Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   03/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIREHORN Mar05 Feb05 Jan05     (russell rand)BATISTA A 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
CHINOMADITO Mar16 Feb02 Jan16     (adorno jean )GARCIA GEOVANY 122 4.50    
DOODLE HOPPER Mar11 Feb18 Jan26 Jan14   (rigattieri)URDANETA J 122 1.50 50% 1.00    
IL FARAONE Jan09         (mcgoey moni)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 20.00    
HIMELSTEIN Feb18 Jan12       (o'conne)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 12% 7.40    
ZONIC Jan28 Jan09       (mcgoey monic)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
 
TAM-2   03/25/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVE THE FLAG Mar06 Jan21       (rodri)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
R FUNNY BIZNESS Mar06         (bennett geral)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
RIPLEY EFFECT Feb16 Jan28 Jan12     (o'connell ka)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
LIKING IT TWISTED Feb05         (arborit)DE CRUZ 120 3.50    
SCR  SUWANNEE CHICK Mar11 Feb19 Feb02     (hemingway ia)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
STAKE N EGGZ Feb26 Jan05       (acker d)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 17% 4.80    
 
TAM-3   03/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIPWRECK Mar04 Jan23       (knoll d)BISONO J 120 8.00    
HARPOON HARRY Mar05 Jan29 Jan07     (blair jordan)CASTANON L 122 1.20 34% 1.90    
MONETIZED Mar02 Jan23       (mcgoey monica)LOPEZ E 122 4.50    
DEREGULATION (GB) Mar02         (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
MISTER FERNANDO Mar02         (azpurua edua)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
LORD OF THE NILE Mar02 Jan23       (dobber w)WALES GARY 122 20.00    
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Mar19 Mar02 Feb06 Jan23 Jan07 (seyler dougla)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 8.00    
SCR  CREATIVE CHOICE Mar04 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12   (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
TAM-4   03/25/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY BEAU Feb18 Jan30 Jan14     (wasil)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 6.00    
PURTIZ Mar05 Feb18 Jan19     (hamm timothy)HERNANDEZ K 125 3.00 51% 1.00    
NIGHTMIDST Mar02 Feb13 Jan21 Jan02   (vinson g)BISONO J 120 10.00    
KATY AND EMMA Mar05 Feb18 Jan22 Jan08   (davis richard)ARROYO MIGUEL 116 4.00    
MYRA FLEENER Jan22 Jan09       (es)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 125 10.00    
SCR  ROYAL GOLD DIGGER Mar16 Feb16 Feb05 Jan21   (schistl rafae)CHAVES ELIONE 125 15.00    
BUNNY PRINCESS Mar05 Feb18 Feb11     (adorno l)ALVARADO JR 125 3.50 20% 4.00    
FABIOLA PRINCESS Mar05 Feb11       (tsirigotis ja)LOZADA CARLOS 125 4.00    
 
TAM-5   03/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINNESOTA LUCKY Mar05 Feb18 Jan23 Jan12 Jan02 (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00    
SCR  FLY FLY AWAY Feb12 Jan22 Jan01     (cahill ste)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 6.00    
SCR  D'CRAZINESS Mar05 Feb18 Jan08     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 1.60 16% 5.30    
UNLEVERAGED Mar05 Feb12 Jan08     (rodri)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  I SAY I PLAY Jan08         (carrascojr victor)BISONO J 120 15.00    
SCR  ZERO GRAVITY         (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 120 8.00    
CHIC N WILBUR Feb12         (ferraro an)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 20.00    
THOMOND PARK Feb12 Jan22       (ryan s)FERRER C 120 10.00    
RECORDER Feb27 Jan29       (arnett jon )GARCIA A 120 10.00    
 
TAM-6   03/25/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D FLAT WHITE Mar06 Feb20 Jan09     (dobber w)WALES GARY 118 30.00    
TEXAS REWARD         (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 118 2.00 17% 4.90    
JUST STAY HOME Feb20 Jan26       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 6% 14.40    
INEDATEQUILA Feb20 Jan23       (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 1.60 47% 1.10    
MARTHA'S MISCHIEF Mar09 Jan02       (harty eoin)BATISTA A 118 15.00    
DR. ANN Feb09 Jan22 Jan12     (campbell micha)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
DAILY BRIEFING Mar05 Jan28 Jan08     (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00    
 
TAM-7   03/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRATFORD Mar06 Feb09       (rountree c)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 6.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  SUMMER BOSS Jan07         (dini mike)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
SCR  PROCURADOR Mar06 Jan05       (cruz jesus)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 2.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  ANGEL'S MAGIC Jan19         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 3.00    
BALLINDERRY Mar06 Jan05       (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 12.00    
BENEVOLENT AUSTIN Mar16         (acker d)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00    
THATZA ALPHA Mar06 Feb09 Jan28     (viands gregory)DIAZ S 120 20.00    
GREAT JUNIOR Mar06 Jan28 Jan19 Jan05   (roque elis)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.00    
THAT'S MY BOI TOY Mar12 Feb20 Feb04     (raymond rober)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 15.00    
SCR  JUPITER RAIN Feb20 Feb09 Jan19 Jan01   (seyler dougla)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 20.00    
SCR  BENCH WALK Mar06 Feb09 Jan16     (potts ron )ROWLAND MADELINE 113 12.00    
SCR  GRAND SIR Mar04         (barboza vict)BATISTA A 120 2.50    
SCR  SIDNEY'S BID Feb16 Jan01       (duncan chr)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 30.00    
 
TAM-8   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK HONEY Feb26 Jan01       (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 118 12.00    
JOLINA         (mitchell anthony)LOPEZ E 118 2.50 19% 4.20    
WE MISS SUSIE Feb17         (cibelli jane)CENTENO E 118 2.00 24% 3.10    
MIZZEN Jan28         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
MY SARASOTA STAR Feb16 Jan29 Jan09     (raymond rob)MARIN A 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
SISTER RULER Jan14         (boyce m)DE CRUZ 118 4.50    
BAHAMIAN MOON Feb26 Jan19 Jan05     (ward dennis)FERRER C 118 5.00 17% 4.80    
 
TAM-9   03/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CEDAR BEACH Mar02 Feb09 Jan16     (dini mike)FERRER C 120 10.00    
THUNDER ROLLED Feb27 Jan02       (manning j)BISONO J 120 15.00    
FEDERAL OFFENSE         (shaw john)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 6.00    
SCR  SPEEDY DAREDEVIL         (padilla tim)FELICIANO R 120 20.00    
SCR  MARQUET MALICE Mar06         (machado)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
CONSIDER ME         (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 120 15.00    
POINT TO THE STARS Feb26         (hall philip)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.50 15% 5.60    
TEMPESTUOUS Mar18 Feb18 Jan30     (rodriguez ange)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
LAGERFELDT Feb04 Jan07       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
10  MEAN JOE BRO Feb06 Jan14       (bordis rob)ALONSO LUIS 120 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  MACHINEGUNPREACHER Feb26 Feb06 Jan21     (arnett g)MORALES PABLO 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ECCENTRICO Jan22 Jan01       (acker d)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 12.00    
SCR  QUALITY TRIP         (mcgoey monic)GARCIA GEOVANY 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.