Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - March 02, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEET ME AT MUNDIS Jan19         (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  NEWSTOME Feb16 Jan19       (trombetta micha)WHITNEY G 120 2.50 ★    
3  GRAB THE GOLD         (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 13% 6.40    
SCR  PAGE DOWN Feb23 Feb01 Jan12     (agnew naoise)AGUILAR M 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  WORD ON A WING Feb15         (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00 20% 4.00    
6  BEYOND THE BEND         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   03/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST FOREVER Feb11 Jan12       (martinez)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  SWEET TURN Feb09         (hawthorne bobb)CORREA JULIO 120 2.00 ★    
3  S W BRIAR ROSE Feb18 Feb01       (albright ge)INIRIO J 120 4.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  MS TEEK Jan28         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 ★    
5  TANYA'S GEM Feb18 Feb01       (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
PEN-3   03/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONESTA Feb16 Feb01 Jan14     (jacavone john )CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 ★    
2  EMPRESS NEFERTITI Feb16         (albright am)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
3  FAVORITE DOLL Feb16         (ferreira fer)BERRIOS C 120 3.50 ★    
4  ABOVE THE LINE Feb16 Feb02 Jan19     (miller a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
5  SLEEPY N JOYFUL Feb16 Jan26 Jan04     (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 72% 0.40    
6  SWITCHRATTLENROLL Feb16 Feb01       (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00    
7  SEEKING THE THRONE Feb16 Feb02       (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 ★    
8  BEST CAUSE Feb02         (sells rac)VARGAS L 120 4.00    
SCR  SHOW MAID Feb16 Feb01       (valdez mo)RODRIGUEZ R 120 15.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   03/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ON ISLAND TIME Feb02 Jan26       (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 1.80 ★    
2  SWEET MESA Feb02 Jan14       (stites w)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
3  SILVER LOCKS         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 17% 5.10    
SCR  RUN LAURA RUN Jan28 Jan07       (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  UNION RALLY         (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 4.50 ★    
 
PEN-5   03/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIMITZ CLASS Jan04         (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.60 47% 1.10    
2  TALENTED T J         (ippolito mark)BAKER J 119 8.00 ★    
3  NICE WEATHER Jan12         (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 121 2.50 14% 6.20    
4  BOURBON MUSIC         (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 6.00 ★    
5  LOST IN NEWYORK Feb16         (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 119 2.00 18% 4.70    
 
PEN-6   03/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY QUEST Feb15 Jan28 Jan14     (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 124 1.60 59% 0.70    
2  MR DUBAI Jan28 Jan07       (martinez a)AGUILAR M 124 15.00    
3  PAULINO Jan14         (carpio erin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 8.00 ★    
4  MY MAN GEORGIO Feb15 Jan28 Jan07     (carpio erin)CORA D 124 2.00 8% 12.10    
5  DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Jan28 Jan07       (albright r)FLORES E 124 6.00 ★    
6  ARTIE CHILLER Feb15         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 6% 16.10    
 
PEN-7   03/02/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN ROSEMARY Feb16 Jan19       (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  COLOR FORCE Feb22 Feb09 Jan28 Jan12 Jan04 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 ★    
3  TOMARIE Feb23 Feb09 Jan31 Jan19 Jan03 (bouchard leslye)BOWMAN ADAM 124 1.80 15% 5.50    
SCR  LACOUGRA Feb22 Feb02       (chircop steven)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
5  MOVIE SCORE Feb08 Jan14       (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
6  AMI'S LINK Feb16 Jan19       (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
PEN-8   03/02/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUNNY CALL Feb16 Jan28       (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00 ★    
2  LEFTATTHEALTAR Jan12         (krebs stev)GILARDO COURTNEY 115 8.00    
3  MISS PARFAIT Feb16         (fields kevin)CORA D 122 6.00 6% 16.90    
4  GLOSSY MADRINA Feb16 Jan26 Jan14     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 9% 10.20    
5  KAZ'S PRINCESS         (sinnefia paulina)OTERO P 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  WOW FACTOR Feb16 Jan28       (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
7  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Feb16 Jan26 Jan12     (albright amy)FLORES E 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.