Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - February 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODY'S JESSICA Jan25         (bryant donal)ROMERO GREGORY 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  SURPRISED GEM Feb01 Jan25       (bailey rica)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 15.00    
3  ISLAND WINTER Jan08         (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 10.00 ★    
4  MY ROSIE         (bryant)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50    
5  ITSALLABOUTACTION         (reed r)LEON SONNY 122 4.50 ★    
6  ORBIT BOUND Jan15         (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00    
7  BACKYARD HEN         (shif)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  WILDCAT DREAM Jan25 Jan15       (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 122 8.00 32% 2.10    
 
MVR-2   02/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO ENTIENDO Jan11         (maver e)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
2  FIRE FOR EFFECT Jan26 Jan14       (jackson r)LEON SONNY 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
3  GUCCISSIMO Feb01 Jan24       (bailey rica)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 8% 11.50    
4  ROSAS WAY         (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 15.00 8% 12.00    
5  BUCKY Jan26 Jan14       (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
6  DYNAFORM Jan14 Jan01       (lopez e)PAUCAR E 124 2.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  ALFRED Jan26 Jan05       (martinez ju)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 4.00    
 
MVR-3   02/14/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAY HEY KID Jan21         (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 4.50 5% 18.50    
2  WARRIOR'S DREAM Jan01         (thornbury jeff)LEON SONNY 124 2.00    
3  BOB'S CALLING Feb01 Jan24       (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 2.50    
4  TAMANRASSETT Jan14         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 ★    
5  DETERMINATOR Jan25         (buttigieg kevin)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 9% 10.30    
6  WINKING AT THEDUDE Jan25 Jan05       (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 48% 1.10    
7  HE'S THE SOUPERWON Jan24         (van meter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   02/14/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIT THIS TOWN Jan15         (buttigieg kev)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
2  SILVER DOLLAR CITY Jan19         (pappada juli)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00    
SCR  MUSICAL MAN Jan25 Jan12       (miller)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
4  UNCLE KEVIN         (reust megan)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 10% 9.40    
5  SHINING THROUGH Jan19         (van meter)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00    
SCR  LONESOME PHIL         (londono odin)HALDAR J 124 15.00    
7  AWESOME OX Jan15         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 6% 17.20    
8  COTTON JIM Jan19 Jan11       (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  DEEP MIND Jan22         (mcentee paul)LEON SONNY 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
10  TRAMORE BAY Jan19         (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-5   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTEROFTHEHOUNDS         (zielinski r)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 3.50 ★    
2  GONE IN A FLASH Jan11         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 116 10.00    
3  THE MAN CAN Jan12 Jan05       (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00    
4  QUIET AMIGO         (zielinski r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00 14% 6.10    
5  KID RUSSELL Jan19 Jan04       (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
6  RUMBLE STRIP RON Jan01         (quartarolo an)BRACHO A 116 2.00 18% 4.50    
7  DUKE OF DARKNESS         (werre danny)LEON SONNY 124 6.00 ★    
8  TRAITOR AMONGST US         (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-6   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPUN PRETTY Jan24         (evans ii)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
2  WAR MOON         (gorost)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 5.00    
3  DISCREET ENERGY Jan25         (jones e)MUSARRO JOE 126 20.00    
4  YOU NAME IT Jan24 Jan12       (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  SWEET EMPIRE Jan12         (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 ★    
6  COMO ROSE Jan14         (schuster rob)WISEMAN ISAIAH 126 20.00    
7  DANZA MAGIC Jan24 Jan08       (radcliff do)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 15.00 ★    
8  MARGARITA CINCO Jan12         (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00 ★    
9  INDELIBLE IMAGE Jan12         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 126 3.00 55% 0.80    
 
MVR-7   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALACTIC Jan04         (mcdonald jam)HALDAR J 123 15.00 7% 12.70    
2  TOTELLYOUTHETRUTH Jan04         (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  MANNFORD Jan04         (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 123 8.00 12% 7.60    
4  PLAY BALL Jan12         (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  DIRECT DECEIT         (rivera ne)CORREA L 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
6  OVER ICCE Jan12         (johnson l)LEON SONNY 123 5.00    
7  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Jan22 Jan04       (bailey ricardo)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
8  MISTER MOBIL Jan12         (johnson gar)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 15.00    
9  GOLDEN MONEY Jan22         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
 
MVR-8   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC REACH Jan26 Jan11       (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 6.00 ★    
2  WESTERN HOPE Jan31 Jan15       (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 126 12.00    
3  SPLIT MY BRITCHES Feb01 Jan11       (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
4  ZIP IT QUICK Jan26 Jan11       (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 119 20.00    
5  I'MMA NATURAL Jan26 Jan11       (sw)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
6  THE GOSPEL OF MARK         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00 ★    
7  JOHNNY C Jan26         (tumblin and)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 4.50    
8  CHISELED JUSTICE Jan26 Jan05       (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 2.50 52% 0.90    
9  DANCE MOVES Jan15         (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 126 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-9   02/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIVE VALLEY         (bird danny)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
2  PASATIME Jan18         (sondej am)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
3  ROTTEN TO THE CORE         (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
4  TALK DIRTY Jan11         (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00    
5  PASSIONATE HEART         (reed r)LEON SONNY 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
6  ZOEYS TOUCH Jan22         (fiesman l)RIVERA R 124 10.00 5% 17.50    
7  Z U IN MY DREAMS Jan11         (skerrett je)MARTINEZ R 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
SCR  PERKEO Jan13         (balo will)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 116 4.00 11% 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.