Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delta Downs
Saturday - February 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DED-1   02/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake ($10K) Purse ($50K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTALLY GRACE Jan14 Jan01       (roberts kenneth)KENNEDY TY 118 12.00    
DUEFORADATE         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 5.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Jan28 Jan01       (averett ronnie)FUSILIER C 118 20.00    
ITSNOTMYJOB Jan14         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 4.00 20% 4.00    
SEE SASSY RUN         (morris rowdy)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
SWEET PRAYERS Jan20         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 10.00    
BIND ON EARTH Jan27 Jan19       (white dale)STOKES J 123 10.00    
LIL ALLIE DANCER         (alberto anto)MAGNON H 118 20.00    
WILD MALLORY Jan14 Jan01       (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
10  MADISON'S PLACE Jan06         (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00 6% 15.90    
SCR  FORTY NINE MODEL         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00    
 
DED-2   02/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOUTHERN BEAUTY         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 116 6.00 17% 5.00    
SARAH'S PASSION         (landry ray)STOKES J 118 10.00    
MISS PAT'S GIRL Jan07         (gomez )GUERRERO ANDRES 116 15.00    
CILLA Jan07         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 1.20 47% 1.10    
SCR  STRONG BEAUTY         (faucheux r)MARQUEZ L 116 5.00    
DIXIE LADY Jan20         (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00    
CONDESA'S HANDMAID         (vincent jar)FLORES S 116 12.00    
ICY CHARLIE Jan07         (thomas lee)KENNEDY TY 118 4.00 11% 8.10    
 
DED-3   02/05/2022 4950ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3 ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF CONTRABAND Jan21         (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
SCR  FORGED IN STEEL         (gelner scott)LUZZI J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
BIG JABOT Jan12         (dunn ray)ROMAN KEVIN 121 12.00    
HEARTTHROB HALO Jan08         (morris rowd)MELANCON JANSEN 121 15.00    
CABRO TORO Jan14         (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 8.00    
MAGIC LIGHTNING Jan16         (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 121 4.00    
ORPHAN CREEK Jan14         (breaux samuel)BIRZER E 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
ACABELLA         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 121 12.00    
WICKED ROSE Jan21         (johnson b)POMPELL L 121 3.00 44% 1.30    
10  DUDE DROP KID Jan21         (dixon tim)FLORES S 121 6.00    
SCR  AS THUNDER HEART Jan14         (mojica a)THORNTON G 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
DED-4   02/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake ($10K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONI'S STAR Jan21         (ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00    
SCR  I'LL RAISE YOU Jan15         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 5.00    
MR. CURLIN Jan26 Jan14       (mojica a)POMPELL L 118 12.00    
ALTERANA Jan15         (charles keith)MELANCON G 123 2.50    
FAREWELL TIME Jan15         (white dale)FUSILIER C 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
DOUBLE BARREL MAN Jan16         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
BORN AGAIN GEORGE Jan15         (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
DED-5   02/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHOLELOTTAMO         (gelner scott)LUZZI J 115 6.00    
BUCKLEY BUNNY         (flint steve)THORNTON G 115 5.00    
MISS JANA         (cart j)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 8.00    
GOTTEMINABIND Jan20 Jan07       (baker cebur)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 20.00    
FREE LIKE A GIRL         (pomier chasey )COTTO L 122 2.50 41% 1.50    
DEAL ME A PENNY         (ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 115 12.00    
EAGLEOVERTHEMOON Jan22         (gomez c)MCMAHON J 115 10.00    
LUTIE MO Jan22 Jan07       (landry ray)STOKES J 115 8.00    
MEDLEY Jan13         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
DED-6   02/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake ($20K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLAMY CAY         (gomez david )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 5.00 7% 13.60    
ISOLATION Jan13         (white dale)FUSILIER C 118 6.00    
DISTRACTOR FACTOR Jan02         (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 118 2.50    
SCR  DA DUE RUN RUN Jan27         (grudzien rylee)POMPELL L 118 10.00    
HEART THAT BINDS Jan19         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.50 38% 1.70    
KRIS T. Jan27         (larrosa a)BIRZER E 118 10.00 18% 4.60    
BYANYMEANS Jan19         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 118 15.00    
GIRL THIRSTY Jan21         (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 15.00    
SUCRE Jan06         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 8% 12.00    
 
DED-7   02/05/2022 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SLITHER Jan08         (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 15.00    
HAIL STATE Jan12         (landry ray)STOKES J 116 8.00    
GALAXY BUILDER Jan21 Jan06       (white )GUERRERO ANDRES 116 8.00    
SCR  WIN YA WIN Feb04 Jan27 Jan02     (camejo m)COTTO L 118 4.00    
LAUGHINGSAINTSSONG Jan06         (landry r)THORNTON G 116 8.00 13% 7.00    
LITTLE PUCK Jan05         (robbins han)RAMIREZ PAULINA 116 30.00    
WILD BERT Jan08         (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00    
BLACK SWORD         (averett ronnie)BIRZER E 116 15.00    
BERTIE'S GALAXY Jan02         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  CHARGE THE LINE Jan27 Jan02       (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 116 5.00    
 
DED-8   02/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINNING ROMANCE Jan07         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 116 5.00    
JET SWEEP         (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 118 10.00    
SCR  STRUMMER         (gelner scott)MELANCON G 118 8.00    
NET A BEAR Jan07         (landry r)THORNTON G 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
FORT POLK         (mouton patrick)GUZMAN JORGE 123 2.50 13% 6.40    
SNOWBALL         (breaux samuel)KENNEDY TY 116 6.00    
EILEEN ALEXANDRA Jan13         (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 15.00 6% 16.60    
SAINTS N MUSKETS         (landry ray)STOKES J 116 6.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  TAP OUT FAST Jan20         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 116 20.00    
 
DED-9   02/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE CHEESE Jan05         (breaux samuel)KENNEDY TY 115 6.00    
VODKA GIMLET         (landry ra)POMPELL L 115 8.00 18% 4.50    
HOME VISIT Jan15         (delhomme jeff)COTTO L 115 15.00    
SCR  SMART ANALYSIS Jan21         (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 15.00    
ORDER UP         (flint steve)MCMAHON J 115 12.00    
UNIFIED REPORT Jan22         (stewart dallas)MELANCON G 115 2.50    
GOTMY MO JO WORKIN         (roberts roy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 115 12.00    
MORE MEMORIES Jan14         (amoss m)THORNTON G 119 4.00 58% 0.70    
BRIAN'S IRON MIKE Jan15         (landry ray)STOKES J 115 5.00    
10  BIG CHOPPER Jan14         (gelner scott)GREEN AUBRIE 115 10.00    
 
DED-10   02/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IZZY'S BABY BOY Jan01         (gelner scott)POMPELL L 116 5.00 20% 4.10    
LANGS DAY Jan12         (thomas lee)KENNEDY TY 116 3.00    
LUCK OF THE DRAW Jan01         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
MAGA MAN Jan21         (bourgeois keit)GREEN AUBRIE 116 8.00    
VENN Jan12         (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 10.00    
JIMI'S A STAR Jan08         (johnson henry )GUZMAN JORGE 116 12.00 8% 11.90    
MAGAWILDTIME Jan12 Jan01       (cormier wi)BROUSSARD ASHLEY 116 15.00    
SPEAKTOMEOFLOVE         (chatters benard)BIRZER E 116 6.00 8% 11.50    
JAX MAN Jan01         (david b)FUSILIER C 116 8.00    
10  BEAUREGARD         (gomez c)ROMAN KEVIN 116 20.00    
SCR  KRAFTY BOY         (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 116 20.00    
SCR  DOUBLE STAR         (schult)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 8.00 14% 6.30    
 
DED-11   02/05/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake ($20K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREELEY'S DEALER Jan22 Jan07       (white )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
TENSAS TODDY Jan07         (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 8.00    
MEDITATE (IRE) Jan07         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER null      
AVAILABLE STAR Jan01         (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 3.00 5% 19.00    
FORESTDUNGONE Jan07         (broberg karl)POMPELL L 118 15.00    
FREEDOMFI Jan01         (delahoussaye)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
BAYOU JAM         (harrison cortlan)MELANCON G 118 20.00    
SCR  GUITAR SLIM Jan07         (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
DOCTOR LEO Jan12         (larrosa a)BIRZER E 118 8.00    
10  MUCH CLASS Jan01         (landry ray)STOKES J 118 4.00 53% 0.90    
11  BISTRAYA Jan14 Jan01       (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
SCR  STANDING MAN         (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.