Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - March 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BEST CANDY Mar04 Feb18 Jan25 Jan11   (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 6.00 ★    
2  THUNDER GRUNDER Mar04 Feb15 Jan26 Jan07   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 ★    
3  VOUCH Mar04 Feb18 Jan26     (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  LADDIE LIAM Mar01 Jan16       (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
5  JAYJAYDEE Mar04 Jan28       (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
 
PEN-2   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.40 39% 1.60    
2  MASS APPEAL Mar04 Feb22 Feb11     (iorio jr)WHITNEY G 120 12.00 6% 15.50    
3  CARGO SHIP Mar04 Jan28 Jan11     (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 ★    
4  SUGAR DADDY         (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 1.80 21% 3.70    
5  BLUEGRASS POSSE Mar04 Feb15 Feb01     (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Mar18 Mar11 Feb23     (sells rachel)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 20.00    
 
PEN-3   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZ'S PRINCESS Mar02         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
2  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Feb09 Jan14       (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 ★    
3  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER Feb02         (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 122 2.50    
4  SMOKE AND MIRRORS Feb16 Jan25       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00 11% 8.50    
5  KEEN ON ME Mar11 Jan11       (sells rachel)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 8.00    
6  NINJA PRINCESS Mar01         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
7  BROOKLYN MOJO Mar04 Feb15 Jan04     (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 121 10.00    
8  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Mar11 Feb08 Jan14     (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 122 15.00 10% 8.90    
 
PEN-4   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUELED UP Mar04 Feb11       (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 1.60 45% 1.20    
SCR  STARTED WITH STARS         (rojas e)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 ★    
3  UNION FOLLY         (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 123 3.50 ★    
4  MISS STREET         (lawrence)FLORES JR 121 8.00 ★    
5  NYX AND CHAOS Mar04 Feb01       (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.50 29% 2.50    
 
PEN-5   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEIGH DUDE Feb26         (pecoraro antho)CEDENO CAROL 123 2.50 ★    
2  STORMY BONNIE Feb16         (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 ★    
3  MASON MANIA Jan28         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
4  ORASHI Feb25 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12   (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 10.00    
5  ALWAYS DRINKING Feb23         (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 121 4.00 ★    
6  YANKEE JOE Mar08 Feb09       (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 36% 1.80    
 
PEN-6   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE TIME BAY         (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 5.00 7% 13.60    
2  MUGSY MALONE Feb23         (contessa )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 1.80 69% 0.40    
3  NOTEWORTHY         (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 123 6.00 ★    
4  AWESOME WOLF Jan12         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00    
5  NATO         (houghton )HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 ★    
6  WHAT SAY YOU         (shuman mark)WHITNEY G 123 8.00    
7  IM YOUR PAPI         (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEM JUAN Mar11 Feb23 Jan25 Jan07   (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 6.00 ★    
2  JUST PICK ONE Mar11 Feb11 Jan21     (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 124 1.40 31% 2.30    
SCR  SHADOW BOAT Mar18 Mar11 Feb08 Jan11   (bobadilla f)OTERO P 120 4.00 ★    
4  GOTANDA Mar11 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan09 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.50 36% 1.80    
5  AFLEET TRAXX Mar15 Mar01 Feb11 Jan26   (miller ma)VARGAS L 120 20.00 8% 11.10    
6  EYES OF ZEUS Mar11 Feb11 Jan25 Jan11   (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00    
 
PEN-8   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME YET AGAIN Jan25         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
2  DON'T DARE ME         (ramirez sa)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 3.50 ★    
3  HAPPY GUY Mar11 Feb23 Feb02 Jan25 Jan07 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 20.00    
4  MY MAGICAL MAN Mar08 Feb23 Feb09 Jan25   (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00 28% 2.50    
5  DREAMING OF LOVE Mar11 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan07 (wolfe bob)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 ★    
6  IRON CLASH Mar11 Jan25       (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 122 6.00    
7  CHOCLATE BODIE Feb23 Feb16 Jan25 Jan03   (catalano l)OCASIO M 122 12.00    
8  SILVER TOKEN Mar09 Feb18 Jan25     (o'callahan carl)OTERO P 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.