Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Turfway Park
Wednesday - February 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TP-1   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONIC CITY         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 126 3.00 32% 2.10    
SEMINOLE BEACH Jan08         (wilkes ia)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 4.00    
LIBERTY BLUE         (edgell shar)MIRANDA ROGELIO 126 20.00    
BLAZEN JUSTICE Jan15         (fosdick s)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00    
INCITATUS Jan16         (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 126 10.00    
SCR  BOONE'S SPIRIT         (hughes byron )JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 15.00    
ALPHA PREDATOR         (hamm timothy)ROCCO S 126 4.50    
HONKY TONK HERO Jan15         (cotto luis)ORM CORY 126 4.50 28% 2.60    
BOURBON MAGIC         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 15.00    
SCR  VAIL OF HONOR Jan15         (kordenbrock matt)FELIX E 126 10.00    
11  STOKED (AUS) Jan16         (greenhill je)RAMOS D 125 12.00 16% 5.40    
 
TP-2   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LACE REVOLUTION Jan01         (mitchell jerre)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00    
GOGO         (gonzalez rein)CANUTO THIAGO 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
HUQOOQ         (rivelli l)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00    
SCR  ANOTHER ACCOUNT Jan01         (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
SUMMER AUTUMN ROSE         (scott l)FELIX E 120 20.00    
CLEVER KITTEN Jan16         (davis christoph)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
JUDY BYRD         (wojczynski j)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
LA CUMPARSITA Jan01         (d'angelo fr)LEON SONNY 120 3.00 11% 8.40    
MY GOOD FORTUNE         (sims a)MOJICA JR 120 15.00    
10  CHINA STAR Jan01         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
11  HADLEN         (hamm timothy)MCKEE J 120 6.00    
 
TP-3   02/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EUROPA (SPA) Jan29         (gonzalez lil)MORALES JOSHUA 123 4.00 32% 2.10    
EVIE Jan02         (paquette raym)MORALES EDGAR 123 30.00    
JUST FINE BY ME         (shifflett)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 8.00    
COMPRESSED ENERGY         (garcia genaro)BEJARANO R 117 8.00    
AMAZING DANCER Jan15         (feebeck tho)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00    
MINNIEMOREPROMISES         (manning ma)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00    
SWEET GINGER Jan22         (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
THROMBOCYTOPENIA         (obert danielle)ACHARD ALEX 123 4.50    
CROWELLA         (castaneda ma)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 30.00    
10  GOOD ALTERNATIVE         (cannon steve)OUZTS W 123 8.00 32% 2.10    
11  MAGIC LEMONS Jan02         (raines lindsey)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
12  SUPER LUCY Jan15 Jan02       (livers charli)CANUTO THIAGO 116 5.00    
 
TP-4   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHER AUTHORITY Jan14 Jan02       (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 5.00 24% 3.10    
WILLING TO SPEED         (catalano w)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
FRONTANA         (kendall elise)MCKEE J 120 12.00    
CACAHUETE         (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
RECKLESS L J Jan14         (haehn terry )RAMOS D 120 20.00    
THE BOSS FACTOR Jan14 Jan01       (foster eric)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00 6% 16.90    
TO KALON         (estvanko )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00    
FLAT OUT BEAUTIFUL         (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
TILL THEN         (foster eric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 10.00    
10  HIGH SPIRITS         (watkins m)LEON SONNY 120 10.00    
11  OSAGE MOON Jan07         (beck rowena)FELIX E 120 10.00    
12  CAPPY HOUR         (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 12.00    
SCR  TORNADO BOY Jan16         (nocero carm)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 30.00    
 
TP-5   02/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3 F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FOR THE HILLS         (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
RAMADHAAN (IRE)         (meah anna)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
DREAM STREAK Jan08         (fosdick stev)RAMOS D 120 20.00    
KENDAL GRACE         (acevedo israel)MOJICA JR 120 15.00    
QUEROBIN DOURADA         (lobo h)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 10.00 21% 3.80    
LOVE OF MY LIFE         (correas ignacio )BEJARANO R 120 5.00    
LISCOLVIN Jan14         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00    
WINEDOWN         (devaux ch)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 15.00    
SIS BOOM BOB         (gonzalez rein)CANUTO THIAGO 113 15.00    
10  SUPER SURGE         (ewing micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 15.00    
11  FROSTED DIAMOND         (sims phili)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00    
12  ENCHANTEDLY         (waltz brian)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
SCR  DRAMATIC FASHION         (casse mark)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00    
SCR  PISTOL Jan09         (mccarthy michae)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00    
 
TP-6   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUNNEL Jan08         (lauer michael)MCKEE J 118 15.00    
RUN WITH GRACE Jan09         (guida anthon)RAMOS D 126 4.50 28% 2.50    
THIS MASQUERADE Jan23 Jan15       (minnock g)BEJARANO R 126 30.00    
MOONSHINE DREAMER         (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 126 6.00 6% 16.20    
SCR  QUITE WHIMSICAL Jan09 Jan02       (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 124 30.00    
SUGAR HAPPY Jan09         (reed r)LEON SONNY 126 8.00    
CROSS THE T'S Jan23         (langemeier j)ROMERO GREGORY 126 5.00 17% 4.80    
PRINCESS EMPIRE         (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 5.00 18% 4.50    
NOTREALLYNOTREALLY Jan23         (grubbs l)MACHADO LUAN 126 12.00    
10  WILLYMAR Jan15 Jan01       (rangel)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 116 20.00    
11  TRICK HAT         (jurado luis)LEZCANO ABEL 126 4.00    
12  AUNT MARY         (lawrence jame)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 8.00    
SCR  CHELICHNA         (milosevic m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 126 20.00 5% 17.20    
SCR  LANTERN'S CANDY Feb12         (bogle fergus)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00    
 
TP-7   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL PIQUIN Jan16         (calvo kelsie)MOJICA JR 123 4.50    
SANDOR CLEGANE Jan16 Jan01       (bush george)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
PLATINUM MAC Jan26 Jan02       (helmbrecht willi)LEON SONNY 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SIROCCO Jan16 Jan02       (butcher malco)CANUTO THIAGO 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
HESITATION BLUES Jan16         (sherman justin)FELIX E 123 20.00    
BRONZE BEAST Jan09         (morey e)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
KOBE BEACH Jan16 Jan02       (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 123 12.00    
RIDE ON COMANCHE Jan26         (estvanko rich)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 15.00    
ARCHIE CAN'T SELL Jan16         (cannon steve)OUZTS W 123 3.00    
 
TP-8   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENID         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 126 5.00    
INSPIRATION POINT Jan29         (maker j)BEJARANO R 126 6.00    
SPRINKLEHEAD Jan08         (salas felipe)LEON SONNY 126 30.00    
HABITUS (GB)         (shifflett)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 15.00    
MIGHTY MEISTER         (rawles alcina)MCKEE J 126 20.00    
COUNTERSTRIKE Jan29 Jan08       (walsh brenda)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 4.00 25% 3.00    
RERALLY         (martinez matt)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 50.00    
BROWN DELIVERS         (brisset rodol)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 4.00 17% 4.90    
HOMETOWN HERO         (mcgaughey re)ROCCO S 126 8.00 8% 12.00    
10  BRIGHT PROSPECTER Jan08         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 126 3.00 29% 2.40    
11  RIVER SHANNON Jan08         (crouch karen)MACHADO LUAN 126 12.00    
 
TP-9   02/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT-10:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBSTER GUN         (sims a)MORALES EDGAR 125 10.00    
LAVENDER EARL Jan15         (morey willia)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 4.00 21% 3.70    
NEPAL UP         (lobo h)ACHARD ALEX 125 4.50    
HEAT OF THE NIGHT (SAF)         (hamm timot)CORRALES GERARDO 125 6.00    
GOLD MONEY         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 125 4.00 20% 4.00    
TEMPLET         (connelly tere)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 10.00    
SLIABH AUGHTY (FR) Jan15         (murphy conor)BURKE JULIE 125 5.00 24% 3.20    
UNANIMOUSLY         (klopp randy)RAMOS D 125 15.00    
SCIENCE (IRE) Jan21         (cash l)MCKEE J 125 12.00 12% 7.00    
10  BAYOU PROSPECTOR         (mate)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 125 30.00    
11  WENTRU         (ortiz joh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 125 10.00    
 
TP-10   02/16/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62K) 3 ALL PT-10:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOLAS BEAU Jan22         (guerrero sa)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 30.00    
LEMONADEATTHELATCH Jan07         (jacobson matt)CANUTO THIAGO 113 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCATTERSHACK Jan07         (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
OFF THE CUFF         (maker michae)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 15.00    
AGAPETOS         (mulcahy geoff)ACHARD ALEX 120 20.00    
TONKAWA SPRINGS Jan14         (mckeever andrew)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
AMERICAN PURE         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
GUS GUS Jan07         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
PAPA OSCAR WHISKEY         (reed r)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
10  CLOSE KNIT Jan07         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
11  TEEWINOT PASS Jan07         (colebrook ben)ROCCO S 120 8.00    
12  HE REIGNS Jan22         (ares paul)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
SCR  MONOLOGUE         (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.