Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Friday - February 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   02/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOKUTAI Jan23         (dipri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
HALF BIRTHDAY Jan14         (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
LONDON PEARL Jan28         (persaud ran)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00    
ROCK LOBSTER Jan14         (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
CRISPY GAL         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
DARE TO BE GREAT         (grusmark k)DAVIS A 120 10.00    
INTELLIGENCEREPORT         (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
AQU-2   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YANKEE EMPIRE         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
COACH BAHE Jan27 Jan09       (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00    
CORKMAN         (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 29% 2.50    
MR. FIDGET Jan27         (henry nevi)DAVIS A 120 4.00 5% 17.70    
FOTIS         (jones eduardo )HARKIE K 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
FAR AWAY LOOK Feb03         (brown)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
JERUSALEM GATES Jan27         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20 42% 1.40    
 
AQU-3   02/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY GIRL (IRE) Jan30 Jan13       (bond ja)HARKIE K 122 2.00    
1A  TALENTI Jan02         (bond j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
SALUKI Jan02         (schettino )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
STEPPIN' HAWK Jan13         (hosan)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
JULIANA'S ROSE Jan02         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
DUCKPHAT         (ferraro w)CORREA JULIO 122 10.00    
OUR JESSICA Jan13         (donk david)VARGAS A 122 4.00    
SCR  BAVARIAN CREME Jan13         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
 
AQU-4   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNICKET Jan23 Jan01       (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 16% 5.40    
MAZAL EIGHTEEN Jan23         (vazquez carl)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
MOSIENKO         (lalman )HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 5.00    
CANDY MONET Jan16 Jan01       (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
TOWERING ORBIT Jan01         (baker charl)VARGAS A 123 3.50 8% 12.10    
VIOLENTIAM Jan23         (grusmark k)DAVIS A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BLAME IT ON MARY         (barker edw)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 6% 16.10    
 
AQU-5   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXFILTRATION Jan06         (de hor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LINNY KATE Jan16         (noda orlando)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 7% 14.30    
RED PEPPER GRILL Jan23         (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
INFRINGEMENT         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
SCR  HORSESHOE FALLS Jan20         (mc j)DAVIS A 123 50.00    
BELLAMY'SPARTYGIRL Jan18         (diprima gregor)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
HEY IT'S TATI Jan20         (gargan danny)MORRISON AILSA 110 8.00 15% 5.50    
SUMMARY JUDGMENT Jan16         (reynolds patric)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 28% 2.50    
SUDDEN IMPULSE         (chichakly a)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00    
10  LUCKY SITKA         (delauro j)MENA E 120 50.00    
11  CROSS ISLAND         (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-6   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GLORY ROAD         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00    
MICROSCOPE         (dipri)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
DADDY KNOWS         (handal raymon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 8% 11.30    
KUMAR Jan02         (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
FAST BREAK Jan02         (arriaga antonio)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 33% 2.10    
AMERICAN RULE Jan28         (morey e)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
SCR  CRYPTO CASH Jan28 Jan02       (atras rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00 9% 10.60    
REGAL QUALITY         (rodriguez r)VARGAS A 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  SMILE BRYAN         (miceli michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
 
AQU-7   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVA K'S BOY         (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  IMPRESSIONIST Jan01         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 34% 2.00    
ROTKNEE         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 9% 9.70    
MISTER LARRY Jan22         (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 25% 3.10    
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Jan09         (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 11% 8.00    
OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT         (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00    
SCR  BALI'S SHADE Jan09         (rodriguez r)VARGAS A 122 20.00    
 
AQU-8   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINEAPPLE MAN Jan01         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
BARREL OF QUESTS         (donk david)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
DEVIL'S EDGE         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
DEVIOUS BANKER Jan09         (grusmark karl)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
HE'S GOT IT Jan09         (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
INFEASIBLE         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
BEACH BOY AL Jan09         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 10% 8.50    
TIMMY ME BOY         (trites lands)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
STATE PLANNING Jan09         (vazquez ju)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  EMINENCY Jan09         (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.60 54% 0.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.