Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Friday - February 18, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WISH UPON A STAR Jan15         (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00 ★    
2  GYPSY'S SOULMATE Jan23 Jan03       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 17% 4.70    
3  NOW NOW MAN Feb06         (cascio andrew)VARGAS P 122 8.00    
4  THE THREE KS Jan06         (williams kevin)CULP BRIANNE 117 8.00 13% 6.80    
5  BITSY'S OTHER HALF Feb06 Jan15       (patt roland)MORALES ROBERTO 122 8.00    
6  COHERE         (meaux jason )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
7  BOURBON ST TAPPIN Jan29         (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
8  FORT BONZ Jan06         (bourgeois keit)COTTO L 114 8.00 13% 6.80    
 
FG-2   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZUMRA BAYOU Feb03 Jan14       (sharp joe)PARKER L 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
2  MEMPHIS MELTDOWN Jan09         (williams m)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00    
3  TUGBOAT Jan17 Jan07       (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 122 12.00 6% 15.80    
4  STOP SHOP N DROP Jan30 Jan14 Jan01     (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 ★    
5  MY GAL CHARLOTTE Jan29 Jan06       (thomas lee)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 122 12.00    
6  CLASSICAL MAGNOLIA Jan22 Jan01       (ladner cha)ALBERT S 117 15.00    
SCR  MO BELLA Jan30 Jan01       (dandridge courtney)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
8  LA FEME JOLIE         (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 20.00    
9  CONSERVATVE VALUES Jan22         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
10  JANISTHEBEAUTY         (heitzman eric)CULP BRIANNE 117 8.00    
11  CUSTOM GUITAR Jan30 Jan09       (schwandt em)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 5.00 ★    
 
FG-3   02/18/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARMING BULLET Jan21         (clark d)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 20.00    
2  DA GOLD ROOM Feb04 Jan21 Jan07     (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 116 4.50 12% 7.70    
3  TIO BLAS         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 13% 6.50    
4  WHITE MIST Feb04 Jan16       (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 121 6.00 8% 11.50    
5  MR. QUALITY Feb04 Jan10       (richard chris)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 43% 1.30    
6  GRAND DESIGN Jan30 Jan16       (barkley jas)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 ★    
7  THUNDER AHEAD Feb04 Jan01       (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 121 10.00    
8  THE BIG IRISHMAN Feb05 Jan20 Jan06     (bernard joh)MORALES ROBERTO 124 8.00    
9  KYLE'S BRO JIMMY Feb04 Jan21 Jan03     (hatcher d)DIAZ RENE 116 12.00    
 
FG-4   02/18/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISSION BELLE Jan29         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 ★    
2  LADY CLARE Jan14         (block chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
3  DALLAS VOLUNTEER Jan20         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 ★    
4  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Jan20         (wiggins lon)RIQUELME J 119 3.00 55% 0.80    
5  LOLA FLO Feb12 Jan29 Jan13     (cash norman)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
6  MALIBU MARIE         (cox h)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 14% 5.90    
7  NANA'S GRAY         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.50 ★    
 
FG-5   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROP DEAD SEXY         (wilson shane)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.50 ★    
2  BELEOUT Jan02         (caldwell r)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  IRONIT         (courville )BROUSSARD ASHLEY 119 10.00    
4  ROYAL O'HAIGAIN         (walsh brend)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 9% 9.80    
5  LOVE RAN RED Jan13         (russell b)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  KNIGHTS SWORD         (taylor larry)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 20.00    
7  A G'S CHARLOTTE Feb03         (west g)PARKER L 119 6.00    
8  GRACELEADSUSHOME Jan22         (roussel j)DIAZ RENE 117 4.50 27% 2.70    
 
FG-6   02/18/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($24K) 3 F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PINKABOO Jan20         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 116 10.00    
2  ELI DANCER         (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 116 6.00 ★    
3  DOVE WITH A CAUSE         (ingram steve)CULP BRIANNE 112 20.00    
4  DASHING HERO Feb10         (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 120 20.00    
SCR  ONE MORE LAUGH Jan23         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  GILLIAN ELIZABETH         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  FRENCH CURLINE         (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 ★    
8  SAY I WON'T Jan23         (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 4.00 ★    
9  SARATOGA PASODOBLE Jan05         (fuselier jonah)RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
 
FG-7   02/18/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEGAS BLUE         (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 8.00 ★    
2  UNBRIDLED D'ORO         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.50 24% 3.20    
3  JOAN'S WAY Jan21         (silva h)MOJICA O 125 5.00 14% 5.90    
4  FINE COTTON Jan21         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 6.00    
5  DIAL IT UP A NOTCH Jan03         (wilson shane)RIQUELME J 125 10.00    
6  BOMBDIGGITY         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 117 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  RIDE THE PLAN         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 125 3.00 10% 9.20    
 
FG-8   02/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. J. MCKAY Jan28         (maker michae)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 3.50 29% 2.50    
2  FLYING FRED Jan28 Jan07       (maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 5.00 11% 8.00    
3  XTREME V. I. P.         (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 6.00    
4  UNORTHODOX Jan28 Jan07       (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 125 6.00 25% 2.90    
5  GOLD BEAR Jan22         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 13% 6.40    
6  AMERICAN SMOOTH Jan23         (kenneally ed)CARROLL DECLAN 125 6.00    
7  CRAZY GENIUS         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 10.00    
8  TENOR Jan28         (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 125 10.00 ★    
9  DOVER STRAIT Jan28         (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 20.00    
SCR  JOYFUL CANDY         (heitzman eri)LAVIOLETTE S 125 20.00    
 
FG-9   02/18/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CHAMITA Jan22 Jan16       (cash norman )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
2  MARIAH'S FORTUNE         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 5.00    
3  WATERWORKS Jan07         (asmussen s)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00    
4  BIRD EMPRESS Jan13         (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 4.50 57% 0.80    
5  HAZY COMMAND Jan22         (amoss m)DIAZ RENE 114 4.50 5% 17.50    
6  BERNABREEZY Jan22         (shirer a)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 5% 17.80    
SCR  DECK OF CARDS Jan16         (walsh bre)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★    
8  SEQUIST         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 7% 13.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.