Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - February 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   02/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($26.4K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS SOMETHING Jan16         (testerman v)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 6.00    
2  UTTERLY ENCHANTING Jan16         (hall aim)BUTTERFLY L 119 20.00    
3  TORCH CARRIER Jan29 Jan16       (frock )ENRIQUEZ JR 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
4  GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL Jan14 Jan07       (kulp brando)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 4.50 ★    
5  FEARLESS LASSIE Jan16         (mckenzie daniel )ACOSTA D 122 3.50 ★    
6  ESCAPE FUND Jan14 Jan02       (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 4.00 ★    
7  MINNETONKA Jan29 Jan16       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 126 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
LRL-2   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25.2K) 4UP ALL PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOM TERRIFIC Jan21 Jan14       (jones e)HO WESLEY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PASCAL CHANT Feb03 Jan16       (capuano dale)ALVELO C 114 1.60 14% 5.90    
3  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Jan27 Jan02       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 6.00    
4  WHIRLIN CURLIN         (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 112 4.00 7% 13.10    
5  MYSTIC TIMES Feb03 Jan27 Jan16     (martin aug)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 20.00    
6  MY SACRED PLACE Feb03 Jan16       (rodriguez jes)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
7  MICE AND MEN Jan29         (graham robin )KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 13% 6.70    
 
LRL-3   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($37.8K) 3 ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALTIMORE BULLEIT Jan16         (gonzal)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  HOWARD'S ROCK         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
3  REMEMBERING WILBUR Jan30         (capuano dale)ALVELO C 119 4.50 8% 11.60    
4  HAMPDEN LANE Jan30         (heil nan)BUTTERFLY L 117 15.00    
5  HAPPYIZE         (wohlers laura)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
SCR  CLASS WIZARD         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 124 15.00    
7  BOSS MAN J J Jan30         (salzman timothy)ACOSTA D 124 20.00    
8  MR. NINETEEN Jan16         (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 124 20.00    
9  DATHOSS Jan20         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 10.00 7% 13.60    
10  RHUMJAR         (hills timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  KEYS DISCOUNT         (meyers f)CRUZ ANGEL 124 20.00    
12  WINSTON'S GOLD Jan30 Jan20       (bracciale v)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00    
 
LRL-4   02/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNA BELLE Jan29         (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.20 24% 3.10    
2  SHE IS WISKY Jan27         (corrales jose)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 20.00    
3  SANDY'S GARDEN Jan22         (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 116 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  MONEY'S WORTH         (motion graha)BOYCE FOREST 116 10.00    
5  BENEATH THE STARS Jan29         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 6.00 9% 10.20    
6  QUALY         (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 116 15.00    
7  MOODY WOMAN Jan27         (mcmullen marilyn)RUIZ JORGE 116 10.00 20% 4.00    
8  BUFF MY BOOTS Jan29         (salzman e)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 ★    
 
LRL-5   02/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT DAY Jan18         (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 116 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALOTTAHOPE Jan29 Jan01       (robb j)NO RIDER 116 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  FRIAR LAURENCE Jan22         (colebrook ben)DAVIS DYLAN 116 6.00 ★    
SCR  COASTAL MISSION Jan29         (runco c)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 6.00    
5  MAJESTIC FRONTIER Feb10 Jan22       (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 116 6.00 6% 15.60    
6  HEFFNER Jan01         (geralis emanu)KARAMANOS A 116 10.00    
7  MAXIMUM IMPACT Feb10 Jan21 Jan08     (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 116 20.00    
8  LOCAL MOTIVE Jan29         (salzman e)ACOSTA D 116 10.00    
9  CONCLUSIVE Jan02         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 116 3.50 37% 1.70    
 
LRL-6   02/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH WITH A KICK         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 15% 5.70    
2  KISS THE GIRL Jan29 Jan16       (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 2.50 ★    
3  ARTFUL SPLATTER Jan29         (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  SCATRATTLEANDROLL         (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 15.00    
5  GOLDEN PLUME Jan20         (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
6  MISS LESLIE Jan16         (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.60 58% 0.70    
SCR  FROST POINT Feb18 Jan27       (mott will)VARGAS A 120 5.00 ★    
 
LRL-7   02/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORKIN ON A DREAM         (graham l)BOYCE FOREST 120 1.80 28% 2.60    
2  FOREWARNED Jan22         (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 126 6.00    
3  GENTLEMAN JOE Jan21         (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 ★    
4  GALERIO Jan29         (salzman e)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  TREASURE TROVE Jan30         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 6.00    
6  TORCH OF TRUTH Jan21         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 5.00 ★    
7  BOBBY G Feb11 Jan21       (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 120 30.00 15% 5.80    
 
LRL-8   02/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FILLE D'ESPRIT Jan29         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 6.00 8% 11.20    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of SWEET VALOR by NO ARMISTICE)
2  GLASS CEILING Jan23         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.40 33% 2.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FIGHTER WING by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  KAYLASAURUS Jan29         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of FIVE DIAMONDS by FLATTER)
4  REGAL RETORT Jan29         (asmussen steven )RUIZ JORGE 122 10.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of ROYAL SWEETPEA by FAVORITE TRICK)
5  PRODIGY DOLL Jan29         (schoenthal ph)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 20.00    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of HI LILI by SILVER DEPUTY)
6  BOLD CONFECTION Jan05         (servis c)PENNINGTON F 122 15.00 7% 14.30    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of BOLD UNION by DIXIE UNION)
7  JAKARTA Jan29         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of T J'S STORMY WIT by STORMELLO)
8  BELLE OF THE NORTH         (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 122 8.00 6% 14.80    
  (by STREET BOSS out of HARLEY ROSE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
 
LRL-9   02/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR TOCSIN Feb05         (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 20.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BEING ANNA by ALDEBARAN)
2  CORDMAKER Jan29         (jenkins r)CARRASCO R 122 1.40 50% 1.00    
  (by CURLIN out of TANCA by POLISH NUMBERS)
3  SHACKQUEENKING Jan29         (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.50 ★    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of JURYS OUT by LAWYER RON)
4  SIR ALFRED JAMES Feb12 Jan22 Jan01     (cash l)MCKEE J 122 3.00 15% 5.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUPER PHOEBE by MALABAR GOLD)
5  THREES OVER DEUCES Jan29         (capuano a)PEREZ XAVIER 122 8.00 9% 9.90    
  (by FLAT OUT out of CRUELMORE by FORESTRY)
6  TIMELESS BOUNTY         (wilson davi)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 12.00    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
7  AIR TOKEN Jan21         (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 ★    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SAINT DINORAH by ST AVERIL)
 
LRL-10   02/19/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R TRUE SENSATION Jan20         (downs le)BUTTERFLY L 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY WAY OR ELSE Feb03 Jan20       (maldonado jo)BATISTA A 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
3  FAMILY FORTUNE         (serey mari)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 4.50    
4  LIFE IN FLASH Feb06         (harting r)CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
5  DANNY DEEP CUTS Feb03 Jan22 Jan01     (haughton donnov)MONTERREY R 126 2.50 34% 2.00    
6  CONGRESS HALL Feb06 Jan21       (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 1.60 ★    
7  SUGGESTIVE HONOR (ARG) Jan21         (vera migu)BETANCOURT R 123 10.00 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.