Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Tuesday - March 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   03/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLO MY BUDGET Feb16 Jan28 Jan12     (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 123 1.40 53% 0.90    
NAZARENO Feb08 Feb01 Jan12     (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00    
TALENTED T J Mar02         (ippolito mark)BAKER J 119 6.00    
SHARP RED EAGLE Feb23         (bentley f)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.00    
NIMITZ Feb08         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 119 1.80 24% 3.20    
 
PEN-2   03/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATHERN'S JOY Mar04 Feb20 Jan26 Jan07   (velez irv)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
MOON MEISTER Feb11 Jan28       (ferreira fer)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
GOOGLE IT Feb15 Jan19       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 2.00 19% 4.40    
MAIN COOL CAT Feb18 Jan26 Jan07     (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 9% 10.30    
LEGIT (IRE) Feb07 Jan16       (graci a)OTERO P 120 3.00 9% 9.60    
VITESSE Jan12         (johnston rob)CORA D 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-3   03/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERCEPT Mar01 Jan28       (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  PETTINBERG Feb15 Jan12       (moreno-barban lea)BAKER J 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  PASSCODE Mar04 Feb11 Jan11     (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 124 15.00    
FOR THE MOMENT Mar04 Feb11 Jan26 Jan14   (smith r)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 6% 16.90    
LETORT Feb15 Jan12       (stites flint)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 20.00    
PECOS BILL Feb15         (bartoni )DAVIS A 124 10.00    
SCR  TRUE WISDOM Feb23 Feb01       (beattie r)VARGAS L 124 10.00    
C C'S WARRIOR Mar04 Feb16       (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
CUMBERLAND GAP Feb15 Jan12       (shea h)CORA D 124 10.00 9% 9.80    
 
PEN-4   03/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL Feb19 Jan14 Jan07     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
KATESALUCKYGIRL Feb22 Feb09 Jan14     (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
MISCHIEF MANAGED         (kravets bru)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
SEEKING THE THRONE Mar02 Feb16 Feb02     (fenimore )VARGAS L 118 20.00    
DASHI Feb18         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
RAINBOW TROUT Jan26         (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
WINDY GLO SAL Feb09 Jan19       (beattie m)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
PEN-5   03/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3 F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE SO COOL Feb18 Jan23       (samaniego)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00 11% 8.30    
MARTHARITA Feb18         (morgan carl)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 3.50 15% 5.50    
PEACEARELLA Mar04 Feb16 Jan14     (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
LIFE IS ETERNAL Feb11 Jan14       (geist w)FLORES E 123 6.00    
PSYCHE Feb16 Feb01       (stites w)CONNER TYLER 123 4.50 11% 8.30    
SCR  POP THE CLUTCH Feb25 Jan03       (levine bruce)CORA D 123 3.00 9% 10.40    
 
PEN-6   03/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FED CHAIR Feb15 Feb01       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00 27% 2.80    
LINGFIELD PARK         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 10.00    
SCR  LTL BEAR SALOON Feb08 Jan12       (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 10.00    
JUSTICEOFTHEPEACE         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
ROBBY'S RANSOM Feb23 Feb01       (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 8.00    
RADIEUX         (catalano )HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 24% 3.10    
GANDI Mar01 Feb16 Jan28 Jan12   (albright r)AGUILAR M 123 6.00    
UNCLE YUDI Feb15         (kravets bruce )CONNER TYLER 123 5.00    
CHAIN REACTION Mar01 Feb08 Jan12     (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 123 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
PEN-7   03/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT ACT Feb02 Jan21       (stites flin)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
COPPERHEAD CREEK Feb22 Feb01       (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 7% 13.30    
DOLLARIZATION Feb18 Feb01 Jan11     (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
MY MAN POTS N PANS Feb11 Jan23       (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.50    
PRIME TIME PLAYER Feb02 Jan26       (synnefias dimitri)OTERO P 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
ZERTZ Feb11 Jan26 Jan04     (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
 
PEN-8   03/15/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISHNU Feb23 Feb11 Jan26 Jan12   (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
AFLEET TRAXX Mar01 Feb11 Jan26     (miller ma)VARGAS L 120 12.00 9% 10.70    
YES FOR LESS Mar01 Feb11 Jan25 Jan11   (mcclellan eri)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 15% 5.80    
HOLD THE IRISH Mar01 Feb02 Jan07     (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
SUPER HOUDINI Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11   (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00    
BOCK Mar01 Feb05       (albright amy)FLORES E 120 2.00 18% 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.