Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Tuesday - February 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   02/22/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($8.6K) 3 F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D T R DEBUTANTE Jan04         (riddle jacki)SALAZAR TERESA 116 6.00    
ES IS I LIKE IT Jan04         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 1.80 46% 1.20    
INDY GAL DORO         (hudson jeff)JUAREZ J 121 5.00 9% 9.50    
DIAMOND ONTHE TOE Jan04         (riddle jack)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 116 2.00    
HAVING MORE FUN Jan01         (aldavaz herm)BEVERLY JR 121 6.00    
JAZZY RED         (cuanda jesus)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
SUN-2   02/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUMP RIDE         (holmes jennifer)GOMEZ REYES 124 15.00    
BISCUIT SNATCHER         (rust terri)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 5.00    
MEGA SOURCE Feb01 Jan16       (aldavaz kar)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 10.00    
WISKEY CROWN Jan09         (danley i)JUAREZ J 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
SALTIE FIRE Jan16         (gonzalez jos)FUENTES A 124 3.00    
QUIEN ES Feb08 Feb01       (rojero c)PEREZ A 124 1.20 58% 0.70    
 
SUN-3   02/22/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMAGINARY RIDE Jan28         (bolen bradle)SIGALA ALFREDO 121 5.00 11% 7.90    
RUNNINGINTHERAIN Jan28         (cross gary)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 1.80 60% 0.70    
RAPID EXPANSION         (crawfor)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 8.00    
SCR  PEVS LUCKY KEY         (crawford clinton )PEREZ A 116 6.00    
OKIE CITY Jan28         (smith a)CARRENO J 121 5.00    
DANIEL'S GIRL         (gonzalez sal)REYES FRANK 116 2.00    
 
SUN-4   02/22/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAL PENNY Feb01         (danl)GOMEZ PORTILLO 116 6.00    
MAGIC IS FLYING Jan23         (gutierrez j)PEREZ A 124 3.50    
DIRT BIKE SLADE         (smith a)CARRENO J 116 4.50    
TEQUILA TIME         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 124 8.00    
GOGO OXBOW Jan18         (rust terri)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
THE HUNK NEXT DOOR Jan23 Jan07       (barton dalla)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 2.00 54% 0.90    
 
SUN-5   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTTY WHO Jan25 Jan04       (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
STRYDER Feb05 Jan25 Jan04     (rojero c)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  JEDI WARRIOR Jan31 Jan18       (garcia c)NEGRON LUIS 124 10.00 14% 6.30    
AZTEC EMPEROR Jan11 Jan04       (quiroz filib)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 4.00    
MCTHANKS Jan25 Jan04       (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 124 3.50    
MCORO Feb01 Jan04       (rust)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 5.00    
ARCH CITY Jan25         (buechler si)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 8.00    
 
SUN-6   02/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($10.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCCLASSIC Feb01         (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
STARSHIP CHEWY         (gherardi)BENN J 123 5.00    
ME AND JACK Feb05         (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 3.00 40% 1.50    
JEN'S BIG O Jan25         (gherardi ja)TORRES J 123 8.00    
HEREDITARY Jan25         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 3.50    
BECOME AN INSIDER Feb05 Jan25       (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 118 10.00    
DISPUTED Feb01 Jan04       (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 123 4.00    
 
SUN-7   02/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($10.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST CALL ME KEN Jan25 Jan02       (rust terri)SIGALA ALFREDO 124 15.00    
BAYERN TO BE WILD Feb15 Feb01 Jan02     (aldavaz jai)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 8.00    
COWBOY COOL Jan15         (green greg)PEREZ A 124 1.60 12% 7.20    
LIFE ON THE ROAD Jan25 Jan11       (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 5.00    
GORKY PARK (FR) Feb01 Jan04       (lebsock greg)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00    
SEXY DEXY Jan11         (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
SOUTHERN SUMMER Jan11         (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 124 5.00    
PHOENIX FIRE Feb15 Feb05 Jan25     (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 10.00 6% 14.60    
 
SUN-8   02/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAYLAY Jan29 Jan11       (gree)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 4.00 24% 3.30    
HIT A NOTE Jan25         (gonzalez jos)FUENTES A 124 5.00    
F S POSITRACK Jan18 Jan01       (collier jim)CHIRINOS ROIMES 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
ALEXANDER WHO Feb15 Jan30 Jan25 Jan08   (quiroz filibe)JUAREZ J 124 15.00    
ESTEEMED Jan25 Jan11       (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00 10% 9.10    
IMPUTED Jan29 Jan11       (cross gary)CARRENO J 124 10.00    
HENRY ON THE RUN Feb08 Jan15       (armstrong sh)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 1.20 24% 3.10    
SMOOTHING IRON Jan25 Jan11       (gonzalez carlos)REYES FRANK 124 12.00    
 
SUN-9   02/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPINNING RED Feb07 Jan11       (chavez arturo)CARRENO J 121 8.00    
AMERICAN SOLO Jan25 Jan11       (gonzalez carlos)REYES FRANK 121 10.00 9% 10.50    
MAGNUS WHO Jan11         (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00    
SCR  CHARLIE DYNASTY Feb01 Jan11 Jan09     (quiroz filib)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 12.00    
I'MAGAMBLER         (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
CHIPPSTER Feb01 Jan11       (lambert t)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00 10% 9.10    
I AM THE JUAN Jan11         (morales danny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
QUINTON'S CHARMER Jan11         (munoz guadal)VILLANUEVA C 121 8.00    
DISCOVERY N SIGHT Feb01 Jan11       (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 4.00 49% 1.10    
10  PANCHO LEFT ME Feb01 Jan11       (cappellucci )FUENTES A 121 3.00 9% 10.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.