Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Saturday - March 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   03/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC MISS Jan09         (helmbrecht willi)LEON SONNY 126 1.40    
POST CODE ENVY Mar02 Jan11       (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 126 6.00    
WICKED VALENTINE Mar10         (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 126 12.00 19% 4.40    
ISLAND WINTER Mar08 Feb28 Feb14 Jan08   (rone penny)RIVERA R 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
JANES HOPE         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 118 8.00    
VOODOOISM Mar10 Mar02 Feb23 Jan21 Jan01 (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
MVR-2   03/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTURED BY FATE Feb22 Jan19       (poole )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
HALO'S DANCE Mar18 Feb28 Feb16 Feb01 Jan26 (smith osborne)YARANGA Y 126 3.50 18% 4.70    
AWESOME OX Mar18 Mar01 Feb14 Jan15   (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00    
THEDUKE OF HAZZARD Mar01 Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 Jan01 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 18% 4.70    
PRINCE JACOB Feb18 Jan26       (poole c)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.00    
PLEA BARGAIN Jan12         (alamo migu)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   03/26/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  COSMIC TREASURE Feb18 Jan22       (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 2.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  JUSTENUFFTUFF Mar08 Feb26 Jan14     (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 118 2.00    
PAT DADDY Mar16 Feb28 Feb15 Jan31 Jan14 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 120 4.00    
SCR  DEBDURITE Mar02 Feb16 Jan21 Jan05   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 122 4.00    
MAKE THE RULES Mar02 Feb18 Jan21     (doering mark)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
LONGLIVEJUSTICE Mar02 Feb18 Feb01 Jan22 Jan14 (bailey )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 125 2.50 16% 5.20    
GIZMO JONES Mar02 Feb18 Jan21     (ur)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 14% 6.10    
LAST DROP OF WINE Mar02 Feb18 Jan21     (johnson g)CORREA L 125 12.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  KOSCIUSZKO Mar15 Feb21 Jan31 Jan19 Jan12 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 120 10.00    
 
MVR-4   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3 F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NALEA         (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 122 3.00    
1A  PANGEA Feb28         (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 122 3.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  BIPARTISAN BROOKE         (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.50    
SUMMERTIME SUE Feb23 Feb15 Jan25     (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00    
LEX K Mar10 Feb23 Feb16 Jan25 Jan15 (in)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 20.00    
HIGH HEAVEN Mar08 Feb22 Feb16 Jan15   (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 122 4.00    
HADLEN Mar10 Feb16       (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
EXCEEDING         (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
MVR-5   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN CREED Jan22         (anderson su)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 8.00 15% 5.70    
R THREE ANGELS Feb19 Jan22       (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 120 10.00    
SCR  NEXT GENERATION Feb19 Jan24       (cowans d)RIVERA R 118 6.00 9% 10.20    
CHRISTMAS         (hamm timoth)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
STARLIT SECRET         (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 120 4.00 21% 3.90    
SQUID Feb18         (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 120 5.00    
FLATTER HER AGAIN Mar15 Feb19 Jan22     (radosevich jeff)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
PACIFIC COAST         (hamm timothy)BRACHO A 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD         (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 118 15.00    
10  AIN'T SHE TWEET Mar02 Jan24       (rone pe)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 20.00    
11  BEAUTIFUL VICTORIA         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 116 20.00    
 
MVR-6   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH CUPPER Mar05 Feb19 Jan14     (brown glen)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 4.00 19% 4.10    
HEIDI'S BACK Mar09 Feb26 Feb16 Feb01 Jan24 (tumblin a)CORREA L 126 6.00    
PALI'S REWARD Mar09 Jan05       (hurley l)PAUCAR E 126 8.00    
CATABOUT         (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50 13% 6.50    
SWEETALKINGJUSTICE Mar09 Feb19 Jan21     (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 126 10.00    
BISCAYNE BAY Mar09 Feb19 Jan25 Jan01   (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.40 44% 1.30    
 
MVR-7   03/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPLEMENT Feb23 Jan31 Jan01     (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
1A  J P'S GLADYS Feb23         (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00    
PULPIT'S PURRFECT Feb23         (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
ENCHANTED NILE         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 6.00    
TIZ WHAT         (gorham )PILARES P 124 10.00    
JLO CAN DANCE Feb23 Jan19       (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
ERV'S WENCH         (smith larry)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 3.50    
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Feb19 Jan01       (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
SCR  TOTALLY OBSESSED         (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-8   03/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DENIRO'SRUNFORFUN Mar10 Feb18 Jan05     (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 6% 16.80    
DIAMONDS N DEW Mar10 Jan05       (meyers shane)LEON SONNY 124 8.00    
SWEET BETTY JOYCE Mar01 Feb18       (suarez javi)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 20.00    
SOMUCHSUGAR Mar10         (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 3.00    
LARSA Feb18 Jan22       (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
MOBIL CHIC Feb18 Jan22 Jan05     (zielinski r)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
OPHA MAY Mar18 Feb16 Jan14     (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00 15% 5.50    
AUJARA Mar14 Feb18       (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
QUEEN HIGH (NZ) Mar14 Feb26       (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.