Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Friday - March 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   03/18/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOTLAND Feb19         (hess b)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 2.50    
SUNDOWN WARREN Jan22         (hanson ryan)CEDILLO ABEL 122 5.00    
KO SAMUI (IRE) Feb13 Jan09       (d'amato phili)CURATOLO RYAN 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
LA'OCH ALOYSIUS Feb19 Jan14       (o'neill dou)HERRERA A 117 2.50 12% 7.60    
TRIBUTE TO AFLEET         (cassidy james)VALDIVIA JR 122 30.00    
BRIGHT LEAF Feb19         (sadler w)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
RIVIERA CHAMP Feb11 Jan29 Jan23 Jan09   (o'neill doug)BAZE C 122 15.00    
 
SA-2   03/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARREN'S SHOW BIZZ Feb27 Jan15       (lewis crai)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  EVERYSTEPOFTHEWAY Feb26 Jan01       (wong jonathan)PYFER JESSICA 118 5.00 5% 18.80    
SIDEWAYS SUANCES Jan28         (mullins jeff)BAZE C 126 5.00    
MO CONNELLY Feb11         (miyadi stev)HERRERA A 113 2.50 40% 1.50    
KEEP IT CLASSY Feb25         (herrick joe)VALDIVIA JR 126 6.00    
BIG BELL Feb25         (yakteen tim)CEDILLO ABEL 126 3.00 26% 2.80    
TEAM CONCEPT Feb12         (gaines carla)FREY KYLE 126 6.00 6% 16.20    
 
SA-3   03/18/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUCKER'S TRIBUTE Feb25 Jan01       (cassidy james)VALDIVIA JR 120 20.00    
SETTECENTO Jan21         (sise jr)SMITH E 124 4.00    
TIZ TACT TOE         (hess b)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 2.50 50% 1.00    
BARNFIELD Mar05         (sadler w)BRAVO J 120 4.00    
HULK Feb20 Jan14       (mullins je)VAN DRAYDEN 126 4.00 7% 12.70    
BROTHERLY LOVE Feb19 Feb13 Jan14     (o'neill dou)HERRERA A 113 8.00 6% 15.10    
FLINT STROLL Jan16         (d'amato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 126 3.00 11% 8.40    
 
SA-4   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHA WOMAN Feb20 Jan16       (o'neill doug)CEDILLO ABEL 120 8.00    
LUXURY LINER         (miyadi stev)HERRERA A 117 6.00 6% 14.70    
MAJESTIC GIGI Jan14         (palma o)BAZE C 122 5.00    
TOO MUCH HEAVEN         (spawr william)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.00    
TIZ A MASTER Feb11 Jan28 Jan02     (cerin vlad)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 41% 1.40    
SWIRLING Feb11 Jan29 Jan01     (uranga jesus )PAYERAS EDGAR 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
SA-5   03/18/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARPE BELLUM Feb25 Jan09       (koriner br)VAN DRAYDEN 120 15.00    
PINEDALE Feb19 Jan14       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 10.00    
LOOKOUT POINT Feb19 Jan22 Jan14     (knapp steve)CURATOLO RYAN 120 6.00 11% 8.40    
HOLLYWOODHELLRAISR Feb20         (d'amato philip)FREY KYLE 126 1.20 35% 1.90    
TODAY MATTERS Feb21 Feb06       (ruiz lorenzo)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 10.00    
NOTHNGOODCOMSEASY Jan14         (o'neill dou)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 4.00 6% 15.70    
WORLD CRUISER Feb20 Jan14       (truman edd)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
SA-6   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($67K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA'S MUSIC         (kruljac eric)FREY KYLE 118 8.00    
EVERLYS GIRL Feb26 Jan30       (koriner brian)SMITH E 118 2.00 28% 2.50    
SAPADILLA         (cecil d)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 8.00    
BOLD CHOICE Feb19 Jan30       (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 118 1.60 44% 1.30    
FEELING FLUSH Jan30         (mulhall kr)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 4.00 6% 15.80    
MINING CRYPTO Feb25         (mendez luis)ZONETT KEYNER 126 6.00    
 
SA-7   03/18/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LA V.         (powell leo)VAN DRAYDEN 126 6.00 7% 12.40    
ST HELENA Feb18 Jan21       (puype mike)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 2.00 40% 1.50    
ROSES R BLUE Feb11 Jan16       (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 126 4.00 18% 4.70    
SHE LOVES KARAOKE Jan22         (saavedra k)BAZE C 126 12.00    
FULL SPEED ASTERN Feb21 Jan08       (oviedo p)ELLINGWOOD A 111 15.00 6% 14.60    
PISTACHIO PRINCESS Feb18 Jan21       (miyadi steven)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 1.60    
DANCE LADY         (mathis andy)FREY KYLE 126 6.00    
SPANISH CHANNEL Jan22 Jan08       (nichols samue)VALDIVIA JR 126 12.00 6% 14.70    
 
SA-8   03/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AWESOME CHARGE         (sadler w)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.50 15% 5.60    
CEE E OH Feb19         (hofmans david)PYFER JESSICA 118 20.00    
CONUNDRUM Feb25         (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 126 6.00    
CANDY FURY Feb04         (garcia vic)HERNANDEZ J 126 8.00    
SPEED BOAT Feb04         (koriner brian)SMITH E 126 5.00 32% 2.20    
LITTLE MISCHIEF         (dunham d)ELLINGWOOD A 119 20.00    
BIG WELL Feb06 Jan17       (hanson ryan)CURATOLO RYAN 126 8.00    
ERIK THE VIKING         (yakteen tim)FREY KYLE 118 12.00    
BOB DANIELS Feb25         (wong jonathan)CEDILLO ABEL 126 6.00 9% 10.30    
10  HEAD FOR BUSINESS Feb25         (hess b)BAZE C 126 6.00    
11  SAFE COMBINATION         (gutierrez j)HERRERA A 121 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
SA-9   03/18/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($69K) 3 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMUGGLER'S RUN Feb11 Jan30 Jan01     (baltas richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
ECHOSMITH (IRE) Feb19 Jan30       (wong jonath)HERRERA A 117 8.00    
BOCHOMBO         (alvarado r)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
DIAMOND DIGGER         (brinkerhoff val)BAZE C 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
DOITFORANDREW (GB) Feb19         (d'amato phi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
HIGHLAND GHOST Feb18 Jan15       (jauregui j)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00    
SHUT UP MICHAEL (IRE) Feb26 Jan30 Jan09     (d'amato philip)BRAVO J 122 6.00    
OLYMPIC LEGEND Feb26 Jan30       (mendez luis)VALDIVIA JR 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.