Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Tuesday - March 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   03/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAY SCHEMING Feb06 Jan09       (sharp joe)PARKER L 124 3.50 49% 1.00    
BLONDIE LOX BABE Feb06 Jan21 Jan01     (flugence henry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 118 12.00    
ALTERED DREAM Feb06 Jan16       (hatcher d)DIAZ RENE 116 12.00    
BELMAR BEAUTY Jan16         (culotta ray)CULP BRIANNE 116 4.00 16% 5.40    
CAVE CREEK Feb06 Jan16       (chevis vinc)MORALES ROBERTO 121 4.00    
LOVE AND LEMONS Feb03 Jan16       (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 121 3.00    
KONA KATIE Feb06         (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00    
WINNING QUALITY Feb06         (claire al)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.50 8% 12.10    
 
FG-2   03/01/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERLOVINGHAND Feb10 Jan06       (calhoun william )PARKER L 122 3.00    
1A  BATTLE OF WILL Feb11 Jan17 Jan03     (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 3.00 51% 1.00    
MOMENT OF STARDOM         (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00    
SCORING DRIVE Jan17         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 114 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  BOURBON ST TAPPIN Feb18 Jan29       (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 122 8.00    
RANCH BADGE Feb06 Jan15       (hodges e)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
BIG SCULLY Feb17 Jan20       (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 114 3.50 9% 10.10    
HENNING Feb06 Jan23 Jan07     (delhomme j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
BACK ALLEY JAMMIN Feb10 Jan30 Jan08     (rodriguez edua)SANJUR SANTO 115 15.00    
 
FG-3   03/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYPTO BRAVE Feb06 Jan22       (zeno benjamin)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
TENSAS VIRGINIA Jan14         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 114 4.50 27% 2.70    
MRS. JUDY Feb06 Jan14       (delhomme j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00    
SANDRA'S JUEL Feb09 Jan22 Jan01     (landry al)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
MADAME JANE Jan19         (landry all)HERNANDEZ J 114 3.00 26% 2.90    
SILLY SILLY Jan28         (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 9% 10.30    
STEPH'S SPIRIT Jan14         (gelner scott)PARKER L 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
OUR SOUTHERN GIRL Feb06 Jan14       (foster m)GRAHAM J 122 5.00    
SCR  LUCKY GONE SWEET Feb06 Jan16       (ingram steve)VARGAS P 120 12.00    
10  STRONG CHICK Feb12         (foster m)MOJICA O 114 12.00    
 
FG-4   03/01/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JACK THE UMPIRE Feb12 Jan14       (morley thoma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00    
DINAR Jan07         (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
TWIRLING ROSES Jan30         (rodriguez edua)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00    
DENVER CITY Feb05         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 1.60 69% 0.50    
IRISH HOKIE Jan07         (shirer a)GILLIGAN JACK 120 4.00    
MAY HOUR Feb04 Jan14       (robbins jr)MOJICA O 117 8.00    
IN SKY WE TRUST Feb05         (delany sarah)PARKER L 120 6.00    
SCR  POPULIST Jan27         (wilson sh)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Jan02         (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-5   03/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M FINE Jan23         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50    
MISS TULSA Feb03 Jan07       (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 21% 3.70    
CHINATOWN NANCY Feb11 Jan09       (silva carlos)LAVIOLETTE S 122 12.00    
TELLMEONASUNDAY Feb03         (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
SARIAH SARIAH Jan20         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 16% 5.10    
BELLAMY CAY Feb05         (gomez dav)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.50 10% 9.10    
 
FG-6   03/01/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3 F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURELY (FR)         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
DIAMANT DAMHSA (IRE)         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
COCO PUFF Feb05 Jan08       (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
I'M BLUSHING Feb05         (russell britta)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
DELIGHTFUL MOMENT         (walsh p)GRAHAM J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MY FRIEND AMY Feb05 Jan23       (gelner scott)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
JUST A NYQUIST         (hartman chris)MOJICA O 120 10.00    
SHISHITO (IRE)         (stidham mich)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 41% 1.50    
COLORS OF THE WIND         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
10  ELLE OF THE BALL Jan22         (sharp joe)PARKER L 120 6.00    
11  AMENSET Feb05         (stewart da)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
SCR  ROSIA BAY         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00    
SCR  CHROME RACER Jan22         (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
 
FG-7   03/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHORTLIST Jan29         (van th)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 10% 9.40    
INTREPID HEART Jan02         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
WARRIOR IN CHIEF Jan27         (morley th)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00    
LORD DRAGON Jan29         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 10% 8.80    
MY BARILEY Jan10         (leonard george)SANJUR SANTO 120 6.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  TWOKO BAY         (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Jan27 Jan02       (harrison cort)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00    
OURNATIONONPARADE Feb05 Jan01       (cano munoz)DIAZ RENE 115 12.00    
COLONELSDARKTEMPER         (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 13% 6.50    
 
FG-8   03/01/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKINNY DIP         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
SAIL ON ELLEN Jan16         (lovell michelle)PARKER L 118 12.00    
ONEROLLOFTHEDICE Jan29 Jan07       (wilson shan)MORALES ROBERTO 118 15.00    
ELLE Z Jan29 Jan01       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 1.80 54% 0.90    
CHANGE OF CONTROL Jan29         (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00    
ELLE'S TOWN Jan01         (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
SCR  MORE THAN UNUSUAL         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
GOIN' GOOD         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 6.00    
 
FG-9   03/01/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CYPRIANO Feb06 Jan23 Jan03     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
MARTINIZED Feb05 Jan14       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 7% 13.60    
UNFATHOMED Jan15         (landry all)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
SCR  CIROC O CLOCK Feb11 Jan23 Jan03     (singh s)SINGH R 122 20.00    
OUR BLUE JAY Feb12         (antwine michael)PARKER L 122 6.00    
HOME VISIT Feb05 Jan15       (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 114 12.00    
MORE MEMORIES Feb05 Jan14       (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 109 4.50 56% 0.80    
COMMANDER SCOTT Feb10         (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAMEO DANCER         (gomez david )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00    
10  TOUCHDOWN JOE Feb05 Jan20 Jan08     (noel dane)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
11  DRILLING REPORT Jan14         (cuccia j)MOJICA O 122 6.00 12% 7.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.