY Jan14         (candelas blanca)LOPEZ E 121 10.00    
DON'T HOLD QUEENS Mar03 Feb18       (rednour jo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
FANCIFIED Feb25 Jan01       (contreras cipr)SANJUR SANTO 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
AUTUMN ASPEN Feb26 Jan16       (tracy tan)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00    
NICE AND TRUE         (candelas blanca)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00    
ARCH FLYER Mar03 Feb10 Jan16     (watkins m)FELIX E 121 6.00 14% 6.20    
SHE'S A BIG STAR         (perez mann)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
 
HAW-5   04/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL CONQUEST Jan29         (cook brian)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00    
SENORITA AURORA         (thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 121 8.00 10% 8.90    
TIME BREAK         (hughes timothy)FELIX E 121 15.00    
SCR  SAMARITA         (childers )ULLOA JOAN 115 5.00    
KHOZYS CROWN Mar11         (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.50 31% 2.20    
JANE'S GOLD TOUR         (cook brian)RIVERA BRYAN 111 15.00    
DELIGHTFUL BREEZE Mar02 Feb17 Jan08     (martinez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 1.20 31% 2.20    
 
HAW-6   04/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVE DEEP         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
DARK NINJA Mar09 Feb13 Jan22 Jan02   (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 121 15.00    
MARCO'S DREAM         (wilborn kevin)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  TRY TRY AGAIN Feb26 Feb10 Jan16     (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00    
DEVIL'S RULE Feb11 Jan23       (cook bria)ULLOA JOAN 121 12.00    
FEELING DANGEROUS Feb10         (campbell joel)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  GOLDENPENCE Feb11 Jan22       (cook brian)RIVERA BRYAN 111 6.00    
WINGING WAYS Mar25 Feb26 Feb11 Jan09   (brooks e)MOJICA O 121 5.00 13% 6.80    
RED HOT DEVIL Mar18 Mar05 Feb15 Jan26 Jan14 (meraz anto)URDANETA J 121 20.00    
10  MORETHANSOULTITLE Mar25 Jan09       (brooks geral)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 10.00 9% 10.00    
 
HAW-7   04/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEAWARD Mar05 Feb12 Jan15     (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00    
SATIATE         (sanchez o)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00    
BAILESTON LASSIE         (hughes timothy)FELIX E 121 3.50 9% 10.70    
MARYS LAST SONG         (burdess terry)ORM CORY 121 20.00    
SUNDAY SCHEMING Mar01 Feb06 Jan09     (rodriguez edua)SANJUR SANTO 121 15.00    
ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Mar04         (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00    
HONEY MUG         (hernandez arman)BOWEN ROCCO 121 6.00 16% 5.40    
KIMBERLY FRANCES         (sanchez oscar)KENNEDY TY 121 8.00    
FIRST SQUADRON Mar11 Jan14       (cook brian)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 15.00 6% 14.70    
10  GO STORMIN GIRL Mar11         (cook brian)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  FLYING BUSINESS         (candelas b)URDANETA J 121 20.00 7% 12.90    
 
HAW-8   04/02/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH HERO         (perez mann)VILLASANA CARLOS 121 10.00    
PRESIDENT ELECT Mar16 Mar02 Feb15 Jan11   (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.00 21% 3.80    
DR. LIECHTY         (bentler d)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 20.00 6% 15.40    
GREELEYS ICE         (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 121 12.00    
REMEMBER THE MAINE Mar09 Feb11 Jan23 Jan16   (campbell joe)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00    
RENEGADE BOB         (hughes ea)ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00    
FRONTANA Feb26 Feb16       (martinez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 22% 3.50    
W W KAN DO Mar13 Feb10 Jan20 Jan03   (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 121 6.00 13% 6.80    
CONTRACTION         (candelas blanca)MOJICA O 121 10.00 12% 7.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.