Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Monday - February 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   02/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LANGFUHR'S ANGEL Jan23         (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
SAFE KEEPING Jan23         (zeno benjami)LAVIOLETTE S 122 12.00    
DEBS PRAYER Jan16         (ladner herman)VEGA L 122 10.00    
I DONT KNOW EITHER Jan23         (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 117 2.00 30% 2.40    
HUSHED COURT ROOM Jan13         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 19% 4.30    
SLIDE Feb06         (rodriguez edua)SANJUR SANTO 122 8.00    
SCR  ST JOSEPHINE Jan09         (corder)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 114 12.00    
ST MARIA Jan23         (gomez jorge)MORALES ROBERTO 122 12.00    
SCR  VERRAZANO ISLAND Feb10 Jan23       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50    
 
FG-2   02/21/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRICOLOUR Feb03 Jan02       (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 13% 7.00    
CURLIN EDGES Feb03         (cano munoz)MOJICA O 120 2.50    
STAVANGER Feb03         (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
SCR  DR. BENNY Feb04 Jan09       (scherer eric )GILLIGAN JACK 120 5.00 10% 9.00    
LUCKY CRUSADER Jan17         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 8.00 6% 14.70    
FIGHTVILLE Jan21 Jan13       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 9% 9.90    
 
FG-3   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANNY WAH Jan22         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 1.80 39% 1.60    
WENT WEST         (roussel lo)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
DOUBLE CROWN Jan29         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 3.50    
SHADOW MATTER         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
LONG WEEKEND Feb03         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 115 5.00    
 
FG-4   02/21/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS SATCH MO Jan30         (claire alexis)SANJUR SANTO 122 3.00    
1A  EMPTY NET Jan30 Jan09       (claire al)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
COINMAKER Jan09         (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
SCR  MARTYR OF CHARITY Jan30         (roussel j)MOJICA O 120 8.00    
CANDY'S PARADE Jan30         (harrison cort)GILLIGAN JACK 122 12.00    
NIN TO WIN Jan30 Jan05       (landry all)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
LETS GO ALL THEWAY Jan28         (forster gr)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
MARAMA Feb03 Jan06       (ramire)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 122 20.00    
HOHOHOHO Feb12         (morley thoma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 2.50 9% 10.60    
PINK CHANNEL         (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
10  EPHEMERAL Jan30 Jan09       (rubley kelly)GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00    
 
FG-5   02/21/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EKATI'S VERVE Feb04 Jan03       (hartman chris)MOJICA O 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
CITADEL Jan29 Jan08       (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 121 4.50    
EXTRAORDINARY Jan27         (felks jose)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.00    
CLEAR HUMOR         (russell t)GRAHAM J 121 4.50    
U S NAVY CROSS Jan21         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
LAKE NAKURU Feb04 Jan16       (cash l)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 8.00    
SCR  TOE BANDIT Feb10         (latour nich)MORALES ROBERTO 118 10.00    
 
FG-6   02/21/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($49K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A SONG FOR ARCH Jan09         (brinkman )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 15% 5.60    
X CLOWN Feb04 Jan09       (delhomme jerry)GRAHAM J 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
CHIMNEY ROCK Feb04 Jan06       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50    
BINDING AGREEMENT Jan02         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00    
JAKE THE BAND MAN Feb10         (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSY JOHN Jan22 Jan09       (ducoing st)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00    
GRAVY HOUND Feb04         (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00    
SCR  HALF AGAIN         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  RELENTLESS DANCER Feb04         (maker michae)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50    
 
FG-7   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVE OF MY HEART Jan29         (forster g)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
AUNT JOIE Jan29 Jan03       (glover tracey)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00    
OSCARETTE         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00    
SCR  SPARKLE OF HOPE         (foley greg)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00    
BIG IF TRUE Jan26         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00 6% 17.00    
CLASSY CHROME         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
FASHION MOON Jan14         (romero alvin)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00    
GREEN MONSTER Jan15         (wilson shane)PARKER L 120 15.00    
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN Jan29 Jan06       (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
10  MELODY ROSE Jan29         (mouton patric)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
11  SWEET CONFUSION Jan28         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00 14% 6.40    
 
FG-8   02/21/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD EMPRESS         (murphy conor)CARROLL DECLAN 125 12.00    
SUMMER MATE Jan27         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 4.50 7% 12.50    
CHIONE Jan21         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.00 48% 1.10    
RED HOT MAMA         (stewart dallas)GRAHAM J 117 4.50 16% 5.40    
TIZ AMERICAN         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 3.00    
LIVY B         (leonard george)SANJUR SANTO 125 10.00    
QUEEN CORDELIA Jan28         (stidham michael)MOJICA O 125 8.00    
 
FG-9   02/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASQUERADE BALL Feb11 Jan13       (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 117 20.00    
COOL RUNNINGS Jan07         (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 125 12.00    
SCR  STEELY DANZA Feb11 Jan10       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 2.00 53% 0.90    
PASSWORD PROTECTED         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 3.50 20% 3.90    
EL MIC TIESUN Jan28 Jan10       (harrison cort)GILLIGAN JACK 125 10.00    
UNSPOKEN MEMORIES Jan27 Jan12       (gomez dav)HERNANDEZ J 125 10.00    
THAT DUDE         (mouton patrick)CULP BRIANNE 118 20.00    
SPORTINI         (stidham mich)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 6.00    
SCR  RUNANDHIDE WIND Jan28 Jan02       (ramire)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 117 5.00    
10  MORO LEGEND         (glover tracey)GREEN AUBRIE 125 20.00    
11  RIVER'S RAGING Jan28         (alonzo howard)RIQUELME J 125 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.