Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - March 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S PRETTY LUCKY Feb11 Jan20 Jan06     (hurley rena)MONTALVO C 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
2  LOVE MY RIDE Jan28         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 3.50    
3  ROUSING SLAMMER Jan21         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 20.00    
4  THREE TIME CHARMER Feb16 Jan06       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 2.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  RUNAWAY TRACY Feb23 Feb10 Jan07     (scholl )GONCALVES R 123 5.00 ★    
6  FIFTYSHADESOPURPLE Feb10 Jan28       (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 8.00 ★    
SCR  EUROEAST Feb23 Feb12 Feb04 Jan14 Jan06 (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-3   03/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLWOOD Jan28 Jan14       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 5.00 20% 4.10    
2  RAISON KARTER Feb23 Jan20       (short thoma)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00    
3  JUST ASK JOEL Feb16 Feb04 Jan27     (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 8.00 12% 7.30    
4  RAILROADER (GB) Feb09 Jan20       (carrizales ede)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00    
5  MR. UNUSUAL Feb24 Feb04 Jan28     (c)DE CRUZ 123 4.50 ★    
6  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK Feb19         (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 123 3.00 ★    
7  ZENUCCI Feb16 Jan27 Jan14     (broberg karl)MONTALVO C 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
8  RANCHO BARGO Feb16         (willi)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 118 15.00    
 
HOU-4   03/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCREWBALL Feb18 Jan30 Jan06     (broberg karl)MONTALVO C 122 2.00    
2  LAB RAT Feb10 Jan28 Jan13     (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 4.50 ★    
3  KING JINGALING Jan06         (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  POLLARD'S XPRESS Jan27 Jan08       (pruitt m)LUZZI J 122 20.00 26% 2.80    
5  STEELS ALL IN Feb05         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 3.50 ★    
6  ROCKED Feb11 Jan27       (lucarelli f)MELANCON JANSEN 122 15.00 19% 4.30    
7  IN THE MIDST Feb05 Jan08       (lucarelli frank)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
 
HOU-5   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 45 ALL PT- 9:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENOR Feb18 Jan28       (diodoro robert)BACA L 123 2.50 9% 10.20    
2  LOUISIANA BLING Feb10         (dupuy allen)HAMILTON WESTON 123 10.00    
3  FINAL NARRATIVE Feb10 Jan27       (pish dann)STEINBERG GARRETT 123 6.00    
4  FREE ONE         (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUPER D'ORO Jan29         (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 123 15.00 ★    
6  STEELY CAPER Feb17 Jan28 Jan07     (pish da)GONCALVES R 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
7  HIGHTAIL COWBOY Feb10         (ste)RODRIGUEZ ALBERTO 123 1.80 42% 1.40    
8  PURLOINER Feb10         (george wayne)PIVARAL GERBER 123 30.00    
 
HOU-6   03/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT-10:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLOOD ORANGE         (hurley re)LANDEROS C 122 20.00    
2  CASHMERE DANCER Feb10         (willis mi)TRIANA JR 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
3  LADY SIERRA Feb12         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50 12% 7.00    
4  SAGANAKI Feb10         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
5  IZEADISTORTEDLADY Feb12         (keen dallas)MELANCON JANSEN 122 12.00    
6  GIRLS GOT GAME Feb10         (jacks e)DIEGO V 122 2.00 10% 9.10    
7  AUSTIN CITY GIRL Feb10         (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
8  WALK SOFTLY Feb12         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 12.00 ★    
 
HOU-7   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT-10:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEIGHTSVILLE         (trout r)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00    
2  LUCKY'S SPECIAL Jan30 Jan07       (whitelaw mi)HAMILTON WESTON 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  TEXAS SKYWALKER Feb23 Feb09 Jan13     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 9% 9.60    
4  WEIRD YEAR Jan28         (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00 ★    
5  TIMED EVENT Jan30 Jan13       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 15.00    
6  MALIBU THUNDER Jan30         (eoff terry)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 30.00 ★    
7  SPARKY HALE Jan30 Jan16       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 0.80 47% 1.10    
 
HOU-8   03/04/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.5K) 4UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TASHKENT Feb20 Jan22 Jan09     (villafranco)WETHEY JR 119 8.00    
2  LETHAL MOVE Feb17 Jan30 Jan08     (pish da)GONCALVES R 119 4.50 ★    
3  JAILHOUSE KITTEN Feb18 Jan20       (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 1.80 ★    
4  MESSIAH Feb09         (moque)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  PAPA RIZZO Feb16 Feb05 Jan21     (roberts j)STEINBERG GARRETT 119 20.00    
6  YA GOTTA WANNA Feb05 Jan20       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 10.00 ★    
7  LIL BIG MAN         (jac)URIETA MANUEL 119 15.00    
8  ELLIOTT BAY Feb03 Jan10       (lucarelli f)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  INCA WARRIOR Jan26         (broberg karl)MONTALVO C 119 20.00    
 
HOU-9   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT-11:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSMETOLOGY Feb11 Jan22       (pish danny)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
2  HEAD OVER BOOTS Jan20         (echever)GONCALVES R 123 30.00 ★    
3  MRS. KRINKLES Feb04 Jan14       (echeverria hecto)MONTALVO C 123 10.00    
4  LA TRESS GRAY Jan29         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
5  DAVID'S DREAM GIRL Feb11         (uriegas henr)ALVAREZ L 123 30.00    
6  GOLDEN SECRET         (peek kevin)ERAMIA E 123 1.00 33% 2.10    
7  WOO HOO Feb10 Jan29 Jan14     (villafranco)WETHEY JR 123 12.00 8% 11.10    
8  SALTAMONTES DIVA Feb11 Jan14       (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 6.00 18% 4.60    
9  ITS MY MONEY TOO Feb05 Jan07       (bald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 10.00    
 
HOU-10   03/04/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTFEST Feb09         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.50 18% 4.60    
2  EUROEXIT Feb23 Feb09 Jan21 Jan08   (duhon paul)ALVAREZ L 123 1.20 27% 2.70    
3  RONALD DALE Feb09 Jan20 Jan06     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 8.00 ★    
4  INDIAN ORANGE Jan06         (clemons patrick)SANCHEZ M 123 30.00    
5  MAGIC BOW Jan06         (s)DE CRUZ 123 20.00 12% 7.60    
6  GRADESTER Feb12 Jan06       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
7  ZMOR ARISTOCAT Jan21         (francis alvin )HUGHES CARLY 118 30.00    
8  GOLDEN PALACE Feb23 Feb05 Jan22     (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.