Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Saturday - February 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   02/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T FOOL ME         (de hora)VARGAS A 120 12.00    
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Jan06         (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50    
MENILY         (handal raymond)SAMUEL L 120 8.00    
MY CARA MIA MINE         (friedman m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL CURRENCY Jan08         (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 0.80 66% 0.50    
TONIGHT WE LOVE Jan06         (martin carlos )MORRISON AILSA 110 20.00    
TIFFANY TALE         (bond ja)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
 
AQU-2   02/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT WORKOUT Jan20         (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
1A  TAPIZEARANCE Jan14         (rice linda)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 24% 3.10    
EMPEROR'S CAUSE         (willi)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 5.00    
SCR  FENWAY         (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 2.50 19% 4.30    
RAVEN ROCKS         (weaver george)CARMOUCHE K 123 8.00 15% 5.80    
BUREAUCRAT         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
JOHNNY FONTAINE         (barrow paul)VARGAS A 123 20.00    
BREADMAN         (terranova p)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.00 21% 3.80    
 
AQU-3   02/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR TOCSIN         (st u)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
REPO ROCKS         (vazquez ca)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00 14% 6.00    
DRAFTED         (duggan p)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
HOPEFUL TREASURE         (catalano l)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
HAPPY MEDIUM         (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 120 0.20 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-4   02/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R BOY CHEEKUM Jan27 Jan06       (thompson marcu)HOWELL TALBERT 120 10.00    
FAZARO Jan16         (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.50    
IRIE SPICE Jan27 Jan16       (persaud randi)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 12.00    
NOVA LOVES A FIGHT         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 15.00    
ILLUSTRIOUS Jan13         (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 55% 0.80    
RED REVOLUTION         (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
EL VEINTICUATRO         (rodriguez r)MENA E 120 6.00    
QUESTION MY SANITY         (romer)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 8% 11.60    
 
AQU-5   02/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNABOUT Jan01         (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
NUTZFORBOLTZ Jan01         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 20.00    
NOBLE THOUGHT Jan01         (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
O SHEA CAN U SEE Jan02         (laxmeter da)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00    
TWISTED TOM         (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
HIGH COMMAND Jan28         (grusmark k)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
BLOOD MOON Jan16         (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00    
POTANTICO Jan01         (morley thomas)GLASS DERBE 110 6.00    
SCR  FLOWERS FOR LISA Jan16 Jan01       (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
10  PLAYWRIGHT Jan16         (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00    
 
AQU-6   02/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNIFICENT CHROME         (persaud randi)MORRISON AILSA 110 8.00    
FOREST SPIRIT Jan02         (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
BAR FOURTEEN         (lynch natalia)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00    
PRISONER         (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
HANGAR ONE Jan02         (ficarella )DAVIS A 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
HALPERT Jan02         (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
TACO BEAN         (kelly j)LUZZI J 123 20.00    
EL MAYOR         (toscano jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
SCR  LITTERBOX Feb03 Jan09       (sciacca gary)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
SCR  SWINTON         (avila c)SAMUEL L 123 4.50 8% 10.90    
 
AQU-7   02/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARTING OVER Jan08         (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00    
1A  CASTLE CHAOS         (falcone rob)CARRASCO R 120 6.00    
CHOWDA Jan08         (sciacca gary)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
FITZPATRICK Jan08         (hennig mark)VARGAS A 120 20.00    
THREE JOKERS         (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00 14% 6.00    
NO BURN Jan09         (morey will)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 4.00 11% 7.80    
DUST DEVIL Jan09         (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
SOUTHERN DISTRICT Jan09         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Jan08         (rodriguez gustav)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
SCR  HANDY Jan22 Jan05       (potts wayne)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 12.00    
 
AQU-8   02/05/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Jan02         (handal raymond)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.50 43% 1.30    
GRANTHAM         (maker micha)CARRASCO R 118 10.00    
SMARTEN UP Jan01         (velazquez alf)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 10.00    
GILDED AGE         (mott i)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
COURVOISIER Jan01         (breen j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 15% 5.50    
UNBRIDLED BOMBER Jan01         (ryerson jam)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
NONEEDTOWORRY Jan18         (whylie her)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 30.00    
UN OJO         (dutrow anthon)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
EARLY VOTING         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 18% 4.60    
10  MR JEFFERSON Jan01         (trombetta michael)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
11  COOKE CREEK Jan01         (o'dwyer jeremia)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
 
AQU-9   02/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THRILL OF IT         (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
SILENT RUNNING         (bond ja)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
MOPED DENNIS Jan22         (englehart j)VARGAS A 120 5.00    
SCR  ASAP RESTORATION         (toscano jo)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
SCR  DOUBLE MAKER         (atras rob)SILVERA RUBEN 120 12.00    
CURLIN'S WISDOM         (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 15% 5.70    
RAW COURAGE Jan09         (tosca)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00 11% 8.20    
LABAN M MO Jan13         (orseno f)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
RELATE Jan01         (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
10  GOLDEN CODE         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
11  SALUTE TO AMERICA         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.