Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - March 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER REIGN Jan28         (albright ge)INIRIO J 123 10.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  CURTEIS Feb20         (dunham b)FLORES JR 123 3.50 ★    
3  JUMP FREE Feb25 Jan28       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 1.50 12% 7.40    
4  REBEL RULER Feb25 Feb09       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.40 38% 1.60    
5  HE CAME TRUE         (ferreira fer)BERRIOS C 123 10.00 10% 8.50    
 
PEN-2   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EQUAL JUSTICE Feb23 Feb02 Jan11     (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  WOLFINBARGER         (rathman elisha)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
3  HESASMOKIN Feb02 Jan11       (hillegass a)INIRIO J 120 15.00 ★    
4  PAPA TONY Feb15 Jan25 Jan11     (dimitriou)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 11% 8.20    
5  CHEEK TO CHEEK Feb11 Jan26       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 12% 7.60    
6  PICTOR Feb13 Jan26 Jan04     (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.50 30% 2.30    
 
PEN-3   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3 F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  V W TURBO Mar04 Feb11       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
2  CRISPY GAL Feb19 Feb11       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 38% 1.60    
3  TINA BURNER Feb23 Feb02 Jan11     (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 8.00    
4  SHE'S A GUNFIGHTER Feb16         (albright )VARGAS L 122 5.00 9% 10.00    
5  ASGATA Feb01         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 122 3.00 15% 5.90    
SCR  FOXYNBOSSY Feb16         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 15.00    
7  AWESOME TAP Mar04 Feb16 Jan25     (nunley rand)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50 8% 11.50    
8  NOBLE CITY Feb23 Jan25       (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  DENALI RAE Mar04 Feb11 Jan25     (carpio erin)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
10  STIMULATING MISS Feb23         (shea h)CORA D 122 30.00    
 
PEN-4   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN'S DREAM Feb18 Feb02 Jan19     (ferreira fe)INIRIO J 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
2  COUNTESS SHANAKILL Feb18 Feb02 Jan19     (albright r)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 ★    
3  NORA RADD Feb18 Jan14       (kravets bruce )CONNER TYLER 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
4  MERINO WOOL Mar09 Feb08 Jan14 Jan04   (rojas e)CORA D 120 8.00 6% 14.70    
5  STORMY SPELL Jan25 Jan14       (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUL STORY         (albright )VARGAS L 124 3.50 ★    
2  PALACE SUPERNOVA Feb15 Jan04       (shuman mark)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 ★    
3  GIANFORTE         (shea h)CORA D 124 10.00 7% 12.60    
4  PAULINO Mar02 Jan14       (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
5  DIXIE CANNONBALL Jan28 Jan07       (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
6  SPOOKY ONE Feb16 Jan28 Jan07     (albright ge)INIRIO J 124 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   03/16/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISH FOR PEACE Feb15 Feb01       (stites w)AGUILAR M 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  PAUL DRAKE Feb23         (nunley rand)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 ★    
3  BUMBLE MONSTER Feb15         (iorio sa)DAVIS A 123 4.50    
4  CRITICAL THINKING         (shea h)CORA D 123 6.00 ★    
5  KAZTHAROS Mar01         (synnefias dimitri)OTERO P 123 3.50 47% 1.10    
6  WICKED IRISHMAN         (wolfe bob)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   03/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUDURO Mar01 Feb11 Feb02 Jan11   (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
2  PAL CAL Jan28 Jan07       (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 ★    
3  KNOWN QUANTITY Feb01         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
4  AIN'T MISBEHAVIN Mar04 Jan26       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 39% 1.50    
5  ESPRESSO CALIENTE Mar04 Jan28 Jan12     (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 122 5.00 ★    
6  THE GREAT CASBY Feb16 Jan26       (moreno tito)CAMILO D 122 4.50    
 
PEN-8   03/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOCULARITY Feb15 Feb02       (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 ★    
2  HOUSE IMPEACHMENT Feb09 Jan25       (fenimore elbert)LLOYD W 122 6.00 12% 7.40    
3  MISTER GARY Mar08 Feb11 Jan28     (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 ★    
4  GALILEE Feb18 Feb01 Jan07     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
5  SUNSHINE MAX Feb18 Feb11       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 13% 6.60    
6  MO CRAZY BLUES Feb18 Jan11       (sells rache)CAMILO D 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.