Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - March 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEANETTEO         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.40 24% 3.10    
2  J M R GEMMA Feb18 Jan25       (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  KEEN ON ME Jan11         (sells rache)CAMILO D 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
4  SHASHKA Feb18         (albright r)FLORES E 121 4.00 ★    
5  PURELY SILVER         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-2   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS JUNEBUG Feb25 Feb11 Jan26 Jan12   (albright )VARGAS L 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  VALENTINA'S CUPID Feb22 Jan26 Jan12     (albright r)FLORES E 124 8.00    
3  MARYEVIL Jan26         (synnefias panagio)BAKER J 124 10.00 ★    
4  SCARLET LILY Feb25 Feb11 Jan26 Jan12   (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  FINE ENTHUSIASM Feb25 Jan07       (agnew naois)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
6  IAMPROUD Feb22 Feb06 Jan19 Jan11   (cuprill )FLORES JR 124 2.00 9% 9.80    
 
PEN-3   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEM JUAN Feb23 Jan25 Jan07     (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 122 8.00 ★    
2  SHADOW BOAT Feb08 Jan11       (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 5.00 ★    
3  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Feb23         (sells rachel)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
4  EYES OF ZEUS Feb11 Jan25 Jan11     (salinas jose)OTERO P 120 30.00    
5  ASHRAQ Feb08         (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
6  GOTANDA Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan09   (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
7  GATOR FIFTY TWO Feb23 Feb10       (sillaman richa)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   03/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASHTAG WINNING Feb18 Jan04       (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 120 3.00 9% 9.90    
2  MOTI Feb11 Jan13       (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 ★    
3  SOUPER CATCH Feb18 Feb02       (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.60 52% 0.90    
4  IYWAAN         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 1.80 16% 5.20    
5  ROYAL SUSPECT Feb18 Feb02 Jan11     (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 120 10.00    
6  BUILT THAT WAY Feb18 Jan28 Jan19     (ferreira fernan)WHITNEY G 122 15.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   03/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SACRED MOUNTAIN Feb18 Feb01       (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 5.00    
2  POCOPSON STATION Mar01 Feb11 Jan25 Jan11   (ippolito mark)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 ★    
3  CATTLE DRIVE Mar01 Feb18 Jan26 Jan19   (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Feb24 Feb06 Jan21     (martin aug)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 12.00 ★    
5  PEPE TONO Mar01 Feb15       (oliva robert)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 10% 8.80    
6  SOLAR WARMING Mar01 Feb15 Jan19     (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.60 60% 0.70    
 
PEN-6   03/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTHERN THUNDER         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
2  JOJOMAR Feb18 Feb08 Jan19     (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 7% 13.90    
3  SOUL FIGHT Feb15 Jan19       (hillegass alexandr)FLORES E 120 10.00 ★    
4  NARMER Feb21 Jan27       (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 5.00    
5  PETULANT DELIGHT Feb18         (velez irving)WHITNEY G 120 4.00 14% 6.20    
6  MR HOOVER Feb18 Feb01 Jan11     (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
7  CHARGING LION Feb15 Jan27 Jan13     (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
PEN-7   03/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOLA GIRL Feb22 Jan04       (albright r)FLORES E 124 8.00 14% 6.10    
2  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Feb08 Jan14       (hillegass a)INIRIO J 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
3  NABRUZZI Feb08         (williams abdu)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
4  NORTHERN CROSS Mar01         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 33% 2.10    
5  TIP TOP TAPPER Feb16 Jan14       (o'callahan carl)WHITNEY G 122 6.00    
6  MELODIA Feb22 Feb02 Jan11     (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 5.00    
SCR  NOW PRAMELA Feb08 Jan26 Jan07     (valdez mois)CAMILO D 122 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-8   03/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRON CLASH Jan25         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 122 3.50    
2  DREAM OF WARRIOR Feb26 Jan25       (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 29% 2.50    
3  HAPPY GUY Feb23 Feb02 Jan25 Jan07   (jacavone j)LLOYD W 122 8.00 19% 4.40    
4  SCREEN STAR Feb23 Jan25 Jan07     (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
5  MR CLIPBOARD Feb18 Jan04       (mick r)FLORES E 122 10.00    
6  DREAMING OF LOVE Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 Jan07   (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 8.00 6% 15.30    
7  METHODTOTHEMADNESS Feb18 Feb08       (stites w)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.