Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - February 20, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55.2K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STACKS OF SILVER         (capuan)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHAFT'S BULLET         (capuano gary )TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  BRINDISI Jan19         (servis c)SILVERA RUBEN 124 1.40 38% 1.70    
TIZ A GIANT Jan22         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 124 5.00    
CURTEIS         (dunham g)HO WESLEY 124 8.00 9% 9.90    
HIGHLAND DREAM         (lawrence james)CEDENO CAROL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
NAPA VALLEY (BRZ) Jan22         (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 4.00    
 
LRL-2   02/20/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($48K) 3 ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLANT GOLD Jan20         (salzman e)ARAUJO DENIS 121 6.00    
ALL FOR LOVE Jan20 Jan02       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 4.50    
BIG BOY POTTS Jan26         (gonzal)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 3.00 25% 3.00    
SAGRADA RAY Feb10 Jan23       (capuano )BUTTERFLY L 117 12.00    
MAD GENIUS Jan30         (robb john)CARRASCO R 121 2.00 39% 1.50    
LANTAU Jan30 Jan20       (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 121 3.00    
 
LRL-3   02/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 45 ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM THE CASH MAN Feb03         (progno christop)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
DOUBLBARRELBOURBON         (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DUNE DUNE Jan20         (volpe john)AVILES YAN 112 50.00    
CHAUFFEUR Feb03 Jan20       (salzman john)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
MR. MOSLEY         (klesaris rober)BOYCE FOREST 126 3.50 7% 12.50    
JOHNNY SWISH Feb03 Jan16 Jan04     (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 126 1.40 38% 1.60    
LITTLE SIR JOHN Jan20         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 10.00    
WAY MORE         (frock ch)BUTTERFLY L 119 10.00    
 
LRL-4   02/20/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($41.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  IRISH RIVIERA Jan26 Jan05       (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.60 38% 1.60    
SCR  THUNDERSHOOK Jan04         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.60    
HALITE Feb11 Jan23       (nixon justin)CEDENO CAROL 126 5.00 17% 4.80    
MY GOOD MAN         (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SILENT MALICE Feb11 Jan23       (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00 13% 6.80    
ARMANDO R Jan22         (dilodovico damon)RUIZ JORGE 126 4.00    
SCR  FORTUNE'S FOOL Feb12 Jan20       (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 12.00    
MONEY RIDE Jan30 Jan14       (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
CARIBBEAN (AUS) Jan30         (gaudet la)CARRASCO R 123 12.00    
 
LRL-5   02/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($38.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAYWING Jan01         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
DIALING DIXIE         (frock charles)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00    
RAD PAISLEY Jan23         (bailes robe)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
LOADED SNIPER Jan28         (frock ch)BUTTERFLY L 116 20.00    
TRUSTYOURINSTINCT Jan01         (contessa )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 4.50 16% 5.10    
PEDERSON'S COURAGE Feb04         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 2.50 13% 6.60    
RAHMER Feb10 Jan16       (barr h)ARAUJO DENIS 126 15.00    
FRANCIS X. Jan28         (barr d)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 12.00    
CROWNEDCOUNTCRISTO         (bennett dale)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
LRL-6   02/20/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($62.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUMPERDOO Jan30         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 47% 1.10    
1A  DAVIDIC LINE Jan30         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50    
HONOR THE FLEET Jan17         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 123 15.00 10% 9.50    
BOSS LOGIC         (capuano dale)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00    
BENANDJOE         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 118 12.00    
SCR  GHOST GAME Jan11         (meister wil)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 20.00    
UP AGAINST IT Jan30         (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 126 15.00    
PLOT THE DOTS Jan21         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 4.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  TREASURE TROVE Feb19 Jan30       (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 3.50    
DEPOSITORY         (lynch cathal)ACOSTA D 123 15.00    
10  CLOSER LOOK Jan30         (bailes robert)MONTERREY R 123 8.00    
 
LRL-7   02/20/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($67.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAISLEY SINGING Jan29         (frock a)RUIZ JORGE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALTA VELOCITA         (simoff andrew)ACOSTA D 126 3.00 8% 11.10    
PRINCESS KOKACHIN Jan29         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 0.60 51% 1.00    
WHISKEY AND RYE Jan29         (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
COCONUT CAKE Jan29         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 5.00 17% 4.90    
FED UP FIRED UP         (kalino)ENRIQUEZ JR 112 30.00    
 
LRL-8   02/20/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATHERN'S JOY Jan26 Jan07       (velez irving)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 6.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  JUNGLE WARRIOR Jan29 Jan21       (corrales jose)AVILES YAN 113 3.00 44% 1.30    
VICTORY GIVEN Jan29         (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 123 5.00    
BIG HAMBONE Jan29         (salzman john)BATISTA A 123 10.00 8% 11.20    
COOKE BROTHERS         (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 4.00    
FRANKEE MERCH Jan29         (dove kev)BUTTERFLY L 116 8.00    
ON THE LAM Jan29         (geralis emanuel )ACOSTA D 123 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.