Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - February 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25.2K) 4UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MAGICA Jan22 Jan01       (serey jr)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 5.00 13% 6.80    
BLUE SKY VENEZUELA Jan22 Jan01       (albert l)ACOSTA D 123 3.50    
CALYPSO GHOST Jan22 Jan01       (magee ki)BUTTERFLY L 116 1.80 56% 0.80    
ELOQUENT LADY Jan22         (pradenas serg)KARAMANOS A 119 15.00    
PARCHED GHOST Jan21 Jan01       (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.50    
JOYFUL NOISE Feb03 Jan20       (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 4.00 6% 15.60    
 
LRL-2   02/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 3 ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER G Feb02 Jan23       (sanchez-salomo)ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00 9% 10.30    
BISCOTTO D'ORO Jan23         (bailes robert)MONTERREY R 124 1.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  BRETTMEISTER Jan21         (bennett dal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 3.50 16% 5.40    
GREYLOVER         (maldonado)CARRASCO R 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
MONOGRAM         (greaves verno)KARAMANOS A 124 10.00 11% 7.80    
BUSHWICK BRUISER Jan23         (deiter k)BUTTERFLY L 117 15.00    
MY SON CHRIS Jan23         (aguirre anthony)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
 
LRL-3   02/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAVILUS Jan21         (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 123 4.00 33% 2.10    
SAMMIE SUNSHINE Jan27         (gorham michae)ALVELO C 118 0.80 33% 2.10    
NOTION INTERRUPTUS Feb04 Jan22       (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 116 5.00    
SCR  POSTINO'S SECRET Jan27         (worton dor)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 20.00    
BREVIARY Feb06 Jan16       (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 126 4.50    
CAIRO QUEEN Jan01         (eppler e)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-4   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 3 ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOTHING BUT CHROME         (aguirre an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
I'M NOT SLOW Jan30         (gonzalez claud)ROSADO JOHAN 120 10.00 31% 2.20    
NO MONEY DOWN Jan23         (salzma)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 1.80 40% 1.50    
AMICALOLA FALLS         (eppler e)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
GRASPIN' AT STRAWS Jan23         (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 113 12.00    
MADE TO BE LUCKY Jan23 Jan12       (smith )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 20.00    
BOWIE TWO STEP Jan20         (cox m)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 3.00    
AWESOME STEPHEN Jan21         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 6.00    
KAZU Jan22         (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 119 8.00    
 
LRL-5   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICTOR Jan26 Jan04       (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 126 1.60 26% 2.90    
TOP BOSS Feb04 Jan27 Jan01     (mohan da)BUTTERFLY L 116 15.00    
SCR  NATTY BEAU Jan16         (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
PET'S NIGHT Jan29         (dove jr)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 30.00    
GRAN CITY Feb02 Jan15       (tomczak mark)LOPEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00 20% 4.00    
BEVERLY PARK Jan27 Jan23 Jan14 Jan02   (cash norm)CARRASCO R 126 1.00 30% 2.30    
REVOLUTIONARY ROAD Jan21         (vukelic rob)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 6.00    
KEEPING THE PEACE Jan29 Jan16       (leaf robe)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
 
LRL-6   02/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 45 M/F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE BE A DANCER         (plumme)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 20.00    
PEARLYVILLE Jan21         (gaudet)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 3.00 31% 2.20    
TIPSY TOURIST Jan21         (eubanks an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 126 12.00    
TIKTOKNAWAY Jan20         (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 126 10.00    
BELLSWILLBERINGING Jan20         (contessa gary )ROSADO JOHAN 126 6.00    
GOT A GOOD REASON Jan29         (mcmullen ma)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00 18% 4.60    
EL MILAGRA Feb06 Jan21       (allen ferris)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 30.00    
BROADWAY MELODY         (merryman)BUTTERFLY L 119 8.00    
HUMMIN' THE FUNK Jan20         (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 121 1.80 28% 2.50    
10  BAD TEMPER Jan29         (parker horac)CALDERON JORGE 122 12.00    
 
LRL-7   02/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTISTIC REASON Feb03         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
LUDICROUS MODE Feb03 Jan21       (sanchez-salomon)GARCIA LUIS 123 3.00 17% 4.70    
COSMICALITY         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00    
AIN'T DA BEER COLD Jan30         (cox kenne)CARRASCO R 126 1.20 27% 2.70    
UNCOMMON VALOR Jan27 Jan16       (corrales jose)ALVELO C 118 10.00    
LECTRIC CHOKE Jan29         (d'angelo)BUTTERFLY L 116 12.00 7% 13.10    
EDICT (ARG) Jan21         (allard edward )CEDENO CAROL 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-8   02/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 3 F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN MACHINE Jan20 Jan01       (farrio)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  HELLO JAMROCK Feb06 Jan23 Jan01     (smith valr)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 15.00    
IMAGINE THE MOJO Jan23         (trombetta mic)ALVELO C 115 15.00    
CIVIL UNREST Feb06 Jan20       (salzman )BUTTERFLY L 113 15.00    
SHE'S A TRIPP         (englehart j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 0.60 46% 1.20    
ICY REPLY         (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 124 10.00    
PARTY MONSTER Jan20         (feliciano m)RUIZ JORGE 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.