Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - February 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   02/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL EMPIRE         (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  PATHOLOGICAL         (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 ★    
3  UNION LIGHTS Jan02         (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 20.00    
4  CHEEKY TICO         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
5  LONG TERM Jan02         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 0.60 38% 1.60    
6  IMPROPER Jan13         (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
7  EAGLE IN LOVE         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 ★    
 
AQU-2   02/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GINNSU WARRIOR         (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  ST. LUKES         (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
3  DONTBELATE Jan13         (donk dav)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  LANFRANKOPHILE Jan06         (lynch natalia)CANCEL ERIC 115 8.00    
5  R DOC Jan16         (keithan rachael)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
6  HOT STEPPER Jan09         (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 2.50 14% 6.30    
7  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE         (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
 
AQU-3   02/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($82K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUSHABLE Jan06         (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
2  HONEY MONEY Jan20         (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.50 ★    
3  COURAGEOUS GIRL Jan02         (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 ★    
4  VIENNA CODE Jan16         (williams andrew)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
5  BRAVO REGINA Jan20         (vazquez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00    
6  DEFAULT PROTECTION Jan02         (brown c)CANCEL ERIC 123 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
AQU-4   02/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADS GOOD RUNNER         (nev)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 5% 17.40    
2  ACTUALIZE         (baker charlton)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  CAPONE         (jerkens a)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 ★    
4  LET FREEDOM SPRING         (sacco d)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
5  CHECK THAT CHIP         (rodriguez gust)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
6  CATHEDRAL BEACH         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 12% 7.10    
7  OUR SHOT         (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 8.00    
SCR  RHUMJAR         (hills timot)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-5   02/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXXTOP Jan09         (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 10.00 13% 6.70    
2  DEE BO         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.50 17% 5.00    
3  A COLT NAMED SUSIE Jan08         (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 30.00    
4  STANHOPE Jan01         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.00 19% 4.10    
5  OUR AMERICAN STAR Jan09         (shivmangal lo)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
6  BROCKMONINOFF Jan09         (barrow pa)VARGAS A 123 4.50    
7  MACHO BOY Jan08         (chichakl)DAVIS A 120 15.00 9% 10.40    
8  EUCHARIST (IRE)         (giangiulio )RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
AQU-6   02/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAISING SAND         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 122 6.00    
2  ALITE         (pringle )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 ★    
3  PRINCE OF JOY         (legall r)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 122 30.00    
4  MY BOY COLTON         (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
5  OCEAN DEEP         (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00    
6  ROMANTIC MAN Jan20         (martin f)MENA E 122 3.00    
7  NAPOLEON COMPLEX Jan22         (metivier ri)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 117 30.00 ★    
8  TOTAL EFFORT         (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
9  WE READY Jan20         (parker josep)MORRISON AILSA 112 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-7   02/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SCORPION DYNASTY Jan09         (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  MY COUSIN RICH Jan20         (vazquez ca)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 ★    
2  GHOSTMON Jan09         (rod)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00 9% 10.10    
3  LITTERBOX Jan09         (sciacca gary)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
4  MALIBU STAR Jan08         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  FORGOTTEN MISSION Jan09         (toscano joh)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 20.00    
SCR  BRUNATE Jan02         (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
7  TALE OF MINESHAFT         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 13% 6.80    
8  VICTORY BUILT Jan18 Jan09       (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  MISTER WINSTON Jan16         (arriaga anton)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
10  MATTY'S MARAUDER Jan09         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
11  FAR AWAY LOOK         (brown br)DAVIS A 123 15.00    
 
AQU-8   02/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUY LAND AND SEE         (dutrow anth)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  ANSWER IN         (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  LITTLE MENACE Jan23         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 10% 8.60    
4  FAMISHED Jan20         (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
5  CHESTERTOWN Jan08         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 ★    
SCR  JEMOGRAPHY         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  REPO ROCKS         (vazquez juan )SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  SIBELIUS Jan08         (o'dwyer jeremia)MENA E 120 10.00    
 
AQU-9   02/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIOUS BANKER Jan09         (grusmark karl)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  STATE PLANNING Jan09         (vazquez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEACH BOY AL Jan09         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 10% 8.50    
4  PINEAPPLE MAN Jan01         (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIMMY ME BOY         (trites la)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
6  EMINENCY Jan09         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.60 54% 0.80    
7  HE'S GOT IT Jan09         (hennig mark)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
8  DEVIL'S EDGE         (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
9  INFEASIBLE         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
10  BARREL OF QUESTS         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.