Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - February 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   02/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUISIANA LEE Jan19         (flugence hen)LAVIOLETTE S 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
C. C. MAC         (ladner chad)RIQUELME J 125 12.00    
BACK ALLEY JAMMIN Jan30 Jan08       (rodriguez edua)SANJUR SANTO 117 3.00 5% 19.00    
RUN TO BLADE         (bruno l)CULP BRIANNE 120 20.00    
RY DONT LIE Jan21         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 117 2.50 64% 0.60    
DIGNIFIED N KRAFTY Jan28         (morre)MONSERRATE A 125 50.00    
ARGYBARGY BUCK Jan03         (ladner ra)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 5.00    
THAT VEGAS BOY Jan27         (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 125 3.50    
HALF CAPPUCCINO Jan17 Jan08       (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 5.00    
 
FG-2   02/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITELLYOUTHEFACTS         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 114 10.00    
JANETS JAY JAY Jan29 Jan08       (alonzo ho)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00 31% 2.20    
SEEHOSS         (landry al)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
CUSTOM BOBBY'S Jan20 Jan07       (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.00    
MR. UNIVERSE         (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 122 5.00    
DEER CROSSING Jan20         (delhomme jeff)COTTO L 122 4.50 33% 2.10    
EVERLOVINGHAND Jan06         (calhoun william )PARKER L 122 6.00    
INTHEALY Jan29 Jan01       (glover tracey)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
SY MICHAEL Jan26         (breaux samuel)GRAHAM J 122 8.00    
10  TAMBOURINE STAR         (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 114 8.00    
SCR  YOUR TIME'S COMING Jan20         (scherer ga)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COSMIC TRAIN Jan14         (delhomme jerry)GRAHAM J 114 8.00 8% 11.60    
 
FG-3   02/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAHFEES MAN Jan20         (foster m)GRAHAM J 121 4.50    
TOO MUCH BOURBON Jan20         (delahoussaye g)GREEN AUBRIE 121 5.00    
MAKATI PHIL         (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 5.00    
AW SHUCKS Jan20         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 56% 0.80    
DONNA'S COURT Jan16         (singh s)SINGH R 121 5.00    
MR. NASTY TIME         (zenon charl)MORALES ROBERTO 121 20.00    
PILLAGE DA VILLAGE         (richards a)DIAZ RENE 116 8.00    
SCR  SIR ADVENT Jan08         (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 15.00 13% 6.50    
 
FG-4   02/10/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANNEL WON         (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
SCR  BOURBON TAN         (tracy tanner)SANJUR SANTO 120 6.00    
SCR  CURTIN'S UP Jan20 Jan03       (bourgeois keith)RIQUELME J 124 3.00    
SCR  FLASHY BREW Jan16         (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 117 3.00    
HERE COMES KYLE Jan20         (faucheux ron)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.00    
HUG THE MUNNY Jan03         (morley th)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
JUST BLAZE Jan03         (scherer gary)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
SPECTROLITE         (wilson shan)MORALES ROBERTO 120 4.00 19% 4.40    
PURE VALOR Jan16         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 117 8.00    
W W KAN DO Jan20 Jan03       (rodriguez)ULLOA JOAN 120 12.00    
SCR  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Jan16         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 12.00    
SCR  MR. PRIORITY Jan16         (thompson ke)GUTIERREZ REYLU 117 20.00    
11  OUTERBANKS         (clark d)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
SCR  VOLUBILE         (drury thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50    
SCR  HAWKWOOD         (tracy greg)DIAZ RENE 115 20.00    
SCR  CLUB SODA Jan15 Jan03       (camejo m)DIAZ RENE 117 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
FG-5   02/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Jan09         (habeeb dona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 4.50    
PIRATE RICK Jan07         (cash l)PARKER L 122 4.50 9% 10.80    
SUPER COMET Jan13         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
TULANE TRYST         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
SANTA CRUISER Jan13         (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 5.00    
HE'S IN CHARGE         (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00    
 
FG-6   02/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 3 ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING TUFF         (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
CO CONSPIRATOR Jan22         (stidham michael)MOJICA O 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
LIONESQUE Jan17         (casse mar)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Jan21         (casse w)CARROLL DECLAN 120 4.00 49% 1.00    
STOCKPILER Jan15         (margolis s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
MR. CUNNINGHAM Jan22         (maker mich)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Jan17         (scherer gary)DIAZ RENE 115 8.00    
SILVER NUGGETS Jan13         (silva miguel)LAVIOLETTE S 120 12.00    
CHOPPED Jan20         (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  BEAU NOIR (IRE) Jan21         (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
 
FG-7   02/10/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 3 F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKRATCH KAT         (bauer phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50    
BOMBARRA GOLD Jan13         (scherer ga)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
DASHING HERO         (dorochenko genn)VEGA L 120 15.00    
GREAT ADVENTURE         (rubley kelly)GRAHAM J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHARDONNAY Jan13         (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
AIN'T BROKE Jan14         (calhoun william)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
MALIBU KENDALL         (asmussen m)DIAZ RENE 115 3.50    
 
FG-8   02/10/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUITY         (schwandt emile)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
FENWICK STATION Jan13         (kenneally ed)CARROLL DECLAN 120 6.00    
RECONVENE         (hollendorfe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
IOYA AGAIN Jan13         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
BIG LAKE         (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
ARTIE'S RUMOR         (morley thomas)VAZQUEZ A 120 6.00 41% 1.40    
ATTORNEY TIM Jan13         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 13% 6.90    
PALAZZI         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
SCR  SERMONONTHEMOUNT         (amoss m)GRAHAM J 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) Jan27         (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
 
FG-9   02/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY FACTOR Jan06         (sharp joe)PARKER L 121 4.00 15% 5.50    
SPY A STAR Jan21         (charles k)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 10% 9.50    
ZERO POINT ZERO Jan21         (claire alexis)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 4.50 13% 6.80    
SURE BABY Jan21         (richard chris)RIQUELME J 121 15.00 7% 13.40    
GOLDEN ACCOUNT Jan02         (cash norman )BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00    
SCR  MS SATCH MO Jan30         (claire alexis)DIAZ RENE 116 8.00    
HOODWINK         (rodriguez)ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00    
LUCKY LINZ Jan21         (alonzo howard)COTTO L 118 3.50 32% 2.20    
VERRAZANO ISLAND Jan23         (foster m)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.