Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Saturday - February 12, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/12/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($41.4K) 3 ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Jan23 Jan02       (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 121 2.50    
RUN ON THE TRAIL Jan23 Jan02       (maldonado jon)ALVELO C 116 8.00    
GUNHAND Jan23         (farrio)ENRIQUEZ JR 114 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCHOOLYARD BULLY Jan30 Jan16       (dove k)LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 5.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  DR. GRANT Jan30 Jan20       (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 121 12.00    
HEARTNESS Jan25         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.50    
 
LRL-2   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 4UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S ALL COURAGE         (mancil)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 15.00    
RAPIDAMENTE Jan22         (feliciano ben )ROSADO JOHAN 126 3.50 7% 13.90    
ICY HARBOR Jan29         (houghton)BUTTERFLY L 119 3.50 17% 4.70    
LOVE MY CAT         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 126 10.00 5% 18.50    
AREEMAA Jan28         (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
ONE NIGHT STAND Jan22         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
BLESS AND HONOR         (magill j)CRUZ ANGEL 126 8.00    
EXPECT THE SUNRISE Jan22         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 12.00    
 
LRL-3   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOT CHOICE Jan27         (howard c)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 20.00    
STRIKE MAGIC         (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 115 6.00    
FORTES         (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 126 4.50 7% 13.30    
SPECIAL FREEDOM Jan28         (mancil)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 12.00    
HUFFLEPUFF Jan22         (howard c)CRUZ ANGEL 126 2.50 32% 2.20    
SUNSHINEANRAINBOWS Feb02         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 126 2.00    
SPANIKOPITA Jan28         (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 126 4.00 36% 1.80    
 
LRL-4   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($48K) 3 F PT- 1:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOLA FLO Jan29 Jan13       (cash l)ARAUJO DENIS 121 15.00 5% 18.60    
JOE MIKE JIM Jan21         (gonzalez claud)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.00 47% 1.10    
JERUSALEMA (IRE) Jan29 Jan01       (farrior a)CARRASCO R 121 6.00    
CLICK TO CONFIRM Jan27         (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.50    
MONARCH BEACH Jan30 Jan23       (frock l)ACOSTA D 121 5.00 5% 17.30    
SOMMER VELVET Jan31         (boniface ke)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 6.00 11% 8.00    
JACKIE THE JOKER Jan29 Jan14       (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 4.50 7% 12.60    
 
LRL-5   02/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55.2K) 3 ALL PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURGEE         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 124 12.00    
OUTKISSED         (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 124 4.00 51% 1.00    
GOLDENIZE Jan20         (keefe l)ACOSTA D 124 12.00    
HIS ROYAL G         (perkins ben)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 5.00    
ZEN MASTER         (russell brittan)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
JUSTFORSPEIGHTOFIT Jan22         (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 124 15.00    
KEEPING THE EDGE Jan13         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 124 5.00    
NANTASKET BEACH Jan01         (lawrence james)PEREZ XAVIER 124 15.00    
PRINCE OF FENTON Jan22         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RHUMJAR         (hills timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
 
LRL-6   02/12/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($57.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWEET AWAY ROBIN Jan27         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 121 10.00 13% 6.80    
MAGGIE'S BID Jan20         (beattie t)CARRASCO R 123 12.00    
MI CLEOPATRA AND I Jan27 Jan16       (sanchez-salomon)GARCIA LUIS 126 5.00 30% 2.30    
LOVE IN HER EYES Jan25         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 12.00    
VIBRANCY Jan22         (salazar marco)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 15.00    
TRUMPET LILLY Feb03 Jan14       (cash l)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00 6% 16.80    
PETTIGO GIRL Jan27 Jan17       (contessa )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 8.00    
AWAY TO RETURN Jan22         (dilodovico )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 4.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  R AVERIE LYNN Feb03         (gorham m)BUTTERFLY L 116 20.00    
10  AWARD WANTED Jan27         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 5.00    
11  MISS CHESAPEAKE Jan22         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 12.00 5% 17.50    
12  SWEET HOME DIXIE Jan22         (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 123 8.00    
 
LRL-7   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($38.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY PRINCESS Jan28         (plummer bobby )ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00    
KERICS BEAUTY Jan25         (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 126 8.00    
CLOSERTOTHEHEART Jan28         (felici)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 2.00 14% 6.20    
MEMPHIS MAFIA Jan25         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 52% 0.90    
SUMMER ODDS Jan27         (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
DAUNTLESS GAL         (maldonado jonath)ACOSTA D 123 6.00    
HONOR YOUR MOTHER         (smith d)ALVELO C 118 15.00    
TARGE Jan28         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 4.00 9% 10.10    
 
LRL-8   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($41.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  D' RAPPER         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
SEANOW Jan21         (ness j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 5.00 12% 7.10    
JEBOLOGIST         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 123 8.00    
ALGEBRAIC Jan21         (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 121 1.60 19% 4.30    
SCR  LOADED SNIPER Jan28         (frock ch)BUTTERFLY L 112 20.00    
SPITBALL Jan20 Jan01       (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 126 10.00    
THE GREAT DANSKY Jan02         (de ho)CARRASCO R 123 20.00    
FORTUNE'S FOOL Jan20         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
 
LRL-9   02/12/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($57.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANOODLE Jan02         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 12.00    
MINER'S GEM         (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 123 4.00 9% 10.30    
BEHIND THE COUCH Jan20         (salzman e)ARAUJO DENIS 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  COMPETENT Jan15         (tomczak mark)PEREZ XAVIER 123 20.00    
MENDING Jan22         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.00 9% 9.80    
TRITONE GAL         (ambrogi )BUTTERFLY L 116 8.00    
ELLIE BE DANCING Feb03 Jan13 Jan01     (ramire)ENRIQUEZ JR 116 30.00    
AMERICAN BASTET         (vera miguel)KARAMANOS A 123 1.80 38% 1.60    
 
LRL-10   02/12/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28.8K) 3 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIT A HOMER HONEY Jan23         (ness jamie)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
CHICA RABIOSA Jan23         (gonzalez cl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 1.40    
SCR  I'M A LIL BOSSY         (cox ke)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 8.00 8% 11.50    
MIZ THE BEST Jan23         (walters henry)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  NO MORE MASK Jan23         (salzman e)ACOSTA D 118 8.00    
SKYLAR'S LADY Jan23 Jan01       (frock ch)BUTTERFLY L 115 15.00    
CABRA CHICA         (trombetta mic)ALVELO C 117 3.00 31% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.