Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fonner Park
Friday - March 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FON-1   03/25/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER RAIN Mar12         (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 124 12.00    
LOVESAFLYIN Mar06 Feb20       (hemmer terrell)OLESIAK JAKE 124 5.00 17% 5.10    
AMOREENA STAR Mar12 Mar05 Feb20     (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 0.60 37% 1.70    
CHIEFTESS Mar18 Jan12       (bliss dean)TOHILL S 124 15.00    
TOURIST LIKE ME         (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
FASHION FACT Mar12 Feb25       (condon schuyler)WOOD DAKOTA 124 1.60 25% 2.90    
 
FON-2   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOGETMBUGS Feb03         (rivera grego)BETHKE A 124 6.00 7% 12.50    
JAMACIAN ME MONEY Feb20         (rhodes lester)ROMAN KEVIN 124 10.00    
LET'S GO PLACES Mar19 Mar06       (dieter dalton)TOHILL S 124 20.00    
PLATTE GIRL Mar12 Feb20       (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 5.00 19% 4.20    
POSSIBLY IN LOVE Feb20         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 1.60 45% 1.20    
CHAMBER DOORS Mar19 Feb20       (black marissa)RAMOS B 124 1.40    
 
FON-3   03/25/2022 2640ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.2K) 3 F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAIRIE FIREBALL Mar11         (lemburg mark)JUDE JOHN 122 20.00    
SUPREME DREAM Mar11 Feb26       (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 20.00    
PRESLEY'S ARTWORK Mar11 Feb26       (lemburg mark)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.00 74% 0.40    
HALO ANGEL         (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 122 6.00    
TAP THE HEART Mar20 Jan14       (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 122 8.00    
POW POW Mar11 Feb24 Feb09 Jan13   (jondle mark)MARTINEZ A 122 2.50    
ONE HOT REDHEAD Mar11         (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 122 3.00    
 
FON-4   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OMEN OF CHANGE Mar12 Feb26       (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
WEST COAST BROKER Mar12 Feb26       (anderson david )WOOD DAKOTA 124 20.00    
WRITTEN PERMISSION Feb25         (emerson elisabet)TOHILL S 124 2.50 9% 10.40    
WINNERS LUCK Mar12 Feb19       (mitchell stetson)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
HARDWORKCLEANLIVIN Mar11         (rushton stacy)JUDE JOHN 124 1.60 21% 3.80    
R DUB         (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
EL DIABLO GRANDE Mar13 Feb27 Feb20     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
 
FON-5   03/25/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TACKSON Mar04 Feb19 Jan11     (ecoffey w)RAMOS B 124 10.00    
GOOSE Mar04 Feb20       (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
FULKERSON Mar12 Mar06 Feb20     (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
DRASTIC Mar04 Feb20       (foley p)BETHKE A 124 20.00    
KING OF ANYTHING Mar04         (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 124 15.00 15% 5.70    
XTREME LYRA Mar19 Mar04 Feb19     (castillo sal)JUDE JOHN 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
SNOW MAN Mar12 Feb23 Jan27 Jan07   (bliss dean)WOOD DAKOTA 124 1.60    
 
FON-6   03/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G KATE Mar18 Feb26       (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
KILBARRY LADY Mar19 Feb19       (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
DRAMA RUN Mar11 Feb26       (wise jason)OLESIAK JAKE 124 6.00    
SASSY SETA Mar18 Mar11 Feb26     (mitchell stetso)WOOD DAKOTA 124 15.00 10% 8.60    
ARROWSPHERE Mar13 Feb18 Jan14     (bliss dean)TOHILL S 124 3.00    
INTOXICATING KISS Mar18 Mar06 Feb26 Jan12   (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
GRACIE G         (laffert)BRICENO GREGOR 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
CHANCE OF FROST         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50    
 
FON-7   03/25/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPIRATUS Mar06 Feb24 Feb09     (gourneau jerry)WOOD DAKOTA 120 15.00    
DIXIE TRIXIE Mar11 Feb25       (dieter dalton)TOHILL S 124 2.50    
LOTS OF GOLD Mar11 Feb23 Feb09 Jan13   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCARLETT O'HANNA Mar06         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 15.00    
SCR  INDYD'ORO         (sweere sandra)OLESIAK JAKE 124 12.00    
HOT HABANERO Mar11         (sweere sandr)BETHKE A 124 8.00    
RABBIT TWENTY TWO         (rivera )BRICENO GREGOR 124 15.00    
SOMERSET PRIDE         (ecoffey w)JUDE JOHN 124 20.00    
SENTIMENTAL CROSS Mar06         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 0.80 53% 0.90    
10  RINGAROUNDTHEROSIE Mar11 Feb25       (womochil jeff)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.