Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - February 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBIN TILL DAWN Jan28         (johnson freddi)RIOS-CONDE A 122 5.00    
WHISKEY TALKING Feb04         (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 7% 13.00    
TIZ THE REASON         (rideout anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
Q'S SONG         (mckee d)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00 10% 8.70    
BRONZE DIVA Jan26         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 1.20 34% 1.90    
HOLLYWOOD BROWN Jan14         (jones m)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 6.00    
 
CT-2   02/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON IT         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
GOODNESS GRACIOUS Jan14         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
FULL MOON LOVER Jan14         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 3.00 37% 1.70    
BEE JEALOUS         (greaves vern)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
KOM HERE GIRL Jan14         (craig e)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 13% 6.50    
LUCYLOU WHO         (velez irvi)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 3.50    
MY SISTER PAM Jan14         (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50    
 
CT-3   02/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTI Jan13         (graci a)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00    
CANTAKEITANYMORE Jan28 Jan13       (keller)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 5.00    
TIVANO Jan13         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
EXCALIBUR Jan28 Jan13       (butts e)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
PROTA Jan14         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 39% 1.50    
JAMMIN STILL         (caison l)SIMPSON JASON 120 12.00    
BOBBYFROMTHEPALM Jan12         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 10.00    
 
CT-4   02/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE POTATOES         (walters dav)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 10.00    
BUZZHOUND Jan28         (brown ron)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.50 8% 11.70    
GOOFY BOY         (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
DYNAMIC DAY         (greaves vern)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00    
GALILEAN MOON Jan26         (frock l)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 5% 17.60    
SUSPIROS         (simone mic)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 43% 1.30    
DISTANT THUNDER Jan27         (bass w)WHITACRE B 122 10.00    
TRUTH SERUM Jan27         (johnson fred)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
JOSEF IS REAL Jan28         (figgins l)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 16% 5.10    
10  SWING YOUR SWORD Jan27         (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
SCR  HIGH PRINT         (butts e)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
SCR  YOUREOUTOFCONTROL Jan27         (sandova)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 20.00    
 
CT-5   02/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEVATED FOREVER         (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 3.00 42% 1.40    
CRISTIANO         (velez irvi)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 4.50    
SING A VERSE Feb03 Jan12       (espinosa )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00    
MEGA MILLIONS         (huet terry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 20.00    
WIDGET FACTORY         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50 13% 6.70    
GAMING JACK Feb03 Jan15       (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 6% 15.20    
BLUE SKY PAINTER Jan13         (mitchell jerred)WHITACRE B 122 5.00    
BLAME IT ON HONEY Jan26         (joy ke)ENRIQUEZ JR 115 6.00    
CASTLE BOUND Jan12         (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 124 15.00 10% 8.70    
 
CT-6   02/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.3K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER CASTLE Jan27 Jan12       (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00 7% 12.50    
WOODHAVEN KID         (clouston edward)PELTROCHE F 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
BRIAN'S AVENUE         (walters david)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00    
MINE TO HOLD         (rafter carl)MARRERO R 122 20.00    
UNNAMED SOLDIER Jan12         (king yolonda)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50    
SKY GAZER R V F         (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 30.00    
PADRINO'S HEART         (straugh)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 15.00    
BROTHER SKYE         (harrison glen)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
WON DOZEN BANKS Jan12         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 4.00 11% 8.40    
10  SINGANOTHERSONG Jan27 Jan12       (johnson fred)ROCHA WLADIMIR 122 15.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  SUNMAN Jan28 Jan15       (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 5.00    
SCR  WINKING AT THEDUDE Jan25 Jan05       (clouston edward)PELTROCHE F 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
CT-7   02/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.6K) 4UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS JESSE         (pickett crys)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50    
EL ZOPILOTE         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
ISLAND CADGER         (johnson r)LIMA FELINO 117 30.00    
CHASING ANNA         (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
BANNER MAN         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 10.00    
BELMULLET         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 11% 8.50    
MAJESTIC SEAS         (weeks l)PELTROCHE F 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
TANELEER Jan26 Jan13       (raymond donov)SIMPSON JASON 120 50.00    
TRUFFLES AND GOLD         (atkins g)LARROSA G 124 6.00    
 
CT-8   02/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARE YOU HAPPY         (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
COWBOY AT HEART Jan14         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 9% 10.20    
FIBER STRONG         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 5.00    
HOPPING HENRY         (sterling michael )LARROSA G 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
DERBY DAY DREAMS         (barber donal)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
CHAINSAW AL         (johnso)ENRIQUEZ JR 113 15.00    
ROCKET SOUND         (mangual ma)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00    
REMYS SHOWTIME         (grams c)PELTROCHE F 124 4.00 11% 8.50    
 
CT-9   02/11/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAM'S GAL         (pennella rhe)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 8.00    
DIGGIN FOR DOUGH         (keller christop)LIMA FELINO 115 5.00    
RED LIL SHIPMENT         (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
ALYS GREAT NOTION         (deiter)ENRIQUEZ JR 117 15.00    
PLAY CHARADES         (murtaugh an)MCKENZIE CONNIE 112 20.00    
ODEMGOLDENSLIPPERS         (scott lloyd )ROCHA WLADIMIR 124 15.00    
SUPERSTASIA         (carlisle j)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 6.00    
EVA'S GIRL GRACE         (johnson fre)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
SIGNS OF JEALOUSY         (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
10  BADS LIL LADY         (davis russell)MARRERO R 122 10.00    
SCR  UNTAMED LADY Feb06         (hurley jac)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  DAFFYDILL         (dillon l)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.