Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - March 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   03/09/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD FELLOW Feb08 Jan11       (gonzal)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 3.50 10% 8.90    
LOVEDISC Feb11 Feb02       (bobadilla j )BERRIOS C 122 15.00 7% 14.00    
JOZANI R V F Feb11 Feb02 Jan07     (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 10.00 7% 13.30    
ICHIGO Mar01 Jan25 Jan07     (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 2.50    
BOSSY CAT Feb18 Feb02       (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
SILVER TOKEN Feb18 Jan25       (o'callahan ca)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 14% 5.90    
 
PEN-2   03/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROTECTTHEWITNESS         (schoentha)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.80 25% 3.00    
SOULSTONE Jan08         (maroun doug)INIRIO J 123 6.00    
WILLING         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 4.00    
ANIPPE         (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
SULTRY SKY         (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 5.00    
AFTER ALPHA         (huertas nirk)BERRIOS C 123 6.00    
 
PEN-3   03/09/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRENDING UP Feb16 Jan19 Jan04     (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 122 1.50 30% 2.30    
ALL TACKED UP Feb15 Jan26 Jan07     (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
SIMMONS Feb16 Jan26 Jan07     (wolfe bob)VARGAS L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
GOSIGNAL Feb11 Jan04       (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00    
COOL COMEDIAN Jan26 Jan07       (agnew naois)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00    
CRYPT Feb16 Jan26       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
TUCKERTON BAY Feb16 Jan26 Jan04     (ippolito mark)BAKER J 120 8.00    
LEAVE 'EM LOADED Feb15 Jan04       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 15.00    
LONG TOM Feb16 Feb11 Jan26     (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 30.00    
 
PEN-4   03/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MRS. CREWS Feb08 Feb01       (smith everton)RANGEL JOEZER 124 15.00    
GAVIE Feb22 Feb09       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
HILL VALLEY Feb22 Jan14       (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
BECCA'S WISH Feb09 Jan25 Jan04     (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
MARIE FROM PARIE Feb22         (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 10.00 6% 15.70    
MERINO WOOL Feb08 Jan14 Jan04     (rojas e)AGUILAR M 124 3.50    
 
PEN-5   03/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ORIGINALY FROM DOT Feb28 Feb09 Jan26 Jan12   (pollara fra)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 5.00    
KITTEN'S PEEBLES Feb08 Jan28       (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
SCR  ZENSATIONAL DIXIE Feb15 Feb01 Jan19     (merced)TORRES O 120 12.00    
INTROSPECTION Feb09         (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  FAIR LASSIE Jan14         (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 22% 3.60    
BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Feb18 Jan25       (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
UNO TIGRESS Jan28 Jan05       (moreno tito)BERRIOS C 122 3.00 12% 7.30    
IL MIO AMORE Feb22 Feb09 Jan12     (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 12.00 8% 11.10    
 
PEN-6   03/09/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNIFF Feb08 Jan12       (huertas n)VARGAS L 122 12.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  PHILADELPHIA BELLE Jan05         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00    
TIMELY TRADITION Feb18 Feb01       (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  SHERO Mar07 Jan26       (mosco rob)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
FLATTERING RUBY Feb18 Feb01       (stites f)DAVIS A 120 2.50 12% 7.10    
SEEKING THE DREAM Feb18         (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  HYDRA Feb10 Jan05       (englehart jeff)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
 
PEN-7   03/09/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER BOOGIE Jan25 Jan04       (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
OSCAR WINNER Feb11 Jan26 Jan12     (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
MIAMI MUMBLES Feb23 Feb08       (johnston rob)CORA D 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  MISSION OBERON Jan05         (castillo michelle)OTERO P 120 5.00    
A T M AWESOME Feb15 Feb01 Jan14     (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 8% 12.30    
RIPPOLINO Feb18 Jan28 Jan19     (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
PEN-8   03/09/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCO PARTY Feb22 Feb09 Jan07     (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 12.00    
LADY BREXIT Jan25 Jan08       (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 2.50    
COLOR FORCE Mar02 Feb22 Feb09 Jan28 Jan12 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 12.00    
SCR  WICKED SOLUTION Feb22 Jan04       (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Feb28 Feb09 Jan25     (betancourt e)HERNANDEZ ANDY 115 5.00    
SCR  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS Feb08 Jan04       (fields kevin)CORA D 122 3.00    
TUXEDO LEMON Feb15 Jan19 Jan04     (sells rachel)FLORES E 122 4.50 53% 0.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.