Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Friday - January 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   01/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 4UP ALL PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING WITH ANGELS         (rubley ke)VARGAS A 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
RYE RUNNER         (keithan rac)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
MCQUEEN'S BULLITT         (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 10.00 18% 4.70    
ROCK SUGAR         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.60    
EXALTED CHARM         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00    
LUCKY BRODY         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 122 15.00    
MIDASWELLRUN         (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-2   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GIRL ANNIE Jan02         (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 6.00 11% 8.50    
GENTLE ANNIE Jan14         (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00    
AWESOMENEWYEAR Jan09         (richards ma)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 15.00    
VIOLENT POINT Jan02         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 1.60 26% 2.90    
EFFIEMEISTER         (rey)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
DAZZLING SPEED Jan22 Jan09       (persaud eddi)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
COVER PHOTO Jan14         (miranda luis)MORRISON AILSA 113 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
AQU-3   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROSTED WILD RIDE Jan14         (vazquez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 8% 12.20    
ROSEMARY POTATOES         (summers chad)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
ROOSKI         (englehart)VARGAS A 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
TWEAQUED         (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 1.60 26% 2.90    
CRAZY SERENA         (montoya marya)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
LADY MILAGRO         (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50    
 
AQU-4   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG ALPHA Jan14         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
MIDMON Jan14         (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 8.00    
ARABELLAS GIRL         (martin ca)CAMACHO JR 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
OH MY BELLE         (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  DERBY KISSES Jan01         (dunham g)HARKIE K 120 20.00    
BEAUTIFUL BANKS Jan08         (donk )HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 5.00    
GIGGLING GHOST         (quick pa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 20.00    
LONDON PEARL         (persaud ran)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
BOCA KITTEN         (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  ROCK LOBSTER Jan14         (rodriguez rudy )MENA E 120 8.00    
 
AQU-5   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLEUR ELYSE         (hennig ma)VARGAS A 120 12.00    
MOSTLY HARMLESS Jan13         (arenas m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 5% 17.50    
SWEET SOLARE         (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50    
ROUGH TOUGH LOVE         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00    
EXXALTRESS         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 12% 7.60    
CUPIDS GIRL Jan13         (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00    
TAP N GLO         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
CHARLOTTESOMETIMES         (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-6   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HEALY'S HOPE Jan01         (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 120 12.00    
HIGH COMMAND         (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 20.00    
TALE OF MIST Jan01         (persaud r)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00    
R BOY BODE         (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
JOYCEE HAZ PIZZAZ         (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50 7% 12.70    
MARBLE MOON Jan16         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 15.00    
NINTH HOUR         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 123 6.00 24% 3.20    
FLEET WARRIOR         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 10% 9.00    
BOURBON MISSION Jan01         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 6.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE Jan01         (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
11  MI TRES POR CIENTO (CHI) Jan22         (rice linda)MORRISON AILSA 110 4.00 38% 1.70    
12  CAUSE OF ACTION         (barrera osca)HARKIE K 120 15.00    
 
AQU-7   01/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPREME AURA         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 61% 0.60    
CRYPTO CASH Jan02         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50    
TROUBLING MOON         (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
DARK STORM         (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 7% 12.40    
ANYTHING PAZIBLE Jan14         (jones ed)DAVIS A 123 30.00    
LOST IN ROME         (parker joseph)BAEZ JOSE 120 12.00    
AMERICAN RULE         (morey wi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Jan14         (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00    
JUST RIGHT Jan14         (arriaga anto)HARKIE K 120 8.00 7% 13.30    
10  AMERICAN LINCOLN Jan02         (romero je)CAMACHO JR 120 20.00    
SCR  AIR ATTACK         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
 
AQU-8   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUE GOLD         (baker charlto)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50    
RUNNINGWSCISSORS Jan16         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 10.00    
SCOCCIATORE         (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 11% 8.00    
SOUTH AFRICA         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 111 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  BUSTIN SHOUT Jan01         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
BRONX BOMBER Jan01         (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50    
GONGHEIFATCHOY         (richards ma)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 113 15.00    
 
AQU-9   01/28/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKING TO HEAVEN Jan06         (rodriguez)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00    
1A  MARTINI MARGARITA         (rodriguez rudy )MENA E 120 12.00 9% 10.70    
SILVER SAMURAI         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 2.00 19% 4.20    
MANGO BEACH         (dug)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
MY INSPIRATION         (noda orlando)SAMUEL L 120 15.00 14% 6.20    
LORD BROWNIE         (sciacca gary)MORRISON AILSA 110 12.00    
MY LAST MISSION         (vazquez )DAVIS A 120 5.00 14% 6.20    
VIBE SETTER         (baker charlt)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
EMPIRE STATION Jan16         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
WICKOSITY         (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
10  DANCING WITH RICO         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
11  KOOSMAN         (hills timot)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 14% 6.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.