Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Friday - February 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   02/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR POKERFACE Jan12         (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.00 16% 5.30    
STAR APPEARANCE Feb04 Jan06       (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00 13% 6.50    
MY GUITAR Feb04 Jan10       (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 31% 2.20    
C F JOHNATHAN Jan07         (caldwell de)MORALES ROBERTO 121 4.00 11% 8.40    
SEMI CHARMED LIFE Feb05 Jan10       (besancon danny)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
MY LITTLE FLACO Jan07         (cordero angel)VARGAS P 121 12.00    
 
FG-2   02/25/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLE STUD MUFFIN Feb11 Jan30 Jan17 Jan06   (ladner herman)VEGA L 125 15.00    
SCR  HEZA CHAIN BREAKER         (ladner j)DIAZ RENE 112 6.00    
COFFEE COUNTY Jan29         (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00    
CANDY SHOPPER         (camejo jo)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.50 51% 0.90    
HOTPIN Jan29         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00    
SINGLE SHOT Jan08         (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 6.00    
FIREINTHESTORM         (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 117 6.00    
COURTMAN         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 4.00 24% 3.20    
 
FG-3   02/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALERIE VALESKI Jan21         (lopez elias)SANJUR SANTO 121 3.00    
TIDDLY Jan01         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 14% 6.10    
PRINCESS RENEE Jan10         (camejo m)DIAZ RENE 116 4.00 10% 9.10    
RIVETRIX Jan26         (zeno )MONSERRATE A 121 15.00    
ELLA'S LIL STAR Jan21         (schwandt emile)COTTO L 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
I LOVE TO RACE         (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
VEILAZIG Jan10         (glover tracey)GREEN AUBRIE 121 6.00    
 
FG-4   02/25/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALL ME PLUCKY Jan22         (russell br)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
BALTIC FLEET Feb04 Jan20 Jan10     (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 114 12.00    
CARTIER CAT Feb04 Jan07       (silva carl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 7% 13.10    
ULTIMATE IRONY Jan13         (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 9% 9.80    
EVIE'S PRINCE Jan22         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 9% 10.40    
GUNNER PAUL Jan29 Jan08       (lovell michelle)PARKER L 122 5.00    
FED MONEY Feb04 Jan13       (baker jame)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  WILLY MC Feb04         (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.00    
 
FG-5   02/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AKIANE'S SOLDIER Feb11 Jan08       (boxie s)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 26% 2.80    
THE GREY BEAUTY Feb03 Jan02       (faucheux r)MARQUEZ L 114 6.00    
DREAMING OF NEANY Feb03 Jan13       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 114 3.00 17% 4.80    
GLORY TO ME Jan21 Jan01       (meza martin )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
DREAM TOWN Feb04 Jan08       (rangel raul)VARGAS P 122 12.00    
SCR  PHILLY WINS Feb06 Jan14       (scherer gary)GILLIGAN JACK 122 8.00    
START WELL Feb04         (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ J 114 4.50    
HERE COMES LOVIE Feb11 Jan26 Jan06     (cordero m)DIAZ RENE 117 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
FG-6   02/25/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TIME GEM Feb04 Jan10       (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 121 12.00 7% 14.20    
AMENDED         (cash norman)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 18% 4.60    
SMOKEY HARBOR Jan29 Jan08       (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50    
SCR  BRIAR JUMPER         (crowder m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
EAST LEX Jan08         (cuccia j)MOJICA O 121 4.50    
BORGOBYTHESEA Feb04         (sharp joe)PARKER L 119 12.00    
PAYNT BATTLE         (briley lonn)MORALES ROBERTO 121 15.00    
FLEETRIDGE Feb04         (barnett bobb)LAVIOLETTE S 121 10.00 11% 7.90    
VINCITORE         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50 34% 1.90    
10  REDIVIVUS         (snodderly rho)VARGAS P 121 20.00    
11  FREIGHTRAINFREEMAN Feb04 Jan07       (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
12  LOOKIN HIGH Jan27 Jan03       (glover trace)CARROLL DECLAN 121 20.00    
 
FG-7   02/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLD FORTY FIVE Jan17         (morley tho)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 9% 10.50    
HE IS WORTHY Jan20         (necaise larry)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 20.00    
SCR  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Feb10 Jan17       (scherer gary)DIAZ RENE 117 3.00 13% 6.50    
HERO DRAGON Feb03 Jan21 Jan07     (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 122 10.00    
GOROSTIETA'S LOVE         (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00    
MRTANDROSEYSBOY Jan17         (foley greg)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
LOYAL TO THE GAME Jan16         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
SIMPLY VALID Feb04         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
FG-8   02/25/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANGHAI TRICK Jan23         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 120 3.00    
FOLIAGE (NZ)         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.00 57% 0.70    
RATIFICATION Jan23         (drury thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 3.00    
TWENTYONE N CHANGE Jan17         (silva miguel)MOJICA O 117 10.00    
MERCABO COVE         (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 125 6.00    
AHIMAAZ Jan28         (breaux samue)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 8.00    
BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL         (alonzo howard)RIQUELME J 125 12.00    
SCR  SUPERCOOL Jan23         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  GOLDEN FLASH Jan28         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 3.00    
 
FG-9   02/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOYFRIEND MATERIAL Jan27 Jan02       (harrison cort)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00    
SCR  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Jan27         (morley th)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00    
TREASURY Feb03 Jan21       (forster t)PARKER L 124 8.00 18% 4.50    
SERMONONTHEMOUNT         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 115 10.00    
AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) Jan27         (casse norm)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
SCARLET FUSION Jan08         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 12% 7.00    
PROXY         (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 25% 3.10    
STARRININMYDREAMS Jan27         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00    
BLUE JAYS Jan27         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 10.00 21% 3.80    
10  GUILLAUME         (stidham michael)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
SCR  SPEITFUL SAM Jan02         (londono genevi)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.