Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   03/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZA MAGIC Feb14 Jan24 Jan08     (schuster ro)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.50    
ALWAYS ON THE ROX Mar05 Jan19       (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
LA TAINA Mar05 Feb21       (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 20.00    
MARQUERO Mar15         (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 2.00 21% 3.80    
AUGMENTING ASSETS Mar05 Jan12       (haehn terry )KEISER CHELSEY 126 6.00 10% 9.40    
SHOSHA SHOSHA Mar16 Mar05 Feb16 Jan11   (jones e)HOUGHTON D 118 10.00    
DISCREET ENERGY Mar02 Feb14 Jan25     (jones e)MUSARRO JOE 126 8.00    
JUMPZAR Mar05         (sw)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00    
 
MVR-2   03/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD TO ACCESS Mar14 Feb18 Jan31     (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 29% 2.40    
CUPP OF CLASS Mar04 Feb18 Jan14     (capps a)BRACHO A 124 4.00    
RACK DADDY Feb22 Jan21 Jan01     (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 2.50 44% 1.20    
PRINCESS CELESTE Jan29         (lyster s)LEON SONNY 124 3.00    
LONGDRINKOFWATER Feb23 Jan21 Jan01     (decker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
PAINTED ROCKET Jan14         (kocijan m)CORREA L 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   03/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND DEAL Feb23 Jan15 Jan04     (haehn r)DIAZ I 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL DRAGOON Feb23 Jan26       (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 9% 10.10    
BUNDLEDLIKE BERNIE Mar07 Feb18       (zielins)PILARES P 116 15.00    
MR. HALFTIME Feb23         (reed r)LEON SONNY 116 2.00    
SCR  NO TOLERANCE Mar09 Mar01 Feb21 Feb01 Jan18 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
GOOD IDEA Feb18         (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 116 2.50 37% 1.70    
C F V WICKED RED Feb21 Jan29 Jan14     (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 124 6.00 25% 3.10    
CENTSOFWANDER Mar07 Feb23 Jan15     (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 6% 16.30    
 
MVR-4   03/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENETIAN DREAM Mar07         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 2.50 10% 8.80    
PRETTY STORMY Mar16 Feb21 Jan24     (murillo rod)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 7% 12.90    
WOOPIGSOOIE Feb15 Jan25       (atala jose)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
TARTAN THE BULL Feb01         (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
BULLION Mar05 Feb21 Jan22     (calderon i)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.50 47% 1.20    
INSPIRING JUSTICE Mar03 Feb02 Jan12     (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
 
MVR-5   03/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURDY BIRDIE         (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
SCR  ACT LIKE A LADY Feb16 Jan19       (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
BETHABARA Mar02 Feb17 Jan01     (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.00 12% 7.30    
ONE GLAMOROUS GAL Mar14 Mar07 Jan24     (johnson l)LEON SONNY 126 3.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  ULTRA RAYS Feb19 Jan15       (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
TALKBACK Mar02 Jan21       (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 8.00 7% 12.80    
COMPANYS COMING Mar02 Feb16 Jan15     (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
LA MUNECA Feb26         (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 124 10.00    
TICKETY BOO Mar10 Feb19 Jan15     (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 5.00    
 
MVR-6   03/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYPTONIC CATWALK Mar02         (brown t)BRACHO A 124 20.00 8% 11.50    
APPEALING SENORITA Mar02         (salcedo ram)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
SANIBEL Mar14 Jan15       (murillo rodr)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 1.40    
BAY MAGIC Mar02 Jan31       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
SKIPSHOT LILLY Mar02 Jan31       (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
TREASURE WILBURNYA Mar02 Jan31       (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 11% 8.30    
 
MVR-7   03/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHECK OUT LINE Mar08         (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
NORTHERN JOURNEY Mar08 Jan24       (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 15% 5.90    
BEEBLEGEE Mar08 Jan25 Jan08     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 4.50 16% 5.40    
STATUS SYMBOL Mar08 Feb16 Jan24     (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
SHORE OF EDEN Feb16 Jan25       (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 5.00    
CONGRATS JENSEN         (murillo r)CORREA L 124 10.00    
NATURAL BLING Feb26 Feb16 Jan24 Jan01   (flick julia)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 6.00    
 
MVR-8   03/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT CROWN         (el)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00 23% 3.40    
INSACIABLE PRINCE Mar09 Mar01 Feb18 Jan21   (romero jo)CORREA L 118 6.00    
NIGHT TIME RULER Mar05         (gorham )PILARES P 118 10.00    
PASSIONATE LUCK Mar09 Jan22       (faulkner c)VELEZ J 126 20.00    
EVASIVE ACTION Mar01 Feb19       (murillo rodr)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 20.00    
HIKE'S DREAM         (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 126 8.00    
MAGIC MOUNTAIN Mar09         (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 126 1.80 45% 1.20    
CAPTAIN BERNARDO         (matejka pavel)YARANGA Y 126 3.00 5% 18.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.