Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VELVET SAMI Mar15 Mar01 Jan04     (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 126 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  CARINA Mar05         (clouston edward)RIVERA R 126 2.50 ★    
3  CHARM OF THE CITY Mar09         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 126 4.00 16% 5.30    
4  ACT LIKE A LADY Feb16 Jan19       (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  TWO DIAMONDS Mar02         (erdel john)TAPARA BRANDON 126 12.00 ★    
6  MANHATTAN LADY Mar15 Mar01 Jan21 Jan04   (brown t)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
 
MVR-2   03/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC REACH Mar18 Feb14 Jan26 Jan11   (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 15.00 9% 10.50    
2  MONSTER HUNTER Feb26 Jan24 Jan11     (faulkner joshua )RIVERA R 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  MA MOOS WARRIOR Mar18 Feb22 Jan19     (bailey ricard)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 ★    
4  SIR. REZ Jan24         (tooley jenn)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 1.60 27% 2.70    
5  ACCURATE Feb26 Feb18 Jan24     (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
SCR  TAPAWAY Mar01 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04   (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 17% 4.80    
7  WEEKEND BUZZ Feb26 Jan24       (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
 
MVR-3   03/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANA'S CONQUEST Mar14 Feb23       (ceccato sharon)DIAZ I 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  FRACING NASTY Feb18         (reed r)LEON SONNY 118 2.00 39% 1.60    
3  SURPRISED GEM Mar22 Mar16 Feb23 Feb14 Feb01 (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 10.00 ★    
4  POOLSIDE COCKTAILS Mar10 Feb23 Jan21     (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 15.00    
5  IMA SURE BET Mar14         (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 126 20.00    
6  VAVITE Feb28         (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 118 6.00 ★    
7  HAIL TO HELEN Feb25 Feb10       (demeritte la)ROMERO GREGORY 126 2.50 ★    
8  LITTLE EMPIRE Mar10         (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00    
 
MVR-4   03/28/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHER BREEZE Mar14 Feb21 Jan19     (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
2  STARSHIP TAXI Mar10 Feb21 Jan15     (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50 ★    
3  HIT THIS TOWN Mar14 Feb14 Jan15     (buttig)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 ★    
4  FLAMING HOT Mar14 Feb21 Jan11     (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 11% 8.00    
5  GIO SAMMY Mar14 Feb21 Jan19     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 18% 4.70    
6  COTTON JIM Mar18 Mar01 Feb14 Jan19 Jan11 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 6.00    
 
MVR-5   03/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE EDGED         (gorham )PILARES P 116 6.00 14% 6.30    
2  RUNLIKEJACKIEO         (faulkner rod)TAPARA BRANDON 116 3.00 14% 6.30    
3  GAIL'S DANCER Mar15         (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 118 5.00 7% 13.60    
4  REYS PINA COLADA Feb26 Feb19 Jan19 Jan04   (haehn r)DIAZ I 116 8.00    
5  DADDYS LITTLE FLAG Feb18 Jan14       (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  WWINSPIRED Mar18 Feb18 Jan22     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 15.00    
7  JAILBIRD WEDDING Feb21 Jan19 Jan04     (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 15.00    
8  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Feb18 Jan22 Jan05     (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
9  DE BOLT LIGHT Mar18 Mar02 Jan15 Jan02   (cline c)LEON SONNY 124 10.00 ★    
10  CONSECUTIVE RUN Mar05         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   03/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHELL FIRE Mar15 Feb26 Feb01 Jan12   (bailey ric)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
2  RULING EMPIRE Feb28         (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 11% 8.30    
3  KHALFANI Feb21 Jan19       (johnson l)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 15% 5.60    
4  KOSCIUSZKO Mar15 Feb21 Jan31 Jan19 Jan12 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★    
5  LAZARUS PROJECT Feb15 Jan19       (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.50 48% 1.10    
6  FOX ON THE RUN Feb28 Jan26       (cowans d)RIVERA R 124 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-7   03/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3 F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY ROSIE Feb28 Feb14       (bryant)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  STORMY BELLA Feb22 Jan22 Jan01     (sondej amy)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
3  LEWD Feb22 Jan15       (vazquez ivan)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
4  BOURBONWITHGINGER Jan25 Jan09       (tooley jenn)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 3.50 9% 10.10    
5  ROSE KNOWS Feb22 Jan12       (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 120 6.00 ★    
6  FLORENZIA Feb23         (cowans d)RIVERA R 120 4.00 ★    
7  BRODY'S JESSICA Mar01 Feb14 Jan25     (bryant donal)ROMERO GREGORY 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
MVR-8   03/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MAN CAN Mar09 Feb14 Jan12 Jan05   (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00    
2  MOBIL AT LAST Mar08 Feb26 Feb15     (johnson l)HOUGHTON D 126 6.00 20% 4.10    
3  OHIO PLAYER         (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 1.60 52% 0.90    
4  TWO EAGLES         (murillo ro)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 15.00    
5  POWERS OUT Mar08 Jan26       (diehl can)CORREA L 126 3.50 ★    
6  ROLLIN WAY OVER Mar08         (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 3.00 ★    
7  BUCKITITLEWAVE Mar16 Mar08 Feb19 Jan24 Jan12 (tumblin andr)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.