Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - March 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/04/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-12:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILSHIRE DIAMOND Feb05         (house gary)ALLEN M 123 6.00 19% 4.10    
2  NIP OF BOURBON Feb25         (schistl rafae)VALDES ALEXIS 123 10.00 9% 10.10    
3  DOHKO Feb11 Jan07       (mc john)HERNANDEZ K 123 3.50 18% 4.60    
4  TIZ TRIUMPHANT Feb16 Jan16 Jan05     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 125 1.60    
5  PHARAOH FANCY PANT Feb09 Jan29       (schistl rafae)SANTOS ADEMAR 125 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  YOU'RE IN COREY Feb05 Jan23       (tsirigotis )SPANABEL SKYLER 123 12.00 6% 15.90    
 
TAM-2   03/04/2022 5400ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLY GIRL Feb13 Jan16       (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 120 2.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  RACHEL DREAM Feb18 Feb06 Jan26 Jan05   (duncan christo)MBATHA LUCKY 110 10.00 ★    
SCR  AMAZING MSKITTY Feb19 Jan16 Jan06     (gulick m)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 ★    
4  TOUR FOR GOLD         (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 6.00 ★    
5  BELLAVALENCIA Feb06 Jan16       (duncan christ)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00    
SCR  DURA THE EXPLORER Feb06 Jan22 Jan02     (goberdhan ch)BATISTA A 120 12.00 5% 17.40    
7  SERENDIPIA Feb02         (rondon-mor)ORDONEZ R 120 10.00    
 
TAM-3   03/04/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3 ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACTION DREAM Jan21         (dobber w)WALES GARY 120 5.00    
2  LIVEFORTHESONG Feb16         (bowersock ma)BATISTA A 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  NAVY KING Feb11         (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 113 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  PUSH ME         (hamm timothy)ALVARADO JR 120 10.00 22% 3.50    
5  MIDNIGHT RAID         (mcgaughey re)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 ★    
6  ONE COOL DUDE Feb11         (sanner daniel )CASTANON L 120 2.50 ★    
7  REMEMBER THE TUNE Feb11         (carva)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
 
TAM-4   03/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY WAY OR NO WAY Feb11 Jan26 Jan02     (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00    
SCR  KILLARGUE'S GIRL Feb02 Jan05       (dominguez luis)HENRY WESLEY 117 15.00    
3  CYBERVIKING Feb11 Jan15       (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 120 1.20 47% 1.10    
4  ONE LUCKY DAY Jan30         (o'connell ka)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLD SPECIAL Feb11 Feb03 Jan15     (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00 ★    
6  TRIPULANTE Feb11 Jan16 Jan01     (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.80 15% 5.60    
7  MIL DOSCIENTOS Jan22         (rondon-mora ca)CHAVEZ DEIVY 118 10.00 7% 13.50    
 
TAM-5   03/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE AMADEUS         (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 12.00    
2  RAGING WHIRLWIND         (azpurua ed)URDANETA J 120 15.00    
3  BOURBON BROWN Jan15         (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 115 12.00 ★    
4  LET'S TRY AN ALIAS Feb16         (rodrigue)GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
5  CREATIVE CHOICE Feb16 Jan28 Jan12     (allen lisa)ALLEN M 122 3.00 65% 0.50    
6  ASCENDING MOON Jan19         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 122 2.50 ★    
7  MANUKA BOBBY Feb18         (lorito mario)PINERO A 122 10.00    
8  JOHNNIE GOT JETS Feb06         (dominguez luis)HENRY WESLEY 122 30.00    
SCR  ROADRUNNER KITTEN         (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 122 5.00    
10  RAMIRIN Feb19 Feb02 Jan12     (rodriguez )ALONSO LUIS 120 10.00    
11  SHIPWRECK Jan23         (knoll d)WALES GARY 120 5.00    
SCR  THE ZIP FACTOR Jan16         (cibelli jane)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Feb13 Jan22 Jan07     (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 120 10.00 ★    
 
TAM-6   03/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTORIOUS NICK         (arnett jon )GARCIA A 122 10.00    
2  ARAZI LIKE MOVE Feb02         (barron rory)ALLEN M 122 8.00 13% 7.00    
3  HOT AND HEAVY Feb16 Jan26 Jan12     (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 5.00    
4  STRIKING HEIR Feb20 Feb05 Jan19 Jan05   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00 ★    
5  GUNMAN         (manchan be)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 15.00    
6  MR LIGHTNING BOY Feb16 Jan19 Jan05     (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 4.50 12% 7.50    
7  HIGHLAND PARK HERO Feb05 Jan05       (cahill steven)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
8  GEMO Feb16 Jan26       (russo victor)SPIETH S 122 6.00 7% 13.90    
 
TAM-7   03/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HYPE MAN Feb04 Jan21       (mazza w)BISONO J 120 30.00    
2  OBIWAN Feb04         (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 5.00    
3  SANDY LANE KITTEN Jan22 Jan01       (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
4  KRAMDEN Jan23         (jones doug)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 12.00    
5  YES SIR ROBERT Jan19         (blair jordan)MORALES PABLO 120 15.00    
6  DRIFTWOOD Feb04 Jan15       (potts g)FERRER C 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
7  LORD BARNA Feb05 Jan08       (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 120 8.00 9% 9.90    
8  DREAM LINER (BRZ) Feb12         (wilson tony)CENTENO E 120 10.00 18% 4.60    
9  BRING ME A CHECK Feb05 Jan08       (lund valorie)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00 6% 15.70    
 
TAM-8   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAPHAVATA Feb23 Jan07       (mejia ine)LEON A 122 20.00    
2  LIL GREEN MACHINE Feb13 Jan15       (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 2.50 10% 8.80    
3  O DANNY BOY Feb18 Jan23       (rieger harry)WALES GARY 122 12.00    
4  EL GUAPO Feb06         (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 122 4.50 ★    
5  HIS WILL BE DONE Feb19         (roque elis)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
6  THE SKIPSTER Feb13 Jan23       (house gary)ALLEN M 122 3.00 8% 11.10    
7  CHAIRMAN FOX Feb13         (banach d)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 54% 0.90    
8  BAHAMIAN DUDE Feb13         (davis richar)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 10.00    
9  CARROTS OR CARATS Feb13 Jan07       (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 122 6.00 6% 16.20    
 
TAM-9   03/04/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19.45K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSPREY Feb13 Jan29       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
2  GOLOVKIN Feb13 Jan29 Jan07     (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
3  ALBIE Feb13 Jan13       (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 120 4.50 14% 6.40    
4  SPIRITUAL KING Feb25 Jan19 Jan05     (nunn dou)GALLARDO A 120 3.50    
5  KING ANDRES Feb13 Jan29 Jan12     (poole a)FELICIANO R 120 20.00 6% 15.60    
6  MR. SARCASTIC Jan29         (granitz anth)BATISTA A 120 12.00 7% 12.50    
7  ROBINSON Jan29         (l)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 120 10.00    
8  JO JO KATZ Feb13 Jan26 Jan07     (bennett geral)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
9  VINTNER Feb13 Jan29 Jan07     (yanez mois)ALONSO LUIS 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
10  BUC'S INVESTMINT Feb25         (raymond rober)HERNANDEZ K 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.