Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Friday - February 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOKUTAI Jan23         (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
2  HALF BIRTHDAY Jan14         (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 22% 3.50    
3  LONDON PEARL Jan28         (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00    
4  ROCK LOBSTER Jan14         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
5  CRISPY GAL         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
6  DARE TO BE GREAT         (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 10.00 ★    
7  INTELLIGENCEREPORT         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
AQU-2   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YANKEE EMPIRE         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
2  COACH BAHE Jan27 Jan09       (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00 ★    
3  CORKMAN         (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 123 1.40 29% 2.50    
4  MR. FIDGET Jan27         (henry ne)DAVIS A 120 4.00 5% 17.70    
5  FOTIS         (jones eduard)HARKIE K 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
6  FAR AWAY LOOK Feb03         (bro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
7  JERUSALEM GATES Jan27         (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.20 42% 1.40    
 
AQU-3   02/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY GIRL (IRE) Jan30 Jan13       (bond harold )HARKIE K 122 2.00    
1A  TALENTI Jan02         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  SALUKI Jan02         (schettin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 20.00    
3  STEPPIN' HAWK Jan13         (hos)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 6.00 ★    
4  JULIANA'S ROSE Jan02         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 29% 2.50    
5  DUCKPHAT         (ferraro james )CORREA JULIO 122 10.00    
6  OUR JESSICA Jan13         (donk davi)VARGAS A 122 4.00 ★    
SCR  BAVARIAN CREME Jan13         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNICKET Jan23 Jan01       (duggan p)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 16% 5.40    
2  MAZAL EIGHTEEN Jan23         (vazquez ca)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  MOSIENKO         (lalma)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 5.00    
4  CANDY MONET Jan16 Jan01       (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
5  TOWERING ORBIT Jan01         (baker cha)VARGAS A 123 3.50 8% 12.10    
6  VIOLENTIAM Jan23         (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLAME IT ON MARY         (barker e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 6% 16.10    
 
AQU-5   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXFILTRATION Jan06         (de h)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LINNY KATE Jan16         (noda orlando)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50 7% 14.30    
3  RED PEPPER GRILL Jan23         (rodriguez rudy )DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00    
4  INFRINGEMENT         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 5.00    
SCR  HORSESHOE FALLS Jan20         (mc allen)DAVIS A 123 50.00    
6  BELLAMY'SPARTYGIRL Jan18         (diprima greg)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
7  HEY IT'S TATI Jan20         (gargan danny)MORRISON AILSA 110 8.00 15% 5.50    
8  SUMMARY JUDGMENT Jan16         (reynolds patr)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 28% 2.50    
9  SUDDEN IMPULSE         (chichakly)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00    
10  LUCKY SITKA         (delauro edward )MENA E 120 50.00    
11  CROSS ISLAND         (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
 
AQU-6   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GLORY ROAD         (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00    
2  MICROSCOPE         (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
3  DADDY KNOWS         (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 8% 11.30    
4  KUMAR Jan02         (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 120 10.00    
5  FAST BREAK Jan02         (arriaga antonio)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 33% 2.10    
6  AMERICAN RULE Jan28         (morey william )LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
SCR  CRYPTO CASH Jan28 Jan02       (atras ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00 9% 10.60    
8  REGAL QUALITY         (rodriguez)VARGAS A 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  SMILE BRYAN         (miceli michae)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
 
AQU-7   02/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVA K'S BOY         (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
SCR  IMPRESSIONIST Jan01         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.60 34% 2.00    
3  ROTKNEE         (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 9% 9.70    
4  MISTER LARRY Jan22         (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 25% 3.10    
5  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Jan09         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50 11% 8.00    
6  OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00 ★    
SCR  BALI'S SHADE Jan09         (rodriguez)VARGAS A 122 20.00    
 
AQU-8   02/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINEAPPLE MAN Jan01         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BARREL OF QUESTS         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
3  DEVIL'S EDGE         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
4  DEVIOUS BANKER Jan09         (grusmark karl)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  HE'S GOT IT Jan09         (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
6  INFEASIBLE         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
7  BEACH BOY AL Jan09         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 10% 8.50    
8  TIMMY ME BOY         (trites lan)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
9  STATE PLANNING Jan09         (vazquez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  EMINENCY Jan09         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.60 54% 0.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.