Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - February 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   02/19/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWNTOWN BROWN         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
2  BULLAWAY         (chavez )WHITE SKYLER 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  FLUSHING FLASH         (chavez juan)FACKLER CHRIS 120 10.00 31% 2.20    
4  RHETTROACTIVE         (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 15.00    
5  SHADY'S TURN Feb03 Jan06       (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00 ★    
6  LAST BITA GLITTER         (bethke troy )BETHKE A 120 4.50    
7  ATWATER         (foley p)OLESIAK JAKE 124 4.00 ★    
 
FON-2   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICANE FLORENCE         (mitchel)WHITE SKYLER 124 4.00 ★    
2  LAURA N LUKAS         (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 25% 3.00    
3  ABUELA CORI         (montano)BRICENO GREGOR 124 10.00    
4  WINZE         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 ★    
5  STAR IN THE SKY         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  MALIBU ROSE Feb02         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00    
7  SEGOVIANA         (montano wilfr)HERNANDEZ REY 124 12.00    
8  COUVERTURE         (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 3.50 ★    
 
FON-3   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCK CHECK         (hall l)FACKLER CHRIS 124 20.00 8% 10.90    
2  TAP A MIRACLE         (ness john)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00    
3  THREE BALL         (montano)BRICENO GREGOR 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
4  PROOF OF PARANOIA         (montano wilfr)HERNANDEZ REY 124 6.00 25% 3.10    
5  BACKCHATTER         (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 ★    
6  MORO TRUMP         (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
7  WINNERS LUCK         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 0.80 35% 1.80    
 
FON-4   02/19/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  S C ANGEL         (condon schuyler)WOOD DAKOTA 124 15.00    
2  READY TO CHARM         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  STELLA MARIE         (laffert)WHITE SKYLER 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
4  JOE G'S PAYBACK         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.50 ★    
5  KILBARRY LADY         (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 4.00 ★    
6  IZE DISCREET ROSE Feb03         (ecoffey gilber)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  CHANCE OF FROST         (martinez kel)JOURNET JARRED 124 12.00    
 
FON-5   02/19/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS SHAKIRA         (mitchell stets)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 6% 15.20    
2  NEW YEARS LOVE         (lemburg mark)BETHKE A 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
3  JUSTATAPIN         (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.50 14% 6.40    
4  HIGH COST OF LIVIN         (black marissa)WOOD DAKOTA 124 3.00    
5  SHELLPHONE         (montano)BRICENO GREGOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HERE AND VOW         (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 124 8.00    
7  SHE'S SEVENTEEN Jan29 Jan14       (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
FON-6   02/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMERA         (gaede m)WHITE SKYLER 124 10.00    
2  LITTLE TOE         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 8.00    
3  LIGHT BOUND BID         (muckey john)LUARK T 124 8.00    
4  TACKSON Jan11         (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HYPER DRIVE         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 ★    
6  DANZ A REBEL         (bolinger michae)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  JERRYS PRIDENJOY         (bethke troy )BETHKE A 124 4.00 ★    
8  XTREME LYRA         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 35% 1.80    
 
FON-7   02/19/2022 2640ft DIRT RC1 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.92K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN BRINLEE RUN         (becker h)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00 ★    
2  SHADY BEND         (hall l)FACKLER CHRIS 124 1.00 34% 1.90    
3  JUST LUCK         (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  JUST SEND HER         (krause bill)ROMAN KEVIN 124 20.00    
5  FLYER'S SHADOW         (hemmer terre)BETHKE A 124 12.00    
6  JULIE JEAN         (bliss dean)JOURNET JARRED 120 12.00    
7  BEAUTIFUL JUDGE Jan29         (black marissa)MARTINEZ A 120 6.00 11% 8.10    
8  QUEEN OF GOLD         (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 12.00    
9  SPENTALLONCC         (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 12.00    
10  SMILIN JOSIE         (condon )WHITE SKYLER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-8   02/19/2022 2640ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D'WILD MUFFIN Jan01         (hibdon n)MARTINEZ A 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
2  JACK'S PARTY GIRL         (condon schuyler)WOOD DAKOTA 124 12.00 11% 8.40    
3  GRAND SLAM HOMERUN         (russell nath)BETHKE A 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
4  DISTINCT APPROVAL         (bolinger michae)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
5  LUCKY EVERY DAY Jan01         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00 ★    
6  AQUATICA         (compton jesse)OLESIAK JAKE 124 5.00    
7  VEGAN GOES BEST         (thompso)WHITE SKYLER 124 6.00    
8  PURPLE SCOOTER         (donlin larry )FACKLER CHRIS 124 8.00 ★    
 
FON-9   02/19/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOMO         (hibdon n)WOOD DAKOTA 124 5.00 5% 17.30    
2  CANTWAITTOGRADUATE         (condon schuy)BETHKE A 124 12.00    
3  CRIMSON TRACE         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  FRONT OFFICE         (donlin )WHITE SKYLER 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
5  UNCLE TAP         (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
6  DIRTY DEEDS         (anderson david)OLESIAK JAKE 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
7  MY BOY GUS Jan12         (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00    
8  RISK REVERSAL         (donlin larry )FACKLER CHRIS 124 5.00    
9  COUNTRY BOY CHARM         (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
 
FON-10   02/19/2022 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL FOR TRUTH         (hoffman robe)JOURNET JARRED 124 12.00 6% 14.90    
2  MAYHAWK         (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00    
3  DANCE EVEN         (luke l)OLESIAK JAKE 124 8.00    
4  MR. WHITE         (ness john)FACKLER CHRIS 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  BRAVE HELIOS Jan18         (ness john)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.50 ★    
6  DREAM BABY DREAM         (drake dean)HAAR NATHAN 124 12.00    
7  CORRANA EN LIMEN         (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
8  EDGE OF ACKWORTH         (condon )WHITE SKYLER 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
9  MIDNIGHT DESTINY         (montano)BRICENO GREGOR 124 10.00    
10  DUN SOBER         (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 8.00 8% 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.