Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sam Houston Park
Saturday - March 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HOU-2   03/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14.5K) 3 F PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOSIE Feb25 Feb02 Jan15     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 3.50 11% 8.30    
THOUGHTSANDPRAYERS Feb24 Jan13       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 1.60    
GOLDEN ARTIST Jan09         (jeansonne )ERAMIA E 122 10.00 6% 15.60    
CHA Feb24 Feb10       (stuart c)PEREZ E 122 12.00 9% 10.20    
LIL DITTY'S KITTY Mar02         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.50    
SOCIAL DATE Feb09         (reeves je)TRIANA JR 122 12.00 10% 9.10    
GEE SHE'S PRETTY Mar02 Jan07       (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
 
HOU-3   03/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 35 M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIFTY DAWN Jan29         (pruitt m)DIEGO V 123 8.00 14% 6.10    
REINA DEL SUR Feb12         (young scott)WETHEY JR 115 6.00    
SWEET SHADOW         (castellanos )PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00 13% 6.80    
AD LIBITUM         (zenon alvin)SANCHEZ M 123 50.00    
SI QUERE Feb18         (caste)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 30.00    
KIMBELL'S STRATEGY Feb24 Jan27 Jan13     (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 115 4.50 23% 3.40    
IT'S PERSONAL UN         (ewing e)HUGHES CARLY 118 30.00    
SUFFRAGETTE Jan27 Jan13       (pish da)GONCALVES R 123 0.50 29% 2.40    
 
HOU-4   03/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VANGILDER Feb16 Jan21       (ashford)GONCALVES R 121 4.00 8% 10.80    
FRED'STWIRLINCANDY Feb18 Jan27       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 12.00    
NEWPORT BEACH Feb18 Jan21       (offolter joe)ALVAREZ L 119 6.00    
HARD ATTACK Feb16 Jan21       (duhon paul)ELLIOTT S 119 4.50    
METROPOL Feb24 Jan27 Jan08     (castellano)ERAMIA E 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
MOOJAB JR Feb19 Jan20       (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 4.00    
JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) Feb18 Jan27 Jan21     (willis mi)TRIANA JR 119 3.00 10% 9.40    
BIZZY LEGS Feb25 Jan21       (davidson brent)MONTALVO C 119 8.00    
 
HOU-5   03/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 9:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 6.00    
SENSEOFEXCELLENCE Jan14         (a)DE CRUZ 122 3.00    
SCR  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Feb12 Jan21       (moreno carlos)DIEGO V 122 8.00 10% 9.00    
CHARLOTTES WAY Feb13         (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
NORDIC QUEEN         (bravo franc)HAMILTON WESTON 122 10.00    
REDEFINITION Feb04         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DEN'S ROSE         (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 122 20.00    
JOY IN THE BATTLE         (clary jaylan)MORA GERARDO 122 30.00    
MASSARD         (moque)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
HOU-6   03/12/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 45 ALL PT-10:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOM'S PRAYER Feb23 Jan21 Jan06     (clemons patrick)SANCHEZ M 118 50.00    
BEDUIN FIGHTER Feb24 Jan28 Jan01     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80 49% 1.10    
HARD CANDY Feb10 Jan22       (g)DE CRUZ 123 20.00    
SCR  WHEELS Feb10         (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 123 4.50    
SCARYATCANTERBURY Feb24 Jan29       (silva miguel)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 10.00    
WILTON Feb10 Jan29 Jan07     (cravens ronn)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 25% 3.10    
STASIS         (bravenec darre)LUZZI J 123 3.00    
TIZ STRONG Feb26 Feb10       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00    
BRAHMS BOY Feb10 Jan27       (stevens w)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 12.00    
10  KITTY CAT BLING         (ewing e)HUGHES CARLY 118 30.00    
 
HOU-7   03/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT-10:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
B'ESAME ME MUCHO Jan28         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
TREATY OF PARIS Feb16         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
DORITA'S HEART Feb04 Jan22 Jan13     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 20.00 20% 3.90    
SET THE PACE Feb05         (calhoun willia)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
LEMON ROSES Jan28 Jan13       (love alan)PEREZ E 123 6.00    
STREAMER Mar04 Feb19 Jan28 Jan13 Jan05 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 12.00 6% 14.60    
A GIRL LIKE ME Jan13         (hall john)TRIANA JR 123 2.00    
SEEING DOUBLE Jan13         (david)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00    
 
HOU-8   03/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 4UP ALL PT-11:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECLARE WAR         (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 119 15.00    
SCR  ATTAIN SUCCESS Feb24 Jan28 Jan14     (keen dallas)ALVAREZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
EZMOSH Feb16         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 6.00    
LIAM SKYE Feb16 Jan26 Jan07     (gallaway edd)PIVARAL GERBER 119 20.00    
SCR  VICTORY BOULEVARD Feb24 Jan21       (pearson m)MORA GERARDO 119 2.50 16% 5.40    
TASHKENT Feb20 Jan22 Jan09     (villafranco)WETHEY JR 119 15.00    
HAVE A PLAN Feb09 Jan21       (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
KHOLA Feb18 Jan27       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 119 10.00    
AVAILABLE STAR Feb26 Feb05 Jan01     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 119 4.50    
10  MAU MAU (BRZ) Feb17 Feb09 Jan21 Jan08   (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 8.00    
11  SEDUCTIVE U S A Feb16         (g)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
HOU-9   03/12/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT-11:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLESHIP BEVO Feb24 Feb04 Jan08     (willi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
AFLEET SNIPER Feb24 Feb09 Jan08     (pruitt jo)TRIANA JR 123 10.00    
SAILING JETT Feb24 Feb03 Jan12     (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 10.00    
RUNAWAY TRACY Feb23 Feb10 Jan07     (scholl kev)ERAMIA E 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
MEAN CANNON Mar02 Feb14 Feb04 Jan09   (stuart )GONCALVES R 123 3.50    
FUNNY ACTOR Feb26 Feb11 Jan27     (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 123 8.00    
SECRET BLARNEY Feb24 Feb09 Jan20     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.50    
DREAMONMEBABY Feb24 Jan20       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 6.00 25% 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.