Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Saturday - March 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-7   03/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTY ECHO Jan28         (martinez danny )NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
SUPER HUNK Jan28 Jan15       (eliott roger)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 10.00    
FIRST COUNT Jan09         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 4.00    
NORWOOD Jan15         (marl)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.50 34% 1.90    
MISS LUCKY LADY Jan11         (cross gary)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 116 8.00 33% 2.00    
BIG SKIPPER Jan30         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 3.50    
KIRBY DERBY Jan15         (smith p)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 3.00    
 
SUN-8   03/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAVORABLE OUTCOME Jan23 Jan01       (cappellucci dick)PEREZ A 119 10.00 17% 4.90    
ZESTFUL Jan23         (hone bart)SARMIENTO RIGO 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
SHERIFF BROWN         (fincher todd)FUENTES A 123 1.40    
MINE THAT STAR Jan23 Jan01       (summers n)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
CONVENTION (IRE) Feb12 Jan23       (lebsock greg)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00    
 
SUN-9   03/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. LEA         (van rober)CARRENO J 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  FI FI D'ORO Feb19 Feb04 Jan15     (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 8.00 8% 11.90    
LONG RANGER Feb12 Feb08 Jan18     (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  CORNERSTONE Feb12 Jan15       (munoz guada)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 12.00    
PORTUGUESEPRINCESS Feb15 Jan28       (valdez-cabral m)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 11% 8.00    
ROX FROM NAVARONE Jan28 Jan02       (mcarthur don)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
LOADED GUN Feb15 Jan25       (gonzalez jos)SARMIENTO RIGO 116 8.00    
TRAVELIN LADY Feb12 Jan18       (chavez artur)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 12.00    
HIGH ON LIFE Jan02         (young a)VILLANUEVA C 124 10.00    
10  ATTACKING GIRL Feb08 Jan28       (soto salv)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
 
SUN-10   03/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING WARRIOR Feb11 Jan23       (gutierrez j)PEREZ A 124 15.00    
SOULONG Jan23         (rojero c)REYES FRANK 124 20.00    
SCR  MR CHARLIE KING Jan14         (gherardi ja)TORRES J 124 20.00    
NOT TODAY SATAN Feb06         (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
PALICE REVENGE Jan25         (van crowell )BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
GATLING GOLD Feb15 Jan30 Jan08     (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
CEBOLLA Feb18 Feb06       (marquez geor)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 12.00    
REEL EM IN Jan01         (lello ton)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
KEY TO THE CITY Feb11 Jan25 Jan08     (smith p)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 6.00    
SCR  IM COMING OVER Feb18         (bueno efrain )MARQUEZ ANGEL 119 4.00    
11  SWITCHERONIMO Feb18 Jan17       (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 124 3.50 10% 8.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.