Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Sunday - February 13, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   02/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACEE Jan16 Jan02       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 4.50 7% 12.80    
CONNECT IT Jan28 Jan01       (faucheux ron)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 8.00    
SKY HIGH SUSAN Jan28 Jan01       (silva miguel)MOJICA O 117 8.00 11% 8.20    
SHELLI'S ANGEL Jan28         (ladner chad)DIAZ RENE 120 15.00    
LUCKY LINDA         (alonzo how)MURRILL MITCHELL 125 12.00    
SCRAPPY Jan28 Jan13       (ney john)MORALES ROBERTO 125 20.00    
MS. CAJUN QUEEN Jan28 Jan01       (breaux samuel)PARKER L 117 6.00    
CHEAPSKATE DIVA Jan28 Jan08       (felks jose)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  SERIOUSLY SAM Jan28 Jan08       (david b)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.00 41% 1.50    
10  SAVANNAH'S HERE Jan28 Jan07       (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 120 20.00    
 
FG-2   02/13/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE RIDGE HEAT Jan27 Jan07       (thompson kev)LAVIOLETTE S 121 10.00    
POINT OF VICTORY Jan27 Jan01       (faucheux ron)COTTO L 121 2.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  ROCKIN SUNDAY Jan27         (camejo m)RIQUELME J 121 4.50 29% 2.50    
SHE'S A FAIR CATCH Jan27 Jan07       (cordero m)DIAZ RENE 116 10.00    
MY REBEL GIRL Jan28 Jan08       (landry jaco)MORALES ROBERTO 121 12.00    
SHESTHECATSMEOW Jan26 Jan08       (noel dane)VARGAS P 121 6.00    
SPECTACULAR IZZY Jan02         (ingram steve)CULP BRIANNE 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SARAH ADRIANA Jan08         (thomas lee)MARQUEZ L 121 4.00    
BODIE ON POINTE         (derousselle pe)GREEN AUBRIE 121 20.00    
 
FG-3   02/13/2022 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREWCITABLE Jan12         (briley lonnie)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00    
MR. FOUR SEVENS Jan23         (dandridge co)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00    
UNRESTRICTED Jan07         (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 120 5.00 64% 0.60    
I'M D'CAT Jan07         (brinkman )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.50    
LIKE MIKE Jan23         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00    
KRAFTY BOY         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 120 15.00    
CABO'S RUMOR Jan23 Jan07       (duke steven)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00    
RUN ROCKET Jan21 Jan07       (duke stev)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 5% 18.30    
RELUCTANT WARRIOR Jan21         (wilson shane)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
10  GUILTY LOVER Jan23         (hatcher d)DIAZ RENE 115 20.00    
SCR  GUITAR SLIM Jan07         (jeansonne just)COTTO L 120 4.00    
SCR  LUCKENBACHER Feb05 Jan08       (foster joseph )CULP BRIANNE 115 12.00    
 
FG-4   02/13/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT CUT Jan08         (mcgee pau)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00    
HOMBRAZO Jan08         (cano munoz)PARKER L 121 2.50 22% 3.40    
GIMME SOME MO Jan21         (hargrave k)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 6% 14.80    
CRIMINAL DEFENSE Jan21 Jan02       (barnett bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00    
SCR  CARMEL CRUSH Jan03         (shirer ma)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 29% 2.50    
OUTLIER Jan21 Jan07       (cash norman )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00 13% 6.50    
 
FG-5   02/13/2022 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY FOR CHANGE         (pessin l)MOJICA O 120 4.50 17% 5.00    
1A  MOM'S RED LIPSTICK Jan16         (block chris)RIQUELME J 120 4.50    
DANCE RHYTHMS         (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  STERLING MISS         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
FIRINGTOTHEFRONT         (wilson shan)MORALES ROBERTO 120 20.00    
MUCHA MEZQUINA         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
INAJIFFY         (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
RISKY REWARD Jan06         (kenneally ed)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.00 14% 6.40    
VIVIDLY (GB)         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
EMRO         (cox brad )HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
SCR  LOVE AND MONEY         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  RAZOR GLASS         (walsh p)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
 
FG-6   02/13/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAITH RUNNER Jan22         (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 12.00    
FENWICK Jan22         (asmussen s)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 4.50    
GLOBAL EMPIRE         (roussel l)HERNANDEZ J 125 5.00 16% 5.40    
RISING EMPIRE         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 1.80 37% 1.70    
ARDANWOOD Jan23         (robertson hu)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 8.00    
TIWANAKU         (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
TONAL IMPACT Jan21 Jan05       (howard j)PARKER L 125 8.00    
 
FG-7   02/13/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN MAFIA         (rodriguez edua)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.50    
MAGICAL PEAPOD Jan15         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00 5% 18.00    
CLARA PEETERS (GB)         (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  PERFECT CHOICE Jan29         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00 9% 10.10    
GO BIG GREEN Jan23         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
POSTNUP         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
SCR  STROLLIN THE BAYOU Jan15         (foley greg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
SCR  SUKI Jan29         (shirer ma)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00    
SCR  LADY FROSTED Jan13         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50    
 
FG-8   02/13/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APHRODITES REVENGE Jan23 Jan06       (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
MISSBUDLITELIME Jan27 Jan06       (flugence hen)LAVIOLETTE S 122 30.00    
SCR  CONNIE BABY         (stemmans don)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
AUDACIOUS GIRL Jan27         (cordero ang)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
CHEYANN GLITTERS Jan27 Jan06       (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
ENOUGH HEART Jan06         (bernard j)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
STORMY SPOTS         (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 114 6.00    
SCR  EMERY'S DREAM Jan27 Jan06       (leblanc jo)ALBERT S 117 20.00    
SHE'S OUR STAR Jan30         (broussard j)CHAVEZ ORIEL 122 30.00    
10  ALLSTAR MAGIC         (ladner chad)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.