Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINO'S KID         (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00 ★    
2  OHIO STRONG         (mcdonald jame)BARBARAN ERIK 122 20.00    
3  DEXQUIRE Jan25 Jan11       (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  QUIMBY Jan25         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 6.00 ★    
5  THANKSDAD         (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 20.00    
6  STUNT MAN Jan25 Jan11       (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 1.60 53% 0.90    
7  YOU'RE OUT Jan25 Jan11       (radcliff donald )RIVERA R 122 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KITTENS ADAIR         (egbert james)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 ★    
2  ACCURATE Jan24         (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
3  RUMBLE STRIP RON Feb14 Jan01       (quartarolo an)BRACHO A 116 2.50 54% 0.80    
4  PECKS NOT BAD         (barker scot)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 6.00 ★    
5  KISSINGER Jan24         (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 ★    
6  BIG ON BIG Jan24         (cowans d)RIVERA R 124 1.80 19% 4.40    
 
MVR-3   02/18/2022 6270ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($18K) Purse ($27K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIZMO JONES Jan21         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 112 4.00 32% 2.10    
1A  NOD TO PERSIA Jan12         (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00    
2B  COSMIC TREASURE Jan22         (sulliva)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 128 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  STORM RISK Feb01 Jan12       (sulliva)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 128 3.00    
3  LONGLIVEJUSTICE Feb01 Jan22 Jan14     (bailey)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 3.50 ★    
SCR  TALLESTOFTHETALL Feb10 Jan29       (campbell joel)HOUGHTON D 120 10.00 12% 7.50    
5  MAKE THE RULES Jan21         (doering mark)TAPARA BRANDON 125 12.00    
6  DOUBLE THE LAUGH Jan21         (murillo rodr)HALDAR J 123 8.00    
7  HIGH ROLLING DUDE Jan21         (reed r)RAMGEET R 125 5.00 14% 6.10    
8  LAST DROP OF WINE Jan21         (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 127 6.00    
 
MVR-4   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRABBING THE MONEY         (brown gle)CORREA L 122 15.00    
2  COASTAL CHAOS Jan16 Jan02       (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 3.50 ★    
3  ROJO TORO Jan14         (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 122 10.00 ★    
4  INSACIABLE PRINCE Jan21         (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00    
5  TOP HAT BLITZ         (west m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  HUNTER SCOTT Jan21         (acevedo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
7  MIDNIGHT ALIBI Jan21         (hamm timoth)MARTINEZ R 122 6.00    
8  LUCKY DUDE         (west aaron )OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 8.00    
9  FLYING GUILLOTINE Jan31 Jan21       (bailey ricardo)DIAZ I 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-5   02/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3 ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPEROROFTHEDARK         (douaihy mich)ROMERO GREGORY 120 10.00    
2  RED HOT POWER Jan19         (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 120 30.00 ★    
3  GOODBYELLOWBRICKRD Jan15         (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 120 5.00 38% 1.60    
4  STEINBECK Jan07         (cash norman)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
5  GOOD IDEA         (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 120 2.00 ★    
6  BUNDLEDLIKE BERNIE         (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 8.00 ★    
7  AIN'T STRAIGHT Jan22         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 6.00    
 
MVR-6   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADDYS LITTLE FLAG Jan14         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.20 46% 1.20    
SCR  QUEEN OF THE TILES Jan15         (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
3  SURE FIRE READY Jan05         (richards rusty)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 ★    
4  COWCHI         (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 116 8.00    
5  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Jan22 Jan05       (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 ★    
6  LARSA Jan22         (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 4.00 ★    
7  WWINSPIRED Jan22         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
MVR-7   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Jan08         (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
1A  MOBIL CHIC Jan22 Jan05       (zielinski r)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 6.00 19% 4.20    
2  SQUID         (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 116 3.00 13% 6.50    
3  SWEET BETTY JOYCE         (suarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
4  AUJARA         (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
5  GONNABEGOOD Jan05         (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
6  DENIRO'SRUNFORFUN Jan05         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
7  OUT FOR FUN         (gorham )PILARES P 116 4.00 9% 10.40    
 
MVR-8   02/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAVI Jan14         (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  ILLUSIONS OF LOVE Jan31         (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
3  HARD TO ACCESS Jan31         (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 ★    
4  COOKIN ROSES Jan31         (hughes w)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  LA MUNECA         (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 124 2.00    
6  NATALIA'S TEMPLE Jan25 Jan08       (bailey rica)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
7  CUPP OF CLASS Jan14         (capps a)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
MVR-9   02/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OX TROT Jan26 Jan11       (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 126 5.00 ★    
1A  MAC'S REVOLUTION Jan25         (bernardini p)RIVERA R 126 5.00    
2  ROSAS FOR JIMMY         (urieta johan)ROSARIO L 126 20.00    
3  SPECTACULAR ROAD Feb01         (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 1.60 43% 1.30    
SCR  TWO STEP SLEW Jan25 Jan12 Jan05     (maver e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00    
5  SWEET N SILVER Jan25 Jan05       (hay r)HOUGHTON D 126 15.00    
SCR  DOCTOR LEE Jan14         (zielinski r)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 2.50 ★    
7  FLEET RUN Jan25 Jan12       (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 126 20.00 ★    
8  MUSICAL MAN Jan25 Jan12       (miller)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
9  MR. CAT Jan25 Jan12       (hay r)MUSARRO JOE 126 20.00 29% 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.