Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - March 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIPLE A. PLUS Feb22 Feb01 Jan19     (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
2  GHOST GAME Mar13 Feb21 Jan11     (meister wil)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 2.50 22% 3.60    
3  STUDIO B Mar13 Feb11 Jan29 Jan04   (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 2.00 25% 2.90    
4  GRAB THE GOLD Mar02         (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 ★    
5  HASHTAG WINNING Mar11 Feb18 Jan04     (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   03/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOW FACTOR Mar02 Feb16 Jan28     (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60 54% 0.90    
SCR  DOCS WAY Feb18         (boyer jr)CORA D 120 10.00 ★    
3  MAGICALLYDELICIOUS Mar08 Jan19       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 10% 9.20    
4  ABOVE THE LINE Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 Jan19   (miller ma)VARGAS L 120 8.00    
5  DASHI Mar15 Feb18       (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 9% 10.60    
6  SUNSHINE BAY Mar08 Feb18 Feb02     (graci joseph)BERRIOS C 120 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   03/23/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3 ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Feb22 Jan18       (shuman mark)WHITNEY G 123 2.00 22% 3.60    
2  BUFF AND SHINE Mar01 Feb08 Jan04     (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00    
3  TRUE SUCCESS         (ferreira fernando)CHIAPPE R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BENCH PRESS Feb16 Jan28       (agnew naoise)BEATO INOEL 123 4.00    
SCR  CARPE SOGNO Mar01         (crook-demasi kathlee)CORA D 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNCLE YUDI Mar15 Feb15       (kravets bruce )CONNER TYLER 123 6.00    
7  ADY'S MUNNY Feb16 Jan28 Jan12     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
8  LINGFIELD PARK Mar15         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   03/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOSCOWS GOT TALENT Feb22         (jacklin s)FLORES E 124 20.00 10% 8.60    
2  BRYCE'S PHILLY Mar04 Jan03       (harigeorgiou kons)OTERO P 124 12.00    
3  TIZ PROMISING RVF Feb22 Feb09 Jan07     (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 124 2.50 12% 7.20    
4  GROTON ST SCOUT Feb22 Feb09 Jan12     (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
5  GAVIE Mar09 Feb22 Feb09     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 1.40 27% 2.60    
6  ALLISON K Mar18 Mar04 Feb22 Jan14 Jan07 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.50 11% 8.00    
 
PEN-5   03/23/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELY EVER AFTER         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 ★    
2  SKY OF DREAMS Mar08 Feb09 Jan19     (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 124 1.50 57% 0.80    
3  TAK E LADY         (stites p)CHIAPPE R 124 1.60 15% 5.50    
4  CIRCLE OF COURAGE Feb25         (rawles a)FLORES JR 124 6.00 ★    
5  LIGHTNING ROUND Mar08 Mar02 Feb09     (valdez mo)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 6% 15.40    
 
PEN-6   03/23/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LONG TOM Mar09 Feb16 Feb11 Jan26   (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
2  ST. PADDY'S DADDY Feb23 Feb08 Jan19 Jan07   (rojas e)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 6% 16.20    
3  ELUSIVE JESTER Feb08 Jan26       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
4  HONOR COLLECTION Mar01         (rojas e)CORA D 120 5.00 ★    
5  YES SIR COLONEL Feb02         (lingenfelter )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  AMENDED Feb25         (cash norm)CARRASCO R 120 3.00 13% 6.60    
7  BUGLE OF WAR Mar04 Jan27 Jan16     (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 5.00    
 
PEN-7   03/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Mar09 Feb15 Jan04     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 ★    
2  MIDTOWN Mar01 Feb15 Jan25 Jan07   (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  ICHIGO Mar09 Mar01 Jan25 Jan07   (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 4.00 ★    
4  KATZ ME AT NOON Feb23         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50    
5  CHILLING SECRET Feb18 Feb02 Jan13     (reynolds joan )CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
6  BERMONDSEY Mar01 Feb15 Jan25 Jan07   (nunley randy)FLORES E 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
PEN-8   03/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3 ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMP FREE Mar16 Feb25 Jan28     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 1.40 37% 1.70    
2  SUPER REIGN Mar16 Jan28       (albright r)FLORES E 123 4.00 ★    
3  HE CAME TRUE Mar16         (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
4  CALM DOWN Mar08 Feb09       (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 123 3.50 ★    
5  BLACKJACK HUNCHO Mar08 Feb09       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 12.00 6% 14.50    
6  RENEE'S Z VA Feb23         (d' a)OCASIO JONATHAN 123 10.00    
7  COMPACT Mar08 Feb09 Jan28     (beattie sandee )WHITNEY G 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.