Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   03/31/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUCCISSIMO Mar24 Mar16 Mar01 Feb14 Feb01 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
ALGORIX Mar16 Mar02       (vecchi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
GOTSOMEMOJO Mar16 Mar01 Jan26 Jan05   (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 24% 3.20    
RED BLUE AND TRUE Mar16 Mar02       (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00    
BUCKY Mar16 Mar01 Feb14 Jan26 Jan14 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
PERFETTO Mar16 Feb28 Jan25     (poole c)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00    
 
MVR-2   03/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNYIELDING Mar10 Feb28 Jan12     (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 2.00 23% 3.40    
STRATEGIC EKATI Mar15 Feb21 Jan26     (walker ch)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
FREE SPEECH Mar16 Feb22 Jan26     (dubie kathy)TAPARA BRANDON 126 1.60 29% 2.40    
CENTRIST Mar15 Feb23 Feb15 Jan31   (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 2.50    
K W CAPTAIN HOOK Feb23 Jan31       (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-3   03/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASTRO JAK Mar15 Feb23 Jan31 Jan04   (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
DISCLOSURE Feb28         (skerrett je)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 8.00    
INSOFAR Feb28 Feb17       (caramori edu)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
ARARECO LAKE Feb26 Jan08       (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 5.00    
KADRI Mar21 Feb28 Feb11 Jan08 Jan01 (cash l)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
FIRST CITIZEN Mar21 Feb28 Jan04     (welsh r)RIVERA R 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
ATTUCK Mar05 Feb15 Jan26     (patterson k)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.00    
 
MVR-4   03/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ILLUSIONS OF LOVE Mar14 Feb18 Jan31     (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
CEVICHE Mar14 Feb26 Feb15 Jan21   (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 2.00    
MRS. ROBINSON Feb26         (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 6% 16.50    
BLAZING ZENNA Mar14 Feb26 Jan11     (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 2.50    
CANELITA         (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
HARD TO ACCESS Mar23 Mar14 Feb18 Jan31   (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
 
MVR-5   03/31/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELLEY'S GEM Feb19 Jan15 Jan01     (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 10% 9.40    
LAPIS STORM Feb19 Jan16       (evans micha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00 5% 17.60    
PIPER Feb28 Feb16 Jan26     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
TALKBACK Mar23 Mar02 Jan21     (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 3.00 20% 3.90    
ARCHIE'S GIRL Mar22 Feb16 Jan24     (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 5.00    
DIVINE MARTHA         (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
BEND THE KNEE Mar02 Jan14       (cain crys)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00    
SHANNON'S GIRL Mar14 Feb28 Feb16 Jan14   (murillo rodr)WISEMAN ISAIAH 126 4.50 32% 2.20    
 
MVR-6   03/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER G T O Mar10 Jan04       (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
AMIGO'S AFFAIR Mar15 Feb21 Jan26     (radosevich jeff)LEON SONNY 124 6.00 19% 4.10    
TIZWAY'S WILD SON Mar19 Jan19       (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00    
ELGAR Mar10 Feb21 Jan19     (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 124 1.60 41% 1.40    
ESCAPE VELOCITY Mar22 Mar07 Feb21     (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 4.50 9% 10.40    
DOCTOR LEE Mar15 Feb26 Jan14     (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00    
 
MVR-7   03/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRINS N' WINS Mar10 Feb19 Jan05     (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 124 10.00 8% 11.00    
POWER BANKER Mar22 Mar07 Jan26 Jan01   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 2.50 11% 8.20    
CAT'S RHYTHM Feb19         (bird danny)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00    
DRUMBEG Mar08         (salced)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
STATUS SYMBOL Mar23 Mar08 Feb16 Jan24   (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
SOLE FACTOR Feb19         (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
A SMILE A DAY Mar10 Feb19       (gorham ro)CORREA L 126 2.00 35% 1.80    
 
MVR-8   03/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TARA DAWN Mar14 Feb16       (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 6.00    
CLEARLY VISIBLE Mar14 Feb28 Feb16 Jan11   (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
LA MUNECA Mar23 Feb26       (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 124 5.00    
GOLDEN TEMPLE Mar14 Feb28 Feb16 Jan26 Jan11 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
MAVI Mar14 Feb28 Feb18 Jan14   (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
BLONDE BY NATURE Mar14 Feb28 Feb16 Jan26   (sweetin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 11% 7.80    
MIDSHIP LADY Mar24 Feb11 Jan16 Jan02   (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.