Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - January 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   01/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 45 ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINETYNINE EXCUSES Jan16         (delgado p)DELGADO A 126 8.00    
UNDER FIRE         (eppler e)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
LET ME FINISH Jan16         (delgado aliso)KARAMANOS A 126 10.00    
CLEVER BOB         (valvo zoe)ARAUJO DENIS 126 15.00    
CALLYOURIGHTBACK Jan20         (trombe)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.60 47% 1.10    
SECRET SOULMATE         (reynolds jo)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00    
SUPER SCOOBY Jan16         (howard c)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 4.00 11% 8.30    
 
LRL-2   01/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($39.6K) 4UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMBAT QUEEN Jan20         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 1.80    
AWFULLY FOXY         (dilodovico )CORUJO LEONARDO 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
ITALIAN DRESSING Jan16         (smith hamilto)ALVELO C 118 6.00    
BOURBON WILDCAT Jan20         (magana j)RUIZ JORGE 126 3.50 23% 3.30    
PRACTICALLY DIZZY Jan14         (gonzalez claud)ROSADO JOHAN 119 5.00    
 
LRL-3   01/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($25.2K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NOTION TO TAPIT         (smith hamilton )GARCIA LUIS 124 4.50 15% 5.60    
EDENS GLORY Jan20         (o'dwyer jer)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
SMOOZER         (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 20.00 6% 15.30    
I'M NOT SLOW         (gonzalez claud)ROSADO JOHAN 120 12.00    
DAHTESTES HERO         (velazquez daniel)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.50    
SCHOOLYARD BULLY Jan16         (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
HIGH ROCK         (capuano gary )ALVELO C 115 3.50    
AUSPICIOUS LAD Jan16         (cox m)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
 
LRL-4   01/30/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($48K) 3 ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE BUDDY         (kreiser t)VARGAS L 121 3.00 9% 10.30    
WORLD OF FOOLS Jan13         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00    
AL LOVES JOSIE Jan01         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 2.00    
KNOWHOWIKNOW Jan02         (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 121 2.50 62% 0.60    
LANTAU Jan20         (corrales jose)KARAMANOS A 124 5.00    
DR. GRANT Jan20         (garibay andres)ROSADO JOHAN 120 12.00    
 
LRL-5   01/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($37.8K) 3 ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS MAN J J         (salzman timot)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
DR RAGS         (barr h)ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
HOLY SYNCHRONICITY         (sanchez-sa)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00    
HAMPDEN LANE         (heil nan)BUTTERFLY L 117 8.00    
CAPTAIN QUINT         (hendriks )CARRASCO R 124 10.00    
MAD GENIUS         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
TUCKER ROAD         (sepulveda c)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
VINNY         (keefe l)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
WINSTON'S GOLD Jan20         (mcmullen ma)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
10  REMEMBERING WILBUR         (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.00 27% 2.60    
 
LRL-6   01/30/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($62.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVIDIC LINE         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80    
1A  BUMPERDOO         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.80 15% 5.50    
AIN'T DA BEER COLD         (cox kenne)CARRASCO R 123 15.00    
SCR  GALERIO Jan29         (salzman e)ARAUJO DENIS 123 2.50 57% 0.80    
CLOSER LOOK         (bailes robert)MONTERREY R 123 12.00    
UP AGAINST IT         (graham robin)BATISTA A 126 8.00    
TREASURE TROVE         (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
SCR  THE POSER Jan29         (smith a)RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00 7% 12.80    
PLAMEN         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 123 6.00    
CARIBBEAN (AUS)         (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 116 20.00    
 
LRL-7   01/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISHMAN         (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 126 8.00    
TYLER TIME         (mcfarlane b)CORUJO LEONARDO 126 15.00    
MAXIMO STRONG         (arosemena mar)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 30.00    
STRIKING A POSE         (gaudet lacey)ROSADO JOHAN 126 1.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  GRAYWING Jan01         (gaudet l)BUTTERFLY L 119 1.60 22% 3.50    
ELVIRUS Jan15         (gazzier kristy)PEREZ XAVIER 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
DISPUTED NOTION         (tapscott carl)ALVELO C 121 15.00    
 
LRL-8   01/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($62.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A SHOOTER         (gonzalez claudi)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 3.00 22% 3.60    
FORCED         (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 12% 7.30    
ALL THREES         (smith hamilton)ARAUJO DENIS 126 8.00    
KARAN'S NOTION         (heil nancy )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 6.00    
JOVIS         (capuano a)PEREZ XAVIER 123 4.50 18% 4.50    
MONEY RIDE Jan14         (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
MOJOVATION Jan17         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
 
LRL-9   01/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEIDI T         (mancilla carl)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
SUMMER MUSIC         (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50    
BELLIFY         (young courtney)BOYCE FOREST 124 10.00 6% 14.50    
ILLUSION OF HOPE         (gorham michae)ALVELO C 119 12.00    
DERBY JULEP         (salzman e)ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.50    
MONARCH BEACH Jan23         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 51% 1.00    
INSTPARTY         (allen f)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.