Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Saturday - March 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMENT TO DREAM Mar04 Jan28 Jan02     (camejo m)ROSENDO J 117 1.40 60% 0.70    
1A  RYDENSEEK Feb26 Feb03       (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 1.40    
SAVANNAH'S HERE Feb26 Feb13 Jan28 Jan07   (hatcher d)DIAZ RENE 120 30.00    
COSMIC BELLE Feb26 Jan28       (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 6.00    
HAIRTRIGGER HEART Feb04         (flugence henry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 30.00    
SCR  SADIE'S PORT Feb26 Jan28       (ladner chad)STOKES J 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET JACKIELEIGH Jan28 Jan13       (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 125 12.00    
ELLIE'S A WILDCAT Feb24 Jan29 Jan14     (broussard j)LEDET THEODRICK 125 20.00    
MO BELLA Jan30 Jan01       (dandridge cour)CULP BRIANNE 112 8.00    
LAWSUIT LUCY Feb11 Jan28       (harrison cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 4.50 11% 7.70    
SCR  TANTALIZING TEN Feb24         (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ABSOLUTELY MINDY Feb14 Jan28 Jan13     (thompson kevin)COTTO L 125 30.00    
 
FG-2   03/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 YIELDING Allowance Purse ($47K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLETT LACE Feb12 Jan23       (block chr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
DRAWN TO RACE (GER) Jan23         (stall albe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.00 13% 6.60    
MO NORMAL Jan15         (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 8.00 6% 16.20    
FOREVER DREAMING Jan23         (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
YOUENS Feb12 Jan15       (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 6% 15.80    
NOW YUS CANT LEAVE Feb12 Jan15       (rubley kelly)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 10.00 5% 18.40    
TECATE TIME Feb23 Jan27       (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 10.00    
READY TO VENTURE (GB)         (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00    
SCR  WORLD OF WONDER Feb03 Jan06       (forster gr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 45% 1.20    
 
FG-3   03/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STERLING MISS Feb14         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50    
CHEETARA (CHI)         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
PALIO FLAG Feb14         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
BECCA'S ROCKET Jan30         (gelner scott)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
EUPHORIC Feb14 Jan29       (flint berna)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
 
FG-4   03/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAID OF HONOR Jan30         (block chris)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 15.00    
FLATTER ME SILLY Feb12 Jan06       (pessin ne)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
SCR  REINA DE MOLLENDO (ARG)         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
RUSSIAN MAFIA Feb13         (rodriguez edua)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00    
DAZZLING SUN (SAF)         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
STROLLIN THE BAYOU Jan15         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
CLARA PEETERS (GB) Feb13         (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.00 68% 0.50    
PRINCESS THEOREM Jan22         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50    
SCR  WATRUGONNADOKAREN Jan14         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  POSTNUP Feb13         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
11  GIANNA'S GIFT Jan29 Jan15       (miller jerome)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00    
SCR  GOOD PENNY Jan29         (shirer a)PARKER L 120 12.00    
 
FG-5   03/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRADO'S PRIORITY Feb19         (thomas lee)COTTO L 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
BRON AND BROW Feb17 Jan14       (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 1.20 31% 2.20    
ORDER UP Feb05         (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 10% 8.80    
TWO B Feb19 Feb10 Jan08     (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
GUTZY Feb17 Jan08       (camejo m)GRAHAM J 119 3.50    
DREWMAZING Feb26 Feb11       (briley lonni)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 15.00    
BASEBALL LOVER Feb20         (arndt theodore)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 6.00 14% 5.90    
 
FG-6   03/12/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($49K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOGICAL MYTH Jan30         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
CASH LOGISTICS Feb14         (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 122 10.00    
OWN AGENDA Jan22         (devaux ch)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
SCR  BEACHCOMBING Jan14         (wilson shan)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00    
T D DANCE Feb14         (cox h)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 7% 13.40    
MIDNIGHT TEA TIME         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 15% 5.60    
DYN O MITE Jan30 Jan22       (desormeaux kei)PARKER L 120 12.00    
ATTORNEY TIM Feb10 Jan13       (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
MONARCHS GLEN (GB) Feb19 Jan22       (maker michael )SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
10  BEMMA'S BOY Feb14         (maker mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
SCR  DOUBLE CROWN Feb21 Jan29       (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 115 4.50    
SCR  AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) Feb25 Jan27       (casse norm)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00    
SCR  COWBOY DIPLOMACY Jan15         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
FG-7   03/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($52K) 3 ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLACIAL         (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
ALEBRIJE Feb28 Jan02       (lopez elias)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00    
UNIFIED REPORT Feb05 Jan22       (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 116 3.50 39% 1.50    
BALADI Jan15         (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00    
KISSALOT Feb12 Jan09       (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
CHARCO Feb17         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
BUCKINGHAM PRINCE Feb11         (casse w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00 8% 11.90    
NINETIES COUNTRY         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 8% 12.10    
 
FG-8   03/12/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARIAH'S FORTUNE Feb18         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 6.00    
LOLLOPING Feb12         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
KNEESNHIPS         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
CALIFORNIA ANGEL Feb19         (leonard i)PARKER L 122 8.00    
PEARL EARRING Jan29 Jan01       (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 16% 5.30    
LUCK IS FICKLE Feb10         (asmussen s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
DREAMWORKER Jan01         (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 25% 3.10    
CECILITA Jan15         (rubley kelly)MOJICA O 118 8.00    
NEW YEAR'S EVE Jan29         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.00 36% 1.80    
10  TAYLOR'S SECRET         (gelner scott)GREEN AUBRIE 118 30.00    
 
FG-9   03/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACEE Feb13 Jan16 Jan02     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  PINEAPPLE ALLEY Feb19 Jan22 Jan01     (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00    
HONEYSUCKLEDELIGHT Feb19 Jan22 Jan02     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
RUN NATALIE RUN Feb12 Jan22 Jan01     (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 12.00    
OURS AND THEIRS         (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 120 6.00    
MISS BARETA Feb03         (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
ASK DALE Feb03         (courville rick)COTTO L 120 8.00    
SCR  MY LITTLE MIA Mar04         (perron gerard)STOKES A 120 20.00    
THAT'S MY MAMA Feb12 Jan15       (noel dane)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
ISN'T IT TIME Feb19 Feb03 Jan01     (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 5.00 11% 8.10    
10  DREWSILLA Feb19 Jan22 Jan01     (mouton pat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.