Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - January 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29.7K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYGIDGETMARIE Jan13         (huet te)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SAFE REEZAN Jan01         (reynolds )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
AWESOME LAWSON         (runco c)CULLUM W 122 1.20 48% 1.10    
AWESOME INCENTIVE         (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 12.00    
TELL ALEXIS         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
SAMURAISLUCKYSWORD         (shanley mark)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
SHINY PENNY         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 1.80 30% 2.30    
 
CT-2   01/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTORTED SPLENDOR Jan12         (stehr p)LIMA FELINO 117 12.00    
SCR  DEEMED ESSENTIAL Jan14         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
SECRET PRIZE Jan20         (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  NAJWA Jan12         (davis russel)MORALES KELVIN 122 8.00    
RHYTHM TREE         (cornwell jam)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 20.00    
SPECIAL FREEDOM         (mancilla carlo)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
AREEMAA         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 8.00    
C V'S CAMPFIRE         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 15.00    
KINKY FROLIC         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
 
CT-3   01/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MICHEAUX         (clement roland)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
HOOK THE CHAIN Jan13         (casey a)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
IHEARTRAINACOMN Jan13         (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 5% 18.20    
PETTYFORURTHOUGHTS         (meehan elizab)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00    
HAZY WINTER         (casey james)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 12.00    
EXCUSES EXCUSES Jan14         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
WITNESS THE ENERGY         (lucas a)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 2.00 33% 2.10    
LOVETHEONEYOUGOT Jan14         (casey a)LARROSA G 122 12.00    
 
CT-4   01/28/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR         (pyke joseph)CECIL Y 120 30.00    
TOMMY PIES Jan13         (davis russell)MARRERO R 120 20.00    
THE DON OF SQUAN         (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 12.00    
BUZZHOUND         (brown ronney)BATISTA A 122 1.80 70% 0.40    
DUNLUCE CAISSLE         (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
LUNAR IMAGE         (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
INJECT THE LIGHT         (davis samu)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
ROOF TOP BAR Jan15         (butts e)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50 7% 13.40    
RUN RABBIT         (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00    
10  DAY OF HONOR         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00    
 
CT-5   01/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGH PRINT         (butts m)NUNEZ ANAHI 113 30.00    
SAN ANTONE         (magee kier)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 5.00 8% 11.80    
ALLEN CAN DO IT         (casey a)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOSEF IS REAL         (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 15.00    
BLACK STEEL         (mangual manolo)LARROSA G 120 6.00    
YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Jan12         (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.40 61% 0.60    
EXCALIBUR Jan13         (butts e)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
MISSIONSNINETYNINE Jan15         (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 124 8.00    
CIELO AZUL         (reynolds )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 6% 14.60    
 
CT-6   01/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MACHO Jan15         (rideout anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  DAT DARES GOLD Jan01         (cox m)ARAUJO DENIS 122 8.00    
FUDGE CAKE         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 10.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  MY WAY OR ELSE Jan20         (maldonado jo)BATISTA A 124 10.00    
SCR  MARY'S JEWEL         (pennella m)CECIL Y 122 5.00    
DAZZLE ME Jan15         (butts mik)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
TALKTHETALK         (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 8.00 13% 6.70    
SHERIFF'S KID Jan14         (frock a)ACOSTA D 124 10.00    
TAKE CHARGE TINA Jan15         (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50    
10  AWESOME ALANA         (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00    
SCR  CORAL SUMMER Jan16         (d'angel)NUNEZ ANAHI 117 20.00    
 
CT-7   01/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLING INDIA         (dillon jacob )MARRERO R 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
CHARM WEAVER         (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00    
GOOD KARMA (GB)         (brown ronney)BATISTA A null   12% 7.00    
THREE BOPS         (craig lewis)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 8.00    
NICE N' BROAD         (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50 51% 1.00    
NELLYSFORD         (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 6.00    
CHIEFS KINGDOM         (contreras javie)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00    
MARY BOPPINS TOO         (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
CLUBIN TILL DAWN         (johnson freddi)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
SCR  LADY LICIOUS         (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
11  COACH RUBE Jan13         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 113 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
CT-8   01/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($30.8K) 4UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS SPRINKLES         (o'callahan)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 15.00    
MOONLIT SHADOW         (grams c)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50 10% 8.80    
SCR  C V'S POWERPAK         (grams timo)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00    
DOOR BUSTER         (figgins ollie )ARAUJO DENIS 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
BOUNDTOBEBAD         (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
NAVY SWORD         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00    
SCR  TIZBIT         (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 117 30.00    
JAMESTOWN ROAD         (casey w)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00    
SCR  BRANDYURAFINEGIRL Jan14         (jones michae)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
 
CT-9   01/28/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 4UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAYOU BOUGIE         (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00    
RISKSRHIGHPAYISLOW Jan12         (atkins g)CECIL Y 122 15.00    
SINGING HARMONY         (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 124 6.00    
SCR  MY DREAM GIRL         (butts mike )MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 15.00    
SPUNKY ALI CAT         (bass w)WHITACRE B 124 5.00 11% 8.20    
MOJO MATTERS Jan14         (davis rus)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
THISLILLIMEOFMINE Jan12         (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 4.50 10% 8.70    
CITY PRINCESS         (geris s)NUNEZ ANAHI 115 30.00    
LIL MISS FIBER         (ramos agos)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 10.00    
10  THAT KENNEY KID         (brown w)MONTANO JOSE 124 1.80 47% 1.10    
11  EASY ON THE SUGAR Jan22         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  SUZYSELLSSEASHELLS         (brown ronne)MENDEZ MARSHALL 115 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.