Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - February 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T FOOL ME         (de ho)VARGAS A 120 12.00    
2  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Jan06         (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 ★    
3  MENILY         (handal raymo)SAMUEL L 120 8.00 ★    
4  MY CARA MIA MINE         (friedman)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROYAL CURRENCY Jan08         (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 66% 0.50    
6  TONIGHT WE LOVE Jan06         (martin carlo)MORRISON AILSA 110 20.00    
7  TIFFANY TALE         (bond harold )HARKIE K 120 8.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   02/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT WORKOUT Jan20         (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
1A  TAPIZEARANCE Jan14         (rice lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  EMPEROR'S CAUSE         (wil)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  FENWAY         (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
4  RAVEN ROCKS         (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 15% 5.80    
5  BUREAUCRAT         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
6  JOHNNY FONTAINE         (barrow pa)VARGAS A 123 20.00    
7  BREADMAN         (terranova john)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-3   02/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR TOCSIN         (st lewis)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BEING ANNA by ALDEBARAN)
2  REPO ROCKS         (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00 14% 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of HAWAIIAN LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  DRAFTED         (duggan p)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 ★    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KEEP THE PROFIT by DARN THAT ALARM)
4  HOPEFUL TREASURE         (catalano m )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by OXBOW out of ELLE SPECIAL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  HAPPY MEDIUM         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.20 31% 2.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of WELL SPRING by CORONADO'S QUEST)
 
AQU-4   02/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R BOY CHEEKUM Jan27 Jan06       (thompson mar)HOWELL TALBERT 120 10.00    
2  FAZARO Jan16         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.50 ★    
3  IRIE SPICE Jan27 Jan16       (persaud randi)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 12.00    
4  NOVA LOVES A FIGHT         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 15.00    
5  ILLUSTRIOUS Jan13         (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
6  RED REVOLUTION         (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
7  EL VEINTICUATRO         (rodriguez rudy )MENA E 120 6.00 ★    
8  QUESTION MY SANITY         (rom)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 8% 11.60    
 
AQU-5   02/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNABOUT Jan01         (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  NUTZFORBOLTZ Jan01         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 20.00    
3  NOBLE THOUGHT Jan01         (rodriguez gus)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
4  O SHEA CAN U SEE Jan02         (laxmeter )CAMACHO JR 120 12.00    
5  TWISTED TOM         (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 ★    
6  HIGH COMMAND Jan28         (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
7  BLOOD MOON Jan16         (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00    
8  POTANTICO Jan01         (morley thomas)GLASS DERBE 110 6.00    
SCR  FLOWERS FOR LISA Jan16 Jan01       (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
10  PLAYWRIGHT Jan16         (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   02/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNIFICENT CHROME         (persaud rand)MORRISON AILSA 110 8.00    
2  FOREST SPIRIT Jan02         (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
3  BAR FOURTEEN         (lynch natalia)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
4  PRISONER         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  HANGAR ONE Jan02         (ficarell)DAVIS A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  HALPERT Jan02         (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 ★    
7  TACO BEAN         (kelly j)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
8  EL MAYOR         (toscano )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
SCR  LITTERBOX Feb03 Jan09       (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
SCR  SWINTON         (avila c)SAMUEL L 123 4.50 8% 10.90    
 
AQU-7   02/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARTING OVER Jan08         (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
1A  CASTLE CHAOS         (falcone r)CARRASCO R 120 6.00    
2  CHOWDA Jan08         (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
3  FITZPATRICK Jan08         (hennig ma)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
4  THREE JOKERS         (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 14% 6.00    
5  NO BURN Jan09         (morey wi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 11% 7.80    
6  DUST DEVIL Jan09         (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
7  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Jan09         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
8  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Jan08         (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  HANDY Jan22 Jan05       (potts wayne)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 12.00 ★    
 
AQU-8   02/05/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Jan02         (handal raymond)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LAWYER BROCKMEYER by LAWYER RON)
2  GRANTHAM         (maker mic)CARRASCO R 118 10.00 ★    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of DARBY BLUSH by DARBY CREEK ROAD)
3  SMARTEN UP Jan01         (velazquez a)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SARAH CATALDO by SMARTY JONES)
4  GILDED AGE         (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ANGELA RENEE by BERNARDINI)
5  COURVOISIER Jan01         (breen j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 15% 5.50    
  (by TAPIT out of TAKE CHARGE BRANDI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Jan01         (ryerson j)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
  (by UPSTART out of UNBRIDLEDEXPLOSION by EDDINGTON)
7  NONEEDTOWORRY Jan18         (whylie h)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 30.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of NEED by STRONG HOPE)
8  UN OJO         (dutrow anth)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of RISK A CHANCE by A.P. INDY)
9  EARLY VOTING         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of AMOUR D'ETE by TIZNOW)
10  MR JEFFERSON Jan01         (trombetta micha)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CLOCKSTRUCKTWELVE by MALIBU MOON)
11  COOKE CREEK Jan01         (o'dwyer jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of GENRE by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-9   02/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THRILL OF IT         (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
2  SILENT RUNNING         (bond harold )HARKIE K 120 20.00    
3  MOPED DENNIS Jan22         (englehart)VARGAS A 120 5.00    
SCR  ASAP RESTORATION         (toscano )DAVIS A 120 20.00    
SCR  DOUBLE MAKER         (atras rob)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
6  CURLIN'S WISDOM         (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
7  RAW COURAGE Jan09         (tos)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00 11% 8.20    
8  LABAN M MO Jan13         (orseno joseph)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  RELATE Jan01         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
10  GOLDEN CODE         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
11  SALUTE TO AMERICA         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.