Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   03/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($38K) 4UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHOLEBODEMEISTER         (hemingway michell)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
PINK SHOELACES Jan16         (wilson tony)CENTENO E 117 8.00    
DON'T GET KHOZY Jan30 Jan15       (sano antonio)ORTIZ L 118 1.60 29% 2.50    
NIGHT CAP Feb12 Jan16       (raymond robert)CASTANON L 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
TAP DANCE FEVER Feb12 Jan19 Jan08     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00    
SPECIAL PRINCESS Feb12 Jan15       (duncan christ)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 15.00    
 
TAM-2   03/12/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($35.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREWMEISTER         (lewis l)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
CAJUN CASANOVA Feb12 Jan08       (delgado h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 27% 2.80    
HE'S SMOKIN NOW Feb11         (bennett geral)ALVARADO JR 118 10.00 21% 3.80    
DECIMATOR Jan29         (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00    
A ROSE FOR RAVEN Feb05 Jan15       (raven kerri)CASTANON L 118 10.00    
JEOPARDY JAMES Jan17         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 118 3.50 28% 2.50    
SELF TAUGHT Jan30         (hess b)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
 
TAM-3   03/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKY DICE Feb04 Jan22       (raymond)DE CRUZ 120 10.00    
STREET LAMP Feb18 Feb04       (hamm timothy)HERNANDEZ K 120 3.50 11% 7.70    
OUTSTANDING ISLAND         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 10.00    
EL FANTASMA Feb18 Feb04       (boland sharon)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
THAT'S MY BOI TOY Feb20 Feb04       (raymond rober)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 8.00    
SCR  CINNAMONJAWBREAKER Feb04         (hall philip)GARCIA A 120 30.00    
SCR  CONSIDER ME         (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 120 15.00    
RUNAWAY TOM Jan16         (o'connell kath)MORENO ANGEL 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
GOLDEN WONDER Feb23 Feb09       (dobber w)WALES GARY 120 30.00    
10  MARSICO         (delgado jose)BATISTA A 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  JAQUE MATE COCO         (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 120 30.00    
SCR  CLASSIC ESCAPE Feb20         (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
13  AS DE ORO COCO         (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 120 15.00    
 
TAM-4   03/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY PLANK Jan21         (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 119 12.00    
SCR  PHAROAH CAT Feb18 Feb06 Jan23     (gulick )DE CRUZ 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
JACKSON STRONG Feb13 Jan28 Jan09     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 8.00    
NANTUCKETER Feb13 Jan22 Jan07     (raymond robe)BATISTA A 119 15.00 9% 9.80    
EXCELLENT MARK Feb13 Jan15       (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 119 12.00    
SPANISH SOUL Mar02 Jan15       (nunn douglas)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  AKTHAM Feb25 Jan28 Jan09     (es)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 119 10.00    
CAPTAIN Feb25 Jan23       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
JIMMY THE KID Jan21 Jan09       (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
10  CPOWER Feb25 Feb13       (azpurua edu)GARCIA A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  TINKER'S PAL Feb25 Jan23       (manchan be)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
12  MIAMI CHROME Feb13 Jan22       (mcgoey mon)ROWLAND MADELINE 112 15.00    
SCR  LUCA DREW THE ACE Feb27 Feb13 Jan21 Jan09   (raymond rob)MARIN A 119 15.00    
SCR  UNIQUE PATH Feb06 Jan23 Jan07     (dini mi)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
 
TAM-5   03/12/2022 5400ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FENWICK Feb13 Jan22       (fisher david)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00    
FLATFORD MILL Feb12         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 10.00    
KING OF CHAOS         (hemingway mi)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
ROYAL COURT Feb12 Jan08       (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 10.00 27% 2.70    
ALWAYS ABOVE Feb12         (nihei mi)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
PICCADILLY         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
EXXEL Feb12 Jan14       (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 120 15.00    
COMMANDPERFORMANCE         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 0.60 48% 1.10    
 
TAM-6   03/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO WORDS         (blair jordan)CASTANON L 120 12.00    
LA CASA D'ORO Jan08         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 18% 4.40    
CROSSTALK         (ryan derek )GARCIA A 120 15.00    
RAGTIME BELLE         (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 120 20.00    
SCR  SPEED CHESS         (ban)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 15.00    
BIRTHDAY TIME (GER)         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
SPIKED         (terranova joh)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
SWEETS MAKER         (mcgaughe)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
GINA ROMANTICA         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 19% 4.20    
10  AMOR COCO         (cordero-lopez)FLORES ADRIAN 120 30.00    
11  LADY CREATIVE         (axmaker co)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 30.00    
12  BROOKWOOD HILLS Feb12 Jan15       (harty eoin)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
SCR  NONNA PATRIZIA         (ryan s)CASTANON L 120 15.00    
 
TAM-7   03/12/2022 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY LUCKY         (albertrani t)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DYNAFFAIR by DYNAFORMER)
TAKE CHARGE RO Jan21         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 18% 4.60    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of BIG AWAKENING by BIG BROWN)
LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE Feb05         (attfield )WILSON JAYNE 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of LADY SHAKESPEARE by THEATRICAL (IRE))
GLADYS Feb12 Jan29       (danner kelsey)CENTENO E 118 20.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LOTTA KIM by ROAR)
BLEECKER STREET Feb05 Jan08       (brown)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LEMON LIQUEUR by EXCHANGE RATE)
ROCKY SKY (IRE)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ROAD TOSKY by ELUSIVE CITY)
RUNAWAY RUMOUR         (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
JEZEBEL'S KITTEN Feb05         (davis christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of TRUC'S LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
NANTUCKET RED Feb05 Jan15       (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SCARLETT MADELEINE by SMART STRIKE)
 
TAM-8   03/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST Jan29         (albertrani t)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 10.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
MISCHIEF AFOOT Jan29         (toner j)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of W W AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
GREATEST HONOUR         (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 123 3.00    
  (by TAPIT out of TIFFANY'S HONOUR by STREET CRY (IRE))
DYNAMIC ONE         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by UNION RAGS out of BEAT THE DRUMS by FOLLOW THE DRUM)
SCR  WAR STOPPER Feb05         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of MIRA ALTA by CURLIN)
SCR  HIDDEN STASH Feb27 Jan15       (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 118 12.00 6% 15.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAKING MARK MONEY by SMART STRIKE)
TUNE IN Feb09         (alvarado diane)REYES LEONEL 118 12.00    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of EYE OPENER by STORM BOOT)
SCALDING Feb11 Jan05       (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 14% 6.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of HOT WATER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
CODY'S WISH         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 6% 15.60    
  (by CURLIN out of DANCE CARD by TAPIT)
SCR  SHIRL'S SPEIGHT Feb05 Jan15       (attfield )WILSON JAYNE 120 6.00 17% 4.70    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PERFECT SHIRL by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
 
TAM-9   03/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MRS. BARBARA         (cas)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 6.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of DESTROY by HOUSEBUSTER)
ROUGHLY A DIAMOND Feb05 Jan01       (nihei mi)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of LEONOR FINI (IRE) by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
DOLCE ZEL (FR)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DOLCE ATTESA by DR FONG)
PRINCESS ELIN Feb12 Jan15       (ali alnaz)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SING LADY SING by SCAT DADDY)
SWEET DUTCHESS Feb16 Jan22       (o'conne)DE CRUZ 118 10.00 9% 9.60    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of SWEET NOTHINGS by STREET CRY (IRE))
SPICER         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MOULIN DE MOUGIN by CURLIN)
ALITTLELOVEANDLUCK Feb12 Jan01       (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by ARROGATE out of POINTS OF GRACE by POINT GIVEN)
ON ALERT Feb16 Jan02       (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DARLING'S DARLING by BERNARDINI)
AMBITIEUSE Feb05         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LUCKY FOLIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
TAM-10   03/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENS MALICE Feb04 Jan08       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
WAKE SURF Jan22         (arnold george )ORTIZ L 118 4.50    
KITTEN MISCHIEF Feb12 Jan09       (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
NIGHT JUMPER Feb04         (isbell )DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
HEAVEN STREET         (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
FORT WASHINGTON         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50    
SCR  BOITANO Jan30 Jan07       (harty eoin)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
GINGRICH Jan01         (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 31% 2.30    
ELECTROSTATIC         (delacour arnau)CAMACHO SAMY 118 12.00    
10  GRUMLEY Jan08         (bennett gerald)CASTANON L 118 10.00 21% 3.70    
 
TAM-11   03/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRANTHAM Feb05         (maker michael )CAMACHO SAMY 118 20.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of DARBY BLUSH by DARBY CREEK ROAD)
TRADEMARK Feb12         (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 118 30.00    
  (by UPSTART out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
HAPPY BOY ROCKET Jan29         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of BIBLE BELT by PULPIT)
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY Feb12         (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of PRIVATE WORLD by THUNDER GULCH)
GIANT GAME Feb05         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of GAME FOR MORE by MORE THAN READY)
GOLDEN GLIDER Feb12 Jan07       (casse ma)GALLARDO A 118 12.00 6% 14.70    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GOLDEN SCARF by ORIENTATE)
SCR  STRIKE HARD Feb12 Jan01       (williams matthew )SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 8% 11.20    
  (by FLASHBACK out of COCO'S SWEETIE by TENPINS)
MAJOR GENERAL         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 7% 12.90    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of NO MO LEMONS by UNCLE MO)
SHIPSATIONAL Feb12         (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 57% 0.70    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of REGAL APPROACH by THUNDER GULCH)
10  BELGRADE Feb19         (motio)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MISS PRYTANIA by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  MONEY SUPPLY Feb12         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of EVITA'S SISTER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
12  SPIN WHEEL Feb05         (arnold george )CASTANON L 118 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ZINZAY by SMART STRIKE)
 
TAM-12   03/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURE COUNTRY         (oliver victoria)CENTENO E 120 8.00    
UNBRIDLED ENSIGN Feb26 Jan15       (sweezey )GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
GET SERIOUS         (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00    
EDYE'S CANDY Feb12         (motion graha)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 8% 11.80    
AFRAID NOT Jan22         (ry)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 120 30.00    
INDIA CARIBE Feb12         (lopez bernardo)CHAVEZ DEIVY 120 15.00    
STANDUP COMEDIENNE Feb27 Jan22       (arnett jon )GARCIA A 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
BALI BELLE         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 23% 3.30    
CURIOUSLY Feb12         (mot)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00    
10  ZENA CROWN         (ryan s)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00    
SCR  SALADA         (banach da)WILSON JAYNE 120 30.00    
12  LAUGH AND PLAY Jan15         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
SCR  DISTINCTLYPOSSIBLE         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 0.80 37% 1.70    
14  POINT WELL TAKEN Feb02         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.