Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/16/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLE OF SKYE         (ward dennis)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 8.00 ★    
2  PROFESSOR J Jan14         (woodard walter)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
3  LIVEFORTHESONG         (bowersock ma)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
4  SIDNEY'S BID Jan01         (duncan christo)HENRY WESLEY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Jan16 Jan01       (bennett)DE CRUZ 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  BENEVENGO         (o'connell ka)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 ★    
7  TAP THE CANDY         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
8  PAYITO Jan30 Jan16       (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 120 4.50    
 
TAM-2   02/16/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYLA'S MARK Jan30 Jan05       (paramo marti)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
2  SPARKLING PLENTY         (philipp karyn)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  MISCHIEF REIGNS Jan22         (house gary)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
4  HELLO PRINCESS         (bordis robert)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00    
5  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX Feb05 Jan22 Jan05     (carvajal luis)ARROYO MIGUEL 115 6.00 7% 13.00    
6  LADY PAYNTER         (smith rober)GARCIA A 122 10.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  MARYMOTHEROF JESUS Feb05 Jan05       (escobar alis)GARCIA GEOVANY 122 30.00    
8  C'EST PARTI Jan14 Jan05       (dy)SCALDAFERRI ROSANA 122 8.00 7% 13.50    
9  RED PRIESTESS Jan16         (gonza)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.50    
10  CHIACHIARONE Jan19 Jan09       (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 12.00    
11  ROYAL GOLD DIGGER Feb05 Jan21       (schistl rafae)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 6.00    
 
TAM-3   02/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACE SINGER         (sweezey ken)VALDES ALEXIS 123 30.00    
2  ASSERT DOMINANCE Jan28 Jan12       (mcgoey monica)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 10.00    
3  TOUR THE WORLD Jan09         (lund valorie)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 ★    
4  FLORIDA PHARAOH Feb06 Jan23       (schistl rafae)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 5.00    
5  CAPE HEDGE Jan09         (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 123 12.00    
6  CREATIVE CHOICE Jan28 Jan12       (allen lisa)ALLEN M 123 4.50 42% 1.40    
7  LET'S TRY AN ALIAS         (rodriguez d)QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 8.00    
8  ANALYZEYOURVISION Jan09         (o'conne)DE CRUZ 123 4.50 ★    
9  PLEASANT VALUE         (dini mike)BATISTA A 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
10  SETTE STELLE Jan09         (avila c)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 10.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  BOURBON BROWN Jan15         (ferraro a)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 10.00    
SCR  OUR MAGICAL GIRL         (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  JOHNNIE GOT JETS Feb06         (dominguez luis)HENRY WESLEY 123 30.00    
SCR  BLACK LIMO         (hayford jennifer)SPIETH S 123 8.00    
 
TAM-4   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREFERRED OUTCOME Jan21         (ferraro an)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50    
2  MR LIGHTNING BOY Jan19 Jan05       (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 122 6.00 5% 18.00    
3  CANDY MY BOY Jan21         (guciardo ka)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 10.00    
4  I KICKN Jan12         (schistl rafae)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  ODDS ON Jan15         (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  HOT AND HEAVY Jan26 Jan12       (wilson ton)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 8.00    
7  GEMO Jan26         (russo victo)GARCIA A 122 4.00    
SCR  ARAZI LIKE MOVE Feb02         (barron rory)ALLEN M 122 15.00 16% 5.20    
9  TWO THE PUNCH         (rarick lynn)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 10.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  FIVE STAR CREEK Jan12         (rarick lynn)BOWEN ROCCO 122 15.00    
 
TAM-5   02/16/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Jan01         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 5.00 7% 13.30    
2  SWEET LAURA Jan01         (stewart j)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
3  SKIMS (GB)         (mcgaughey cla)MORALES PABLO 118 2.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  READY TO FILM Feb04 Jan19       (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 118 5.00 13% 6.70    
5  SWEET DUTCHESS Jan22         (o'conne)DE CRUZ 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
6  FINERY Jan01         (delacour arnau)CASTANON L 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
TAM-6   02/16/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARSHIP OREO Jan29 Jan15       (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 112 20.00 ★    
2  TIZ TRIUMPHANT Jan16 Jan05       (bennett)DE CRUZ 119 12.00    
3  MORE CHANCES Jan16         (dunslow mike )HERNANDEZ K 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
4  RIP IT RYAN Jan29         (tsirigotis )SPANABEL SKYLER 119 15.00    
5  SKILLFUL Jan15         (carrascojr v)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  ROLL ON DUDE Feb06 Jan02       (machado antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
7  COMMANDER KEITH Jan29 Jan07       (lusk r)JUDE JOHN 119 15.00    
8  SIAKAM Jan29 Jan16       (hall philip)GARCIA A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  GIVE ME TWO STEPS Feb02 Jan16       (miller rory )BATISTA A 119 8.00    
10  ACTION WARRIOR Jan29 Jan15       (dobber w)WALES GARY 119 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   02/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALLANVAARA Jan28         (holder tedston)BOWEN ROCCO 120 12.00    
2  ENDLESS Jan28 Jan12       (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00    
3  SHESASCOLDASICE Jan22         (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 113 12.00    
4  CURRENT CAUSE         (duncan christ)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 8.00    
5  DANCING SOPHIA         (motion graham)CENTENO E 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  WASSER Jan08         (delacour arnau)CASTANON L 120 6.00 12% 7.40    
7  CUPIDS DREAM Jan22         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
8  RIPLEY EFFECT Jan28 Jan12       (o'conne)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
9  BELLA CASCATA Jan09         (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00 ★    
10  HER NAME IS LOLA Jan08         (sweezey k)GARCIA A 120 10.00    
SCR  SAFE TRAVELS Jan22         (gulick james)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
SCR  XCARET Jan22 Jan01       (stewa)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
SCR  JEFF'S ANGEL Jan08         (exposito j)LOPEZ E 120 20.00    
SCR  SONG OF THE HEART Jan28 Jan12       (negrete ja)ALONSO LUIS 120 20.00 6% 17.20    
 
TAM-8   02/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SARASOTA STAR Jan29 Jan09       (raymond rob)MARIN A 118 5.00 ★    
SCR  MOANAS POWER Jan14         (munoz car)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
3  PRINCESS LIVIA Feb02         (padilla tim)FELICIANO R 118 15.00 9% 9.70    
4  BUMBLELICIOUS         (hardesty lesliely)JUDE JOHN 118 30.00    
5  KITTY KITTY Jan28         (vinson g)CASTANON L 118 8.00    
6  BELLARIFIC Jan14         (granitz)DE CRUZ 118 8.00    
7  LADY JEAN Jan22 Jan01       (carrascojr vi)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
8  ALL GOOD TIMES Jan23         (raymond robe)BATISTA A 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
9  BALLET SCHOOL         (o'connor rober)CAMACHO SAMY 118 5.00 ★    
 
TAM-9   02/16/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.45K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LULLABY LAND Jan15         (carvaja)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 8% 11.30    
2  EXTRAVAGANT ROSIE         (ward dennis)FERRER C 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
3  NANCY WORK Jan30 Jan16       (glyshaw tim)CENTENO E 120 8.00    
4  SWEET MOOCHIE Jan15         (granitz anth)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
5  KISSMELIPS Jan30         (padilla tim)FELICIANO R 120 15.00    
6  FALL MOON Jan15         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 4.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  SUNNYMEDE DREAM         (schuh tim)MORALES PABLO 120 10.00 ★    
8  MUSETTA (ARG) Jan30 Jan15       (delgado h)CASTANON L 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  ROSE E HOLIDAY Jan16         (carvajal luis)ARROYO MIGUEL 113 20.00    
SCR  PLATINUMCENTS Jan30         (wasil)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
11  ISLAND MAGIC Jan27         (yanez moises)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
SCR  IMINCOMUNICADO Jan07         (ryan s)CASTANON L 120 30.00    
SCR  SPEAK ENGLISH Jan16         (goberdhan chand)BOWEN ROCCO 120 30.00    
SCR  D FLAT WHITE Jan09         (dobber w)WALES GARY 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.